balmainforever
Dibs
- Sep 4, 2003
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AFL 2023 - AFL Round 5
- Thread starter balmainforever
- Start date
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GROTTO
TheBrownDog
- Jul 5, 2013
- 68,439
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I rang 000 and told them about Sportsbet being down, they told me to chillax. 
Absolutely, the family and I had a fight night marathon a few weeks ago . Hence the Avatar lol. Best if the Best from way back when, This man was phenomenal to say the least ! Watch him all dayGeez your AvatarEvery single time I'm scrolling and hit one of your posts I get side tracked for a little while. What an absolute champion/freak he was.
Oh and yeah I can't login into Sportsbet either
GROTTO
TheBrownDog
- Jul 5, 2013
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PRIME TYSON vs PRIME ALI
Is the dream fight we could never have.
Is the dream fight we could never have.
6 Leg Same Game Multi
Adelaide v Carlton
16.25
Izak Rankine
To Score 2 or More Goals
Darcy Fogarty
To Score 2 or More Goals
Taylor Walker
To Score 2 or More Goals
Josh Rachele
Any Time Goal Scorer
Charlie Curnow
To Score 2 or More Goals
Harry McKay
To Score 2 or More Goals
Adelaide v Carlton
16.25
Izak Rankine
To Score 2 or More Goals
Darcy Fogarty
To Score 2 or More Goals
Taylor Walker
To Score 2 or More Goals
Josh Rachele
Any Time Goal Scorer
Charlie Curnow
To Score 2 or More Goals
Harry McKay
To Score 2 or More Goals
GROTTO
TheBrownDog
- Jul 5, 2013
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thats actually a solid multi of getting up.
GROTTO
TheBrownDog
- Jul 5, 2013
- 68,439
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- ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
LIVE WEATHER WITH GROTTO
Sun is out, but obviously setting in Adelaide, zero breeze and no clouds over Adelaide Oval as of 5.45pm.
Clear skies.
Consistent with this forecast.
Could be Train Night......
Sun is out, but obviously setting in Adelaide, zero breeze and no clouds over Adelaide Oval as of 5.45pm.
Clear skies.
Consistent with this forecast.
Could be Train Night......
GROTTO
TheBrownDog
- Jul 5, 2013
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- ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
GROTTO who is most likely out of Fog, rank or TT
GROTTO
TheBrownDog
- Jul 5, 2013
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- ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
I did this last time and got it wrong.
Someone else may give a better response.
I think TT will play further up ground like he did vs Freo around wing to half forward and take marks from 80m with Fog the deepest forward and Tex at around 50m.
I do like Rankine however.....
Fun Facts with Grotto
Rankine vs Carlton
In 3 games Izak has kicked just the 2 goals.
yea rankine has had a really great start to the year especially his last 3 weeks so feel he is due for a light one or he will kick 5 lol
Keays 2/3 @ 6.50/18
Murphy 2/3/4 @ 8.50/34/200
And a mix of 2/3 between them
Murphy 2/3/4 @ 8.50/34/200
And a mix of 2/3 between them
GROTTO
TheBrownDog
- Jul 5, 2013
- 68,439
- 94,034
- AFL Club
- Adelaide
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- ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
With that said Im on Rankine, but then again Im a degen.
GROTTO
TheBrownDog
- Jul 5, 2013
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- Adelaide
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- ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
LukeParkerno1
Post-Human
Someone say embrace the Ben Keays
- Sep 25, 2013
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No Rampe for swans sheeesh that is the smallest backline I’ve ever seen. Dusty and Reiwoldt could have a big one between them
Yeah, already putting a few multi's together for the Tigers forwards. Someone's kicking goals against that backline.
GROTTO
TheBrownDog
- Jul 5, 2013
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You know with Keays for 4+ Im safe.
- Oct 6, 2011
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AFL PointsBet Stat Multiplier Spreads for Adeladie v Carlton (Goals x Kicks x Handballs) and some reasoning behind each bet.
I have decided to mix and match stake units for these spreads.
$0.50 unit stakes
Cripps OVER 194- been umming and arghing the last 24 hours over this one. Given he is priced at $1.53 to score a goal today, I feel that the value in him lies in the OVER on the stat multiplier, if you think he can goal. $1.53 is a much poorer price in my opinion to score a goal than going Overs on the Stat Multiplier. His averages for kicks would be a little concerning given he doesnt average more than 10 kicks a game suprisingly over the last 3 years. Last time he scored a 468 against Adelaide , so im happy to board the majority on here who reckon he can go today. 11 of 45 times he has gone OVER the 194 line, so yes its a bet going against the trends for sure.
$0.50 unit stakes
Sam Walsh OVER 94- taking a place based on his average over the last 3 years. Again the only concern here is how Carlton manage him given his first game back.
$1.00 unit stakes
Cerra OVER 42- a play based on averages over the last 3 years. The 42 line he he cleared 8 times from 40 games. Its a low line to play for more reward and less risk.
$1.00 unit stakes
Walkers OVER 88- last years line for him was in the triple figures , around the 107 mark, so Im happy to take a play on here. With an average of 130 or so past 3 years im happy to take a play on this as I agree with another poster here , he may play up the field.
$1.00 unit stakes
Keays OVER 69- happy to take a play on the OVERS , given this line too was much higher last year, seeing around 83-97 range. I can also see him scoring a goal and maybe multiples.
$1.00 stakes
Rachele UNDER 132- achieved his largest multiplier last week. This looks like a little let down spot for him as I can a game where Carlton focus more attention to him and maybe a bit more attention to him. Kind of player that 15 disposals or so from him can change a game to his team favour.
$1.00 stake
Charlie Curnow UNDER 68- averages 1.9 handballs a game, and even if he kicks 5 goals, this may still be safe.
$1.00 stakes
Zac Fisher UNDER 69-a play based on numbers despite his 28 disposals last week.
Same Game Multis:
1.00 unit
Walker 15+ Disposals
Cerra Over 24.5 Disposals
Keays Over 19.5 Disposals
Odds: $10.60 (Boosted)
0.15 units
Walker 15+ Disposals
Cerra Over 24.5 Disposals
Keays Over 19.5 Disposals
Patrick Cripps Most Disposals Group 1 (Laird, Cripps, Dawson, Walsh, Hewett, Keays, Sloane and Cerra)
Odds: $32.25
0.3125 units
Cripps Most Disposals Group A(Walsh, Laird, Cripps, Dawson, Hewett, Kennedy, Sloane, Keays)
Brodie Smith Most Disposals Group B (Brodie Smith, Cerra, Saad, Acres, Brodie Smith, Newman, Soligo, Sholl, Rachele)
Odds: $39.44 Ladbrokes
I have decided to mix and match stake units for these spreads.
$0.50 unit stakes
Cripps OVER 194- been umming and arghing the last 24 hours over this one. Given he is priced at $1.53 to score a goal today, I feel that the value in him lies in the OVER on the stat multiplier, if you think he can goal. $1.53 is a much poorer price in my opinion to score a goal than going Overs on the Stat Multiplier. His averages for kicks would be a little concerning given he doesnt average more than 10 kicks a game suprisingly over the last 3 years. Last time he scored a 468 against Adelaide , so im happy to board the majority on here who reckon he can go today. 11 of 45 times he has gone OVER the 194 line, so yes its a bet going against the trends for sure.
$0.50 unit stakes
Sam Walsh OVER 94- taking a place based on his average over the last 3 years. Again the only concern here is how Carlton manage him given his first game back.
$1.00 unit stakes
Cerra OVER 42- a play based on averages over the last 3 years. The 42 line he he cleared 8 times from 40 games. Its a low line to play for more reward and less risk.
$1.00 unit stakes
Walkers OVER 88- last years line for him was in the triple figures , around the 107 mark, so Im happy to take a play on here. With an average of 130 or so past 3 years im happy to take a play on this as I agree with another poster here , he may play up the field.
$1.00 unit stakes
Keays OVER 69- happy to take a play on the OVERS , given this line too was much higher last year, seeing around 83-97 range. I can also see him scoring a goal and maybe multiples.
$1.00 stakes
Rachele UNDER 132- achieved his largest multiplier last week. This looks like a little let down spot for him as I can a game where Carlton focus more attention to him and maybe a bit more attention to him. Kind of player that 15 disposals or so from him can change a game to his team favour.
$1.00 stake
Charlie Curnow UNDER 68- averages 1.9 handballs a game, and even if he kicks 5 goals, this may still be safe.
$1.00 stakes
Zac Fisher UNDER 69-a play based on numbers despite his 28 disposals last week.
Same Game Multis:
1.00 unit
Walker 15+ Disposals
Cerra Over 24.5 Disposals
Keays Over 19.5 Disposals
Odds: $10.60 (Boosted)
0.15 units
Walker 15+ Disposals
Cerra Over 24.5 Disposals
Keays Over 19.5 Disposals
Patrick Cripps Most Disposals Group 1 (Laird, Cripps, Dawson, Walsh, Hewett, Keays, Sloane and Cerra)
Odds: $32.25
0.3125 units
Cripps Most Disposals Group A(Walsh, Laird, Cripps, Dawson, Hewett, Kennedy, Sloane, Keays)
Brodie Smith Most Disposals Group B (Brodie Smith, Cerra, Saad, Acres, Brodie Smith, Newman, Soligo, Sholl, Rachele)
Odds: $39.44 Ladbrokes
Curtis dropped and Sheezel named forward. 2+ 15 / 3+ 67 (PB) and 4+ 501 / 5+ 1001 (365).
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