AFL 2023 - AFL Round 3

[balmainforever]

 

[Selim]

Brockmen 2,3 @6.25, 23,

Breust 4,5 @6.75, 18

Larkey 6,7,8 @6.50, 13, 41

Zurhaar 2,3,4 @2.25, 5.25, 14

 

[Johanpetro]

Brockmen 2,3 @6.25, 23,

Breust 4,5 @6.75, 18

Larkey 6,7,8 @6.50, 13, 41

Zurhaar 2,3,4 @2.25, 5.25, 14

Final scores:

North Melbourne 3.6 - 24
Hawthorn 2.7 19

 

[Atavistic]

Larkey 5, Stephenson 3, Brockman 3 @1801

Also on Larkey, Zurhaar, Brockman trains.

And Sheezel for some reason.

 

[HTPunter]

On top of Zurhaar and Larkey train up to 6

Tom Powell most likely fantasy beneficiary of no Simpkin I’d think.

80+ $2.40
90+ $4.25
100+ $8.50
110+ $17
120+ $41

 

[BloodRet]

Omg it’s almost brockman time

 

[swaeney]

Where to find popular SGM?

 

[HTPunter]

No one getting on Larkey for 7,8 on pointsbet? the odds ain’t to special but honestly with hawthorn atm who knows

Odds for 7 worse than 6 elsewhere

 

[HTPunter]

Have jumped on 8 though.

Cmon boys

 

[tangolikelama]

Hail mary bonus bet to recoup losses

Norf h2h
Zurhaar 2+
Bruuuest 2+
Curtis AGS
Comben AGS
Ziebell 20+
Amon 20+
Newcombe 20+
LDU 25+
Siciliy 25+

@57

 

[Johanpetro]

Hail mary bonus bet to recoup losses

Norf h2h
Zurhaar 2+
Bruuuest 2+
Curtis AGS
Comben AGS
Ziebell 20+
Amon 20+
Newcombe 20+
LDU 25+
Siciliy 25+

@57

A $57 multi to recoup losses. I love this sub

 

[ferrisb]

Brockmen 2,3 @6.25, 23,

Zurhaar 2,3,4 @2.25, 5.25, 14

Final scores:

North Melbourne 3.6 - 24
Hawthorn 2.7 19

Zurhaar 3.3
Brockman 2.1

 

[tangolikelama]

Jesus christ we've all gone full degen. There will probably be a total of 8 goals kicked or some shit.

 

[Selim]

An all Day one

Larkey 3+
Breust 2+
Zurhaar 1+

Greene 2+
Curnow 2+
Mckay 1+

Marshall 2+
Rankine 1+
Dixon 1+
@15.86

 

[NYRB]

Parlays for Roos v Hawks

Hawks have to play better than last week. Tall players down back caused Hawthorn all sorts of problems last week. Amartey and big Logan McDonald, the Hawks backline had no answer for- maybe due to lack of experience, lack of size and lack of physicality. I dont know much about Comben but at 199 cm I think might cause a bit of trouble down back along with Nick Larkey

20

Nick Larkey

Age

26

Ht

198cm

Wt

96kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

8.5

2star

K

4.6

2star

HB

3.9

3star

M

3.3

3star

T

1.5

3star

G

1.4

5star

D

7.0

1star

K

4.0

1star

HB

3.0

2star

M

2.0

2star

T

1.0

2star

G

1.0

4star

D

8.8

3star

K

4.2

2star

HB

4.6

4star

M

3.2

4star

T

1.4

4star

G

0.8

4star

. Nick Larkey

20

Nick Larkey

Age

26

Ht

198cm

Wt

96kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

8.5

2star

K

4.6

2star

HB

3.9

3star

M

3.3

3star

T

1.5

3star

G

1.4

5star

D

7.0

1star

K

4.0

1star

HB

3.0

2star

M

2.0

2star

T

1.0

2star

G

1.0

4star

D

8.8

3star

K

4.2

2star

HB

4.6

4star

M

3.2

4star

T

1.4

4star

G

0.8

4star

and Zurhaar might get the best defenders in Sicily and Jiath and I think Sam Frost

8

Sam Frost

Age

31

Ht

194cm

Wt

94kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.4

3star

K

7.1

3star

HB

5.2

4star

M

3.7

4star

T

1.9

4star

MG

191.6

3star

D

10.5

3star

K

6.3

3star

HB

4.3

3star

M

4.0

4star

T

1.5

2star

MG

191.6

3star

D

11.2

3star

K

6.0

3star

HB

5.2

4star

M

3.6

4star

T

1.4

4star

will have a busy day at the office down back, so I dont mind him to chip in with his 15 disposals to boost up the parlay.



0.25 units Multi 1
Day 20+ Disposals
Ward 20+ Disposals
Amon 20+ Disposals
Hardwick 15+ Disposals
Sicily Over 25.5 Disposals
Sam Frost

8

Sam Frost

Age

31

Ht

194cm

Wt

94kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.4

3star

K

7.1

3star

HB

5.2

4star

M

3.7

4star

T

1.9

4star

MG

191.6

3star

D

10.5

3star

K

6.3

3star

HB

4.3

3star

M

4.0

4star

T

1.5

2star

MG

191.6

3star

D

11.2

3star

K

6.0

3star

HB

5.2

4star

M

3.6

4star

T

1.4

4star

15+ Disposals
Connor McDonald 15+ Disposals
Ben Cunnnington 25+ Disposals
Cameron Zurhaar

44

Cameron Zurhaar

Age

26

Ht

190cm

Wt

91kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.2

3star

K

6.6

3star

HB

4.6

3star

M

3.1

3star

T

2.9

4star

G

1.1

4star

D

9.7

2star

K

5.9

2star

HB

3.9

3star

M

2.4

3star

T

2.6

4star

G

1.1

5star

D

10.2

3star

K

6.6

3star

HB

3.6

3star

M

2.2

3star

T

1.8

4star

G

0.8

4star

Under 19.5 Disposals
Odds: $141, using Bet Refund feature if 1 leg fails

Im happy to take the under on Zurhaar on disposals here , in his career he has only got 20+ , 3 times. If it goes over, ill say fair play and I didnt read the room (social media).

0.5 unit Multi 2
Zurhaar 2+ Goals
Zurhaar Under 19.5 Disposals
Cunnington 25+ Disposals
Connor McDonald 15+ Disposals
Sicily Over 25.5 Disposals
Luke-Davies Uniacke Over 27.5 Disposals
Odds: $53.00

0.75 Unit Multi 3
Zurhaar Under 19.5 Disposals
Total Match Points Under 170.5 Points
Cunnington 25+ Disposals
Sicily Over 25.5 Disposals
Luke-Davies Uniacke Over 27.5 Disposals
Odds: $30.50

I dont mind this one, without Simpkin , I sense Cunnington and Davies-Uniacke will have to do more CBAs and midfield work. Also Hawks were beaten around contested disposals last week. This one is a statistical play but also feel matchup wise and tactically hoping the Roos do well in midfield and Sicily plays like he did against the Swans last week eg with his kick from behinds and run out of defence.

0.5 unit Multi 4
Zurhaar 3+ Goals
Goldstein 2+ Goals
Goldstein 15+ Disposals
Odds: $44.50

I think Goldstein will spend a mix of time in the forward and middle. Again similar reason , I think height and bigger bodies can stretch the Hawks down back.

0.5 units Multi 5:
Comben 3+ Goals
Curtis 2+ Goals
Zurhaar 2+ Goals
Odds: $44.50

Straight Up bets
0.50 unit Comben 4+ Goals @ $29

 

[desTROY]

Looking good

 

[GROTTO]

On top of Zurhaar and Larkey train up to 6

Tom Powell most likely fantasy beneficiary of no Simpkin I’d think.

80+ $2.40
90+ $4.25
100+ $8.50
110+ $17
120+ $41

Jumped on Zurhaar to 4 too in case Larkey has an off day.

 

[GROTTO]

Looking good

For a degen thats literally pr0n.

 

[Atavistic]

Jumped on Zurhaar to 4 too in case Larkey has an off day.

Same. Covering all bases.







But will probably miss out on something.

 

[mookieb]

Amartey kicked 4.2 and really should have had 6+, thats how poor the Hawks are. They made Amartey look like Wayne Carey.

Surely ffs Larkey kicks a huge bag today.

Gone FULL DEGEN all the way to 8+

Expecting a much better Hawks outfit today though.

 

[magpies77]

LDU 25+
Ziebell 20+
Zurhaar2+
3.75

Brock Train 2+, 3+

 

[toenail11]

Larkey 3
Zurhaar 2
Bruest 2
Brockman
@13.50

Comben 3,4 @8.50,29
Curtis 3,4 @6.50,18

Larkey 6 @15 b365. 8@41 pb

Oh yep sheezel and brock as well

 

[NonPhixion]

Looking good

thats hot

 

[Geead]

THIS IS IT FELLAS, WE'RE EITHER GONNA B(ROCK) HARD OR B(ROKE)

 

[LicoriceAllsorts]

SHEEZEL PRACTICING GOAL KICKING PRE GAME

 

[GROTTO]

Expecting a much better Hawks outfit today though.

Hawks may still win, but expect Larkey, to be amongst the goals.