AFL 2023 AFL Finals - Week 1

[balmainforever]

 

[Vitalogy]

if only we could get some markets for this game i would've been all over it

Some of the worst camera work I've seeen

 

[dontlimitme]

how much of an absolute crab is higgins

 

[Selim]

Riccardi just cost me 160 wtf how do afl players miss from the goal square

 

[Suncraze]

GWS ML $1.90 Sportsbet

How did they bet $1.90 early. Hope you all got a piece

 

[NYRB]

Views on opposing Tom Green in Most Disposals in Group A?

Group A
Tom Green
Coniglio
Whitfield
Josh Kelly
Brad Crouch
Steele
Sinclair
Wanganeen-Milera


Im having a bet on Brad Crouch to win Group A at $9. Happy to oppose a player in this group at anything less than $3.20 or less. I dont think Green should be at $2.55 to win that group- as quoted by Sportsbet.

And I dont mind Marshall in Group B

Group B
Marshall
Ross
Wood
Callaghan
Brad Hill
Ash
Himmelberg
Ward

Marshall to win Group B at $8. Marshall would have won this group if we are looking all players in this last fixture. Group B alot more even.

Late kick to kick in the backline from GWS meant no winner, just a 'dead heat ' pay out. (equivalent of $4 or so). ChampionData went from Marshall 25 to 24 disposals at 3/4 time. Might be a bit of a debate whether that 25th disposal was a disposal?

Coniglio withdraw meant a bet refund.

 

[srobbo]

How did they bet $1.90 early. Hope you all got a piece

As good a value all year. Smashed it

 

[Selim]

Marshall 2-5 @2.15, 4.50, 13, 38

Powell Pepper 2-4 @3.45, 10, 34

Bailey 2-4 @2.40, 5.50, 16

Raynor 2-4 @2.99, 8, 29

Multipliers

Rozee OVER 144

Butters OVER 145

Neale OVER 59

Dunkley OVER 43

 

[Atavistic]

Charlie 4, Rayner, Bailey 2, Ah Chee, Clug AGS @ 76.50

 

[Long Shot Louie]

G’day Lads, I’m looking forward to this finals series. Glorious early Spring weather already and some very loadable markets on the horizon. Truly a great time of year for Degenerates.

Starting with This week, we have been given yet another Orange tinted gift.

As many of you know, I’ve been extremely bullish on the Giants for months now both in H2H markets and in the Futures thread.

The Giants are the only side in season 2023 that is playing “Total Football”. Their style is not based on any sort of gimmick or reliance on certain conditions. This is perhaps best evidenced by the fact that they have won at 10 venues this year. Only 3 sides in history have won at that many venues in a season and all 3 teams won the flag that year.

Logically, in order to win the flag, the Giants need to beat the Saints this week, which they will do at very generous odds. “Total Football” will always overwhelm Negative football in knockout games. We have seen it time and time again across multiple codes.

For the reasons above, THE GIANTS H2H@$1.75 ARE THE LONG SHOT LOUIE LOCK OF THE WEEK.
10 Units

+7.5U and THE LOCK is now up 157.4 Units on the year.

Plenty more to come as well.

 

[GROTTO]

+7.5U and THE LOCK is now up 157.4 Units on the year.

Plenty more to come as well.

 

[mozz23]

Keeping it simple lions 1-39 $2.28 PlayUp

Small fun one Neale 10 kicks/ rozee 10 hb $2.40 sb

 

[Checkered]

I like Berry for touches and Daniher for goals tonight

 

[toenail11]

Charlie 4
Hipwood 2
Ags Rayner, Rioli,Finlayson
@17

 

[NYRB]

Most Disposals Group A
Neale
Dunkley
McCluggage
Zorko
Butters
Rozee
Houston
Wines

Taken Houston at $14.50 . Polled 3 Brownlow Votes here in 2022 , so I feel like he plays well here.


Most Disposals Group B
Jarrod Berry

7

Jarrod Berry

Age

26

Ht

192cm

Wt

89kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

17.4

4star

K

8.5

3star

HB

8.9

5star

M

3.9

4star

T

4.2

5star

CL

2.7

4star

D

17.0

4star

K

9.4

4star

HB

7.6

4star

M

3.6

4star

T

5.1

5star

CL

2.9

4star

D

10.6

3star

K

4.4

2star

HB

6.2

4star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.8

5star

CL

0.8

3star

Ryan Burton

3

Ryan Burton

Age

27

Ht

191cm

Wt

92kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

18.5

5star

K

12.1

4star

HB

6.3

4star

M

4.6

4star

T

2.1

4star

MG

277.3

4star

D

16.8

4star

K

12.3

5star

HB

4.5

3star

M

5.0

5star

T

1.0

2star

MG

277.3

4star

D

13.4

4star

K

9.0

4star

HB

4.4

4star

M

4.8

5star

T

2.2

4star

Horne-Francis
McKenna
Coleman
Duursma
Drew
Zac Bailey

33

Zac Bailey

Age

25

Ht

182cm

Wt

84kg

Pos.

M/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.7

3star

K

6.9

3star

HB

5.9

4star

M

3.0

3star

T

2.2

4star

CL

0.9

3star

D

12.9

3star

K

7.3

3star

HB

5.6

3star

M

3.9

4star

T

2.4

3star

CL

0.7

3star

D

13.4

4star

K

6.6

3star

HB

6.8

5star

M

3.2

4star

T

2.8

5star

CL

0.6

3star

A bit like the Rowan Marshall

19

Rowan Marshall

Age

29

Ht

201cm

Wt

105kg

Pos.

Ruck

Career

Season

Last 5

D

15.4

4star

K

8.8

3star

HB

6.6

4star

CL

3.4

5star

HO

20.2

5star

D

12.9

3star

K

9.3

4star

HB

3.6

2star

CL

2.8

4star

HO

17.8

5star

D

10.6

3star

K

5.8

3star

HB

4.8

4star

CL

1.0

3star

HO

7.8

5star

group today, feel like anyone could pretty much win this group.Maybe a number like 20-24 disposals might win Group B. Have taken $9.60 on Zac Bailey

33

Zac Bailey

Age

25

Ht

182cm

Wt

84kg

Pos.

M/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.7

3star

K

6.9

3star

HB

5.9

4star

M

3.0

3star

T

2.2

4star

CL

0.9

3star

D

12.9

3star

K

7.3

3star

HB

5.6

3star

M

3.9

4star

T

2.4

3star

CL

0.7

3star

D

13.4

4star

K

6.6

3star

HB

6.8

5star

M

3.2

4star

T

2.8

5star

CL

0.6

3star

and $8.00 on Horne-Francis. Horne-Francis won this group the last time these two teams played. Seeing Berry at 4.40 which seems a bit too short for me.


So plays
1u Houston to win Group A at $14.50
0.5u Ollie Wines to Win Group A at $22
1u Jason Horne-Francis to win Group B at $8.00
0.5u Zac Bailey

33

Zac Bailey

Age

25

Ht

182cm

Wt

84kg

Pos.

M/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.7

3star

K

6.9

3star

HB

5.9

4star

M

3.0

3star

T

2.2

4star

CL

0.9

3star

D

12.9

3star

K

7.3

3star

HB

5.6

3star

M

3.9

4star

T

2.4

3star

CL

0.7

3star

D

13.4

4star

K

6.6

3star

HB

6.8

5star

M

3.2

4star

T

2.8

5star

CL

0.6

3star

to win Group B at 9.60

Just feel that it being a final, Wines might fire tonight. He hasnt been getting his disposals numbers that he got in the Brownlow year he won but in a big final, where he will be in the middle- I cant pass that up at at that price.

 

[NYRB]

Damn sorry for after-timing by 3 minutes with the above post.

 

[dontlimitme]

Damn sorry for after-timing by 3 minutes with the above post.

ban him mods

 

[Selim]

wtf is marshall doing man

 

[Atavistic]

Charlie basically gets molested but no free kick.

 

[dontlimitme]

dunno why i keep expecting players to be able to ****ing kick straight for goal gotta remind myself they're paid to run as many km as possible

 

[Robo87]

Gabba crowd lovin' Charlie!

 

[Atavistic]

Blew a tonne of bonus bets on that game. Didn't see Lord 4 or Fletcher 3 coming.

 

[HTPunter]

PB spreads,

Steele over 34
Crouch over 59

SB stat markets;
J.Steele 15+ kicks/N.Wanganeen-Milera 6+marks/H.Perryman 6+ tckl @41s
Hogan 3 King 3 Greene 2 @10s

Goes bang on the 41s

 

[HTPunter]

Blew a tonne of bonus bets on that game. Didn't see Lord 4 or Fletcher 3 coming.

Anyone who bet either of those needs to go to therapy for addiction tbh

 

[ferrisb]

Anyone who bet either of those needs to go to therapy for addiction tbh

I thought that was a requirement for posting on this board...

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Tom Green
Sam Walsh

@ 41s most disposals in finals

Tom Green 95
Sam Walsh 96

Can call this a win unless De Goey has 44 in the GF