2023 NFL Season

[EFL Boy]

Gone with a few speculative futures multis thus far @ Sportsbet...

Hamlin - CPOTY
Chubb - OPOY
Williams - Heisman
@$113

Hamlin - CPOTY
Jefferson - OPOY
Williams - Heisman
@$98

Hamlin - CPOTY
Bijan - OPOY
Williams - Heisman
@$272

Also threw in Drake Maye to a couple @ $19 for the Heisman

 

[NonPhixion]

Hamlin is a great multi builder. He probably just needs to play 1 game to win that award.
Love Jags to win their division $1.65 -$1.7
Bills Outright winner
Alex Mattison O6.5 Rushing TDs $1.91 SB

Ravens -9.5 week 1 looks good

 

[EFL Boy]

Hamlin is a great multi builder. He probably just needs to play 1 game to win that award.
Love Jags to win their division $1.65 -$1.7
Bills Outright winner
Alex Mattison O6.5 Rushing TDs $1.91 SB

Ravens -9.5 week 1 looks good

Yep, 100%.

However Sportsbet only allowing multis of CPOTY & OPOY it seems in terms of NFL awards... That's why I threw in the Heisman also.

 

[NYRB]

Outright and Futures odds for teams this season


Season predictions for Win /Loss:

Titans 4-13
Jaguars 9-8
Colts 3-14
Texans 7-10
Broncos 9-8
Chiefs 13-4
Raiders 4-13
Chargers 9-8
Ravens 9-8
Bengals 14-3
Browns 6-11
Steelers 9-8
Bills 9-8
Dolphins 11-6
Patriots 8-9
Jets 13-4
Cowboys 9-8
Eagles 12-5
Giants 9-8
Commanders 5-12
Bears 12-5
Lions 9-8
Packers 9-8
Vikings 8-9
Falcons 9-8
Panthers 9-8
Saints 9-8
Buccaneers 7-10
Cardinals 2-15
Rams 7-10
49ers 13-4
Seahawks 8-9


1.0 unit
Multi: AFC East- New York Jets, AFC North- Bengals @ $8.81 Ladbrokes

0.20 units

Multi: AFC East- Jets, AFC North-Bengals, NFC-North- Bears @ 41.12 Ladbrokes


Multi: Arizona Under 4.5 Wins, Baltimore Under 10.5 Wins, Colts Under 6.5 Wins, Patriots Over 7.5 Wins @ $12.50. (TAB ). TAB wont allow for some combinations .


I genuinely feel Rodgers will get New York rocking in 2023. He will love the limelight of the New York market.

 

[dontlimitme]

philly going one better this season

 

[EFL Boy]

TAB has a little potential goldmine for the Player Season Totals markets, able to multi them. A LOT of good, juicy odds there.

Obviously risk with it being futures, so injury etc.

 

[Areyoufireal]

philly going one better this season

Agreed, on the eagles SB win @ 9 and 9.50

 

[EFL Boy]

Little cheatsheet for the TAB Player Season Totals Multi market

 

[NYRB]

Keen for a season 4-fold on following rushing yards players to clear the over: Henry, Etienne, McCaffrey and Saquon. Lines from Sportsbet yesterday showed the following. Will look around to see if can get decent odds on a 4-fold on that.





Henry and Saquon were able to clear those lines last year missing 1 game each.

As a bit of interest this was a quoted price in the UK for this accumulator:

Is there any value in that?

 

[EFL Boy]

Keen for a season 4-fold on following rushing yards players to clear the over: Henry, Etienne, McCaffrey and Saquon. Lines from Sportsbet yesterday showed the following. Will look around to see if can get decent odds on a 4-fold on that.

View attachment 1791142



Henry and Saquon were able to clear those lines last year missing 1 game each.

As a bit of interest this was a quoted price in the UK for this accumulator:

Is there any value in that?

CMC, Walker & Etienne would be the worries there, IMO.

Seattle invested good draft capital in another RB, so Walker won’t have the free rein of the position he had last year.

Similarly with Jacksonville and Dougy P has a track record of a committee approach.

But at 150/1, it’s worth a shot.

 

[NYRB]

Had a look at Receiving Yards for upcoming season. Odds from Sportsbet, with the last column showing Receiving Yards per Game in 2022.




Not sure what I am missing with Travis Kelce line 1075.5 seems a really nice line. He is Mahomes first hand man in big matches.

I like Jordan Addison to clear that line.

Stefon Diggs to go Over. He covered that line in 16 games last season (1429 Receving yards)


And I reckon AJ Brown goes the Under on that this season. Averaged around 8.5 targets per game last season but think he gets potentially less targets this season with how the Eagles play. Their strength has traditionally been the running game.

So a Kelce Overs, Addison Overs, Diggs Overs and AJ Brown Unders anyone?

 

[NYRB]

Week 1 Head to Head

Pittsburgh Steelers to Beat the 49ers on their home deck at above evens.

 

[NYRB]

Week 1 Head to head

Also taken the Titans to beat the New Orleans Saints at above evens.

 

[NYRB]

SkyBet offering this at 4/1

But Ill take Christian McCaffrey anytime TD at $2.12 against the Steelers in Week 1.

 

[NYRB]

But Ill take Christian McCaffrey anytime TD at $2.12 against the Steelers in Week 1.

Also taken the Titans to beat the New Orleans Saints at above evens.

Pittsburgh Steelers to Beat the 49ers on their home deck at above evens.

1 winner , 2 lost bets on NFL Sunday.



NFL Monday Night Football

Over 7.5 Rushing Attempts by Josh Allen v New York Jets @ $2.05

His previous stats against the Jets:



The game where he got 0 yards he was a backup Quarterback.

His line for Rushing Yards is U/O 37.5 .

 

[NYRB]

Week 1 Monday Night Football

New York Jets to beat the Buffalo Bills @ 2.18

Its going to be a welcome party at Metlife for Aaron Rodgers in his 1st game.

 

[Suncraze]

Jets +16.5 LIVE TAB $1.75 3u

 

[NYRB]

Over 7.5 Rushing Attempts by Josh Allen v New York Jets @ $2.05

New York Jets to beat the Buffalo Bills @ 2.18

1 win and 1 loss. Jets were a higher price in-play after Rodgers went down in the 1st quarter.

 

[NYRB]

Wondering what a reasonable line for Zach Wilson Passing Yards would be for Week 2 versus the Cowboys?

Ill have a stab and say 220.5 Passing Yards U/O?

Line props haven't come out at the time of writing.

 

[NYRB]

Wondering what a reasonable line for Zach Wilson Passing Yards would be for Week 2 versus the Cowboys?

Ill have a stab and say 220.5 Passing Yards U/O?

Line props haven't come out at the time of writing.

Upon thinking about this number, I think thats too high on initial inspection.

Id probably go somewhere in the mid 180's- ill go 184.5 Passing Yards.

Zach Wilson Passing Yards away from home ground:

252, 110, 121, 77, 258, 160, 192, 51, 145, 170 and 187.

 

[NYRB]

Id probably go somewhere in the mid 180's- ill go 184.5 Passing Yards.

Just saw Sportsbet released line and at 174.5 Passing Yards. The play for me has to be the overs for Zach Wilson against the Cowboys.

 

[Suncraze]

Eagles -6 3u

 

[Barralupo]

Tempted to load up on Miami -2.5 (buy the half point). Struggling to understand why this line is so low. Tua hasn't lost to the Patriots and looked great vs the Chargers. Jones looked better in week 1, but many of his OL are on the injury report

 

[NonPhixion]

Burrow U9.5 rush yards

He's not going to run

 

[Suncraze]

Eagles -6 3u

An all time bad beat this (pushed)