2023 ICC Men's Cricket World Cup Game 24 Australia v Netherlands 25/10 1900hrs @ Arun Jaitley Stadium

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4th is a death sentence anyway, we'd lose to India in a semi final. Need to win out and finish 2nd or 3rd and hope India lose their semi.

I’d rather play India in a semi anyway. They have a horrid record in WC semis. All the pressure on them
 

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The problem with this line of thinking is that it totally ignores how unlikely Australia is to win either NZ or ENG matches.
Both are 50/50 games, even with England's current woes. We could just as easily win both as lose both.

Even if we drop both, Pakistan and England have almost already done too much damage to their campaigns to peg us back.

Almost is a dangerous word, though isn't... We're not over the line of course, but like I said... It would be a calamity if we missed it from this position.

if you're a betting man, bookmaker odds have us about 90% chance of making the semi finals now, which feels about right.
 

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2023 ICC Men's Cricket World Cup Game 24 Australia v Netherlands 25/10 1900hrs @ Arun Jaitley Stadium

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