AFL 2023 - AFL Round 5

[balmainforever]

 

[GROTTO]

Last games between freo and suns have been shite and low scoring
33-69
76-49
51-64
58-61

Doesn't fill me with much confidence for goal trains.
Probably bet the unders if it's trash weather ?

B365 alt lines are
Under 134.5 - $5.50
Under 144.5. - $3.60
Under 155.5 - $2.50

Something to think about

Getting to Station 1, will be some achievement for any goal scorer in these teams.

 

[targett]

LANCE Franklin will miss Friday night's match against Richmond due to a knee problem while Sam Reid

20

Sam Reid

Age

33

Ht

196cm

Wt

96kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.3

3star

K

6.3

2star

HB

5.0

4star

M

4.7

4star

T

2.2

4star

G

1.1

4star

D

12.0

3star

K

6.0

2star

HB

6.0

3star

M

4.0

4star

T

0.0

1star

G

1.0

4star

D

9.4

3star

K

5.4

2star

HB

4.0

3star

M

4.4

4star

T

1.8

4star

G

0.4

3star

has suffered a major setback in his recovery from injury and will not return until after the mid-season bye.

 

[burge13]

LANCE Franklin will miss Friday night's match against Richmond due to a knee problem while Sam Reid has suffered a major setback in his recovery from injury and will not return until after the mid-season bye.

Reid injured?! Sure you read that right? Blokes the gold standard for fitness. Ever reliable, they call him "camry" in the rooms as he never breaks down. Shocked to be reading this /s

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

LANCE Franklin will miss Friday night's match against Richmond due to a knee problem while Sam Reid has suffered a major setback in his recovery from injury and will not return until after the mid-season bye.

One less tall for Balta to cover

 

[bulletride]

Stephenson 2/3/4 $5.20/$18/$91 at SB, he's been all or nothing this year with games of 3, 2, 0 and 0 but the role is there under Clarko.

Caldwell 1/2/3 $2.15/$7.50/$34 at SB, 0.3 and 2.1 in his last two and playing pretty much exclusively forward now.

 

[freo_leo29]

One less tall for Balta to cover

McLean will play imo

 

[Long Shot Louie]

Alright Gentlemen, I know I said I would wait until later in the week for this but the fact is that degenerates can simply not sit with their dicks in their hands for that long in anticipation of the LONG SHOT LOUIE LOCK OF THE WEEK. This segment is now up 5.5 units on the year and those that have followed the recommended staking protocol would have more than doubled their investment. Incredible.

Anyway, as some of you may have heard, the remarkably consistent Richmond football side is now 20 from their past 21 games+6 points.
The line for the upcoming Tigs v Swans game has been recklessly set by the books at an absurd 11.5 at the time of writing.

Much has been made about the Tigers outs but I would argue that the loss of the Mccartins is just as great a loss for the swans and Buddy missing is also significant because he singlehandedly won this game for the swans last year after Hardwick arrogantly played rookie defender Gibcus on him and he proceeded to kick 5 goals in a quarter.
Richmond will have plenty of firepower up forward still with Cumberland, Ryan, old man Riewoldt and Dusty/Bolton to kick a score against this depleted Swans backline.
The additions of Taranto and Hopper are handy since last year as well.

For the reasons outlined above, Richmond at the line+11.5 points is the LONG SHOT LOUIE LOCK OF THE WEEK.

5 units

 

[kicksome]

Stephenson 2/3/4 $5.20/$18/$91 at SB, he's been all or nothing this year with games of 3, 2, 0 and 0 but the role is there under Clarko.

Caldwell 1/2/3 $2.15/$7.50/$34 at SB, 0.3 and 2.1 in his last two and playing pretty much exclusively forward now.
View attachment 1656561

I'm following these as I was on them last week but they come up against Melbourne and Brisbane this week, so it's going to be hard work for them

 

[Johanpetro]

It’s not $9 () but geez the $3.30 for 2 Rayner goals on 365 is nice against North.

Also, Norwood Stadium has the narrowest dimensions in the league by far from my quick research and is also one of the smallest in length if that means anything.

 

[Johanpetro]

Tip rat Switkowski a chance for goals? $23 for 3 on TAB, ~$8 elsewhere

 

[kicksome]

Izaak Rankine
Obvious I know; but last week kicked 3.2 and his heatmap is just juicy as hell. 13 touches in the forward 50. He will kick a bag of 5 or 6 soon enough
B365
3+ $3.50
4+ $9
5+ $22

 

[kicksome]

Tip rat Switkowski a chance for goals? $23 for 3 on TAB, ~$8 elsewhere

Played more of a higher mid role last week?

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Henry any chance to start for the Cats for 4,5,6 on SB?

 

[Johanpetro]

Played more of a higher mid role last week?

Yeh looks it. Kicked 1.1 week before and 1.2 round 1

 

[Johanpetro]

Henry any chance to start for the Cats for 4,5,6 on SB?

I’d say he’s almost a lock. And Rohan may miss as well

 

[kicksome]

Henry any chance to start for the Cats for 4,5,6 on SB?

Good question. I can't see them dropping esava, he wasn't bad yesterday.

 

[fpm84]

Henry any chance to start for the Cats for 4,5,6 on SB?

Waiting on MRO news re Rohan. If Rohan plays, I think Henry will be sub again. Expecting Rohan to get a week and Henry to start.

 

[freo_leo29]

Tip rat Switkowski a chance for goals? $23 for 3 on TAB, ~$8 elsewhere

Been splitting his time between midfield and forward, spent time on the bench injured last game, was heavily iced on both legs post game, has a big injury history

Wouldn't be surprised to see him managed for freddy

 

[TryAnHit]

There is pure rain forecast for adel on Saturday remember this before give books free money if it's wet as

 

[dontlimitme]

the games from sat onwards are gonna be ****ed, shit weather and tons of games are gonna **** the field up surely

 

[GROTTO]

the games from sat onwards are gonna be ****ed, s**t weather and tons of games are gonna * the field up surely

Degens show no fear of rain, hail or shine.

We are degens for a reason.

 

[fpm84]

gonna be ****ed, s**t weather and tons of games are gonna * the field up surely

Bad weather you say?

 

[Suncraze]

Crows +2.5 still available on Lads post Doch news. Can look to middle later in the week, should start favs

 

[Atavistic]

the games from sat onwards are gonna be ****ed, s**t weather and tons of games are gonna * the field up surely

No trains then?

 

[dontlimitme]

No trains then?

View attachment 1656681

not until closer to game day when we can eye spy with our little eyes the weather for me