balmainforever
Dibs
- Sep 4, 2003
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- Balmain, GreenBay, Edmonton, Celtic
- Thread starter
- Moderator
- #139
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AFLW 2024 - Round 4 - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
AFL 2023 - AFL Round 8
- Thread starter balmainforever
- Start date
- Tagged users None
Here guys i made us all a video to make round 8 more enjoyable. You must have subtitles on for it to make sense for Hitler.
Enjoy!
Enjoy!
AFL Punting Hitler
Bigfooty AFL punting topics. related to punters on the main forum.
www.captiongenerator.com
Last edited:
Riewoldt injured? No odds on 365.
I like O’Halloran’s odds for GWS v WB.
3.0 and 2.1 last 2 games. Likes to have a shot from anywhere. Booted one from 55m last weekend.
1,2,3,4 @ 2.25, 7, 26, 150 @ 365
3.0 and 2.1 last 2 games. Likes to have a shot from anywhere. Booted one from 55m last weekend.
1,2,3,4 @ 2.25, 7, 26, 150 @ 365
weather is something to keep a keen eye on for eagles/rich and geel wc totals on sat, hail expected... but the way cats are scoring 166-167 could still be cleared unless its a swimming pool
- Jun 16, 2018
- 8,917
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- North Melbourne
So you're saying I should load up on Allen 4+ into Ryan 4+ @ $58 (boosted) on sb?
Sounds awfully short but a degen gotta do what a degen gotta do
ferrisb
Brownlow Medallist
A bit of a pat on the back, but I backed this in round 6 (loss) and round 7 (win, multid with Geel H2H and power up @ $31).
SB now cottoned on and odds this week are $4.90
Not touching at $4.90, but he has kicked 2 goals 3/7 matches this year, which is awesome for a mid. Keep an eye on this if he goes goalless a few times and his odds drift out.
Griffin Logue some chance of playing forward for North. Got moved there with both their talls going down on the weekend. Odds look like they’ve come in already on 365. Surely would have been $5 AGS?
- Aug 16, 2009
- 1,499
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- Essendon
Still $15 on PB. Played a fair bit more across HF on the weekend too, down to only 20% CBAs
Merrett was the same, unsure if continues vs Port
going for some oddball goal kickers in the Richmond vs westcoast game.
Both trash teams who hardly have kicked goals all year, so lets see if they can remember how
Tim Kelly.
Someone in here posted his record against richmond and the fact that they dont tag, so he should get a chance or 2.
AGS $2.50
2+ $12
Marlion Picket.
Got listed as HFF against the gold coast for a return of 1 behind. Surely if hes listed there he at least gets 1 or 2 chances?
AGS $3
2+ $15
Timmy Taranto.
has been peppering away at the goals all year kicking a total of 2.6. He wont get much more of an easier chance than this weekend. Has also slotted 4 in a match before.
2+ $6.50
3+ $21
Jai Cully.
Half decent odds for someone who kicked 4.1 two weeks ago and 1 goal in a 100+ point loss on the weekend.
2+ $3.50
3+ $11
4+ $29
odds are from pointsbet.
Feel free to let me know if ive missed something
Both trash teams who hardly have kicked goals all year, so lets see if they can remember how
Tim Kelly.
Someone in here posted his record against richmond and the fact that they dont tag, so he should get a chance or 2.
AGS $2.50
2+ $12
Marlion Picket.
Got listed as HFF against the gold coast for a return of 1 behind. Surely if hes listed there he at least gets 1 or 2 chances?
AGS $3
2+ $15
Timmy Taranto.
has been peppering away at the goals all year kicking a total of 2.6. He wont get much more of an easier chance than this weekend. Has also slotted 4 in a match before.
2+ $6.50
3+ $21
Jai Cully.
Half decent odds for someone who kicked 4.1 two weeks ago and 1 goal in a 100+ point loss on the weekend.
2+ $3.50
3+ $11
4+ $29
odds are from pointsbet.
Feel free to let me know if ive missed something
Just the weather, looks potentially shit.
all look okay prices if its not too bad
West the other who plays forward more than mid, has 5 shots at goal in his 3 matches, some $13 there for him for 2
GROTTO
TheBrownDog
- Jul 5, 2013
- 68,057
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2027 Round 1
Tasmanian Devils to win and at the line.
Assuming Im not broke, banned or dead by then, potentially all three could happen at once too.
Tasmanian Devils to win and at the line.
Assuming Im not broke, banned or dead by then, potentially all three could happen at once too.
Hmm, I don't have one atm, I'll have get back to you.
mozz23
Team Captain
- Jul 6, 2021
- 394
- 392
- AFL Club
- Essendon
Charlie Dixon 2+ $2.02 lads
Around $1.40 everywhere else don’t think the dons have a match up for him.
Has also covered 4/6 this season
Around $1.40 everywhere else don’t think the dons have a match up for him.
Has also covered 4/6 this season
- Sep 12, 2013
- 1,976
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- Essendon
Give me FOG for a bag this week. Don’t care it’s Geelong. Don’t care it’s at GMHBA
Sam Weideman just kicked 5 on them.
2, 3, 4 and 5 for $2.15, $4.25, $12 and $30
Sam Weideman just kicked 5 on them.
2, 3, 4 and 5 for $2.15, $4.25, $12 and $30
- Moderator
- #45
Another losing week last week. The trends are still there, just went with the wrong selections last week.
Some potential matchup trends to exploit:
RICH vs WC
Big forwards against WC this year have gone:
Rd 1: Larkey 6.0
Rd 2: Hogan 3.4
Rd 3: Amiss 2.1
Rd 4: McDonald 4.1
Rd 5: Hawkins 4.1, Cameron 4.1
Rd 6: Finlayson 5.2
Rd 7: Curnow 9.3
Riewoldt (terrible odds, but just going with the obvious)
2+ $1.15
3+ $1.56
4+ $2.45
5+ $4.40
6+ $8.75
GEEL vs ADEL
Smaller forwards against Geelong have gone:
Rd 1: De Goey 3.0, Hill 3.0, McReery 2.0, McInness 2.1
Rd 2: Owies 3.0
Rd 3: Lukosius 5.2
Rd 4: Breust 3.1
Rd 5: Waterman 4.1
Rd 6: Hayward 2.0, Papley 1.1
Rd 7: Stringer 4.1
Rankine
2+ $2.20
3+ $4.90
4+ $13
GWS vs WB
Smaller forwards against GWS this year have gone:
Rd 1: Rachele 3.1, Rankine 2.5
Rd 2: Waterman 4.2, Cripps 3.2
Rd 3: Motlop 2.0, Owies 2.0
Rd 4: Stringer 4.6
Rd 5: Greene 3.0
Rd 6: Cameron 7.2
Rd 7: Hayward 3.1, Papley 1.2
Weightman
2+ $1.58
3+ $2.85
4+ $6
5+ $14
FRE vs HAW
Big forwards against Freo have gone:
Rd 2: Larkey 4.0
Rd 3: Allen 3.3, Darling 3.2
Rd 4: Walker 4.0
Rd 5: King 2.0
Rd 6: Naughton 3.2, Lobb 1.3, Ugle-Hagan 0.3
Rd 7: Daniher 3.2, Hipwood 2.2
Lewis
2+ $1.56
3+ $2.80
4+ $6
5+ $14
6+ $34
PA vs ESS
Smaller forwards against Ess this year have gone:
Rd 1: Breust 3.1
Rd 2: Ainsworth 1.2, Jeffrey 1.2
Rd 3: Butler 4.0, Higgins 4.0
Rd 4: Greene 2.2, Daniels 1.1
Rd 5: Fritsch 2.2, Pickett 2.2, Melksham 2.1
Rd 6: Ginnivan 2.2, McCreery 2.0
Rd 7: Simpson 2.1, Henry 2.0
Rioli
2+ $2.35
3+ $5.50
4+ $15
NM vs STK
Smaller forwards against North have gone:
Rd 1: Ryan 3.0
Rd 2: Frederick 1.2, Walters 2.1
Rd 3: Brockman 3.1, Greene 2.2
Rd 4: Motlop 2.1, Durdin 1.2
Rd 5: Cameron 4.1
Rd 6: Ainsworth 2.1, Humphrey 2.1
Rd 7: Fritsch 4.0, Chandler 3.0, Pickett 3.0
Higgins
2+ $1.37
3+ $2.18
4+ $4.10
5+ $8.50
Some potential matchup trends to exploit:
RICH vs WC
Big forwards against WC this year have gone:
Rd 1: Larkey 6.0
Rd 2: Hogan 3.4
Rd 3: Amiss 2.1
Rd 4: McDonald 4.1
Rd 5: Hawkins 4.1, Cameron 4.1
Rd 6: Finlayson 5.2
Rd 7: Curnow 9.3
Riewoldt (terrible odds, but just going with the obvious)
2+ $1.15
3+ $1.56
4+ $2.45
5+ $4.40
6+ $8.75
GEEL vs ADEL
Smaller forwards against Geelong have gone:
Rd 1: De Goey 3.0, Hill 3.0, McReery 2.0, McInness 2.1
Rd 2: Owies 3.0
Rd 3: Lukosius 5.2
Rd 4: Breust 3.1
Rd 5: Waterman 4.1
Rd 6: Hayward 2.0, Papley 1.1
Rd 7: Stringer 4.1
Rankine
2+ $2.20
3+ $4.90
4+ $13
GWS vs WB
Smaller forwards against GWS this year have gone:
Rd 1: Rachele 3.1, Rankine 2.5
Rd 2: Waterman 4.2, Cripps 3.2
Rd 3: Motlop 2.0, Owies 2.0
Rd 4: Stringer 4.6
Rd 5: Greene 3.0
Rd 6: Cameron 7.2
Rd 7: Hayward 3.1, Papley 1.2
Weightman
2+ $1.58
3+ $2.85
4+ $6
5+ $14
FRE vs HAW
Big forwards against Freo have gone:
Rd 2: Larkey 4.0
Rd 3: Allen 3.3, Darling 3.2
Rd 4: Walker 4.0
Rd 5: King 2.0
Rd 6: Naughton 3.2, Lobb 1.3, Ugle-Hagan 0.3
Rd 7: Daniher 3.2, Hipwood 2.2
Lewis
2+ $1.56
3+ $2.80
4+ $6
5+ $14
6+ $34
PA vs ESS
Smaller forwards against Ess this year have gone:
Rd 1: Breust 3.1
Rd 2: Ainsworth 1.2, Jeffrey 1.2
Rd 3: Butler 4.0, Higgins 4.0
Rd 4: Greene 2.2, Daniels 1.1
Rd 5: Fritsch 2.2, Pickett 2.2, Melksham 2.1
Rd 6: Ginnivan 2.2, McCreery 2.0
Rd 7: Simpson 2.1, Henry 2.0
Rioli
2+ $2.35
3+ $5.50
4+ $15
NM vs STK
Smaller forwards against North have gone:
Rd 1: Ryan 3.0
Rd 2: Frederick 1.2, Walters 2.1
Rd 3: Brockman 3.1, Greene 2.2
Rd 4: Motlop 2.1, Durdin 1.2
Rd 5: Cameron 4.1
Rd 6: Ainsworth 2.1, Humphrey 2.1
Rd 7: Fritsch 4.0, Chandler 3.0, Pickett 3.0
Higgins
2+ $1.37
3+ $2.18
4+ $4.10
5+ $8.50
- Sep 20, 2016
- 2,309
- 1,918
- AFL Club
- Hawthorn
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- Liverpool, Red Sox, Philly Eagles
I'll take $3.75 dead & broke.2027 Round 1
Tasmanian Devils to win and at the line.
Assuming Im not broke, banned or dead by then, potentially all three could happen at once too.
i found Adolf's hitlist-
Charlie Cameron 2g+, Curnow 2g+
JC, hawkins, Henry, simpson ags
SPP 2g+
Gresham 2g+
0.5u @32.72 b365 (dont take the same bet with ripoff-odds at sb @15.07)
- Jun 16, 2018
- 8,917
- 15,952
- AFL Club
- North Melbourne
If I were offered those odds I would put a fair chunk of my life savings on it.
Blowout to $1b should be even money, $1.2b should be 4:1 at best, 61s is way overs.
I can make up whatever imaginary odds I like.
