AFL 2023 - AFL Round 7

[balmainforever]

 

[Fabab]

thread open
odds up after storm warriors game is finished

been a good game so far matey.

 

[LicoriceAllsorts]

 

[dontlimitme]

 

[tangolikelama]

Outside of my bonus and free hit i'll sit this out. Taken the whole degenerate thing a bit far.

 

[dontlimitme]

Outside of my bonus and free hit i'll sit this out. Taken the whole degenerate thing a bit far.

+1

 

[fpm84]

Papley 6+ at SB is $81 ($35 at B365).

Think Swans will bounce back hard v GWS.

 

[dontlimitme]

Papley 6+ at SB is $81 ($35 at B365).

Think Swans will bounce back hard v GWS.

might be rainy as, forecast doesn't look good and total is only 150

 

[BloodRet]

Outside of my bonus and free hit i'll sit this out. Taken the whole degenerate thing a bit far.

+1

 

[jikost]

I like Chandler's odds vs North. He's been a dead-eye this year and you would think Melbourne will be able to generate enough inside 50's to give him some shots on goal. Spargo ruled out again which will only boost his role.

2+ @ $2.55 sb
3+ @ $6.25
4+ @ $17
5+ @ $61

 

[Long Shot Louie]

Jesse Hogan

23

Jesse Hogan

Age

29

Ht

196cm

Wt

100kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

15.0

4star

K

9.3

4star

HB

5.7

4star

M

6.4

5star

T

1.4

3star

G

1.9

5star

D

10.3

3star

K

6.0

2star

HB

4.3

3star

M

5.3

5star

T

0.0

1star

G

0.0

1star

D

13.0

4star

K

9.0

4star

HB

4.0

3star

M

6.4

5star

T

1.4

4star

G

1.8

5star

2+@$2.10 B365
3+@$4.10 SB
4+@$11 B365
5+@$30 B355
6+@$101 SB

Swans gave up 5 goals to both Cameron and Hawkins last week and have serious structural problems in defence. Jesse is low key in really good form with everything except for his kicking, which is abysmal and has cost us untold thousands this year. Weather also might not be great. Still think these odds are good and if he turns around his kicking could be great.

Will be trying to get back to the basic fundamentals this week and back good players at great odds.

 

[Squall]

does anyone how you get the 4+ & 5+ options on bet365. I can view under multiscorers 2+ & 3+

 

[Bucking Bronco]

Jesse Hogan 2+@$2.10 B365
3+@$4.10 SB
4+@$11 B365
5+@$30 B355
6+@$101 SB

Swans gave up 5 goals to both Cameron and Hawkins last week and have serious structural problems in defence. Jesse is low key in really good form with everything except for his kicking, which is abysmal and has cost us untold thousands this year. Weather also might not be great. Still think these odds are good and if he turns around his kicking could be great.

Will be trying to get back to the basic fundamentals this week and back good players at great odds.

At first glance, but Ramp and Tom McCartin likely back this week, with Aaron Francis potentially playing as a third tall. Not sure the edge is still there backing talls vs Sydeny's defence.

 

[Suncraze]

2.5u Geelong -14.5 Lads
Seems a little low

 

[Jugada]

does anyone how you get the 4+ & 5+ options on bet365. I can view under multiscorers 2+ & 3+

Same game multi

 

[Bucking Bronco]

So sohohoho, how greatly do team's performance vary off a 5 day break?

 

[Selim]

Outside of my bonus and free hit i'll sit this out. Taken the whole degenerate thing a bit far.

i may have got abit over confident with those last games and also taken the degenerate thing abit to far aswell

 

[GROTTO]

i may have got abit over confident with those last games and also taken the degenerate thing abit to far aswell

Personally its a bit of a brag and after timing, but I havent lost a single bet so far in Round 7.

 

[sohohoho]

So sohohoho, how greatly do team's performance vary off a 5 day break?

do not have this data but found this from swamp


Probably matters just as much as how teams manage their side on the 5 day break too

 

[Long Shot Louie]

At first glance, but Ramp and Tom McCartin likely back this week, with Aaron Francis potentially playing as a third tall. Not sure the edge is still there backing talls vs Sydeny's defence.

Swans board reckons there is a fair chance that both, or at least one of those blokes don’t come back this week and Fox is out as well after being concussed. I’ll ride it out regardless because we don’t usually get these odds for him and he is in good form.

I also love Toby Greene’s odds this week. Much better then the normal Toby odds and he should be fired up for the battle of the bridge.
Toby Greene 2+@$$2.10 B365
3+@$4 B365
4+@$11 B365
5+@$30 B365 and $26 SB for more
6+@$101 SB

 

[targett]

do not have this data but found this from swamp


Probably matters just as much as how teams manage their side on the 5 day break too

Little bit more complex than 136-136 . Travel,Team quality, Home/Away , As you mentioned management etc etc etc

 

[maskmcgee]

Just something I wondered after watching players carefully yesterday, if a player is tackled and drops the ball and tries to kick it, or throws it, but the umpire doesn't pay a free kick, does it count as a disposal?

 

[sohohoho]

Little bit more complex than 136-136 . Travel,Team quality, Home/Away , As you mentioned management etc etc etc

no gambling for Swamp unfortunately.

I might be able to get something together for it

 

[sohohoho]

Just something I wondered after watching players carefully yesterday, if a player is tackled and drops the ball and tries to kick it, or throws it, but the umpire doesn't pay a free kick, does it count as a disposal?

if find an example of it can check the play by play and what Champ Data graded it

 

[gillon]

Swans board reckons there is a fair chance that both, or at least one of those blokes don’t come back this week and Fox is out as well after being concussed. I’ll ride it out regardless because we don’t usually get these odds for him and he is in good form.

I also love Toby Greene’s odds this week. Much better then the normal Toby odds and he should be fired up for the battle of the bridge.
Toby Greene 2+@$$2.10 B365
3+@$4 B365
4+@$11 B365
5+@$30 B365 and $26 SB for more
6+@$101 SB

Can’t remember the last time I saw Toby over $2 for 2 or more.


Good shout