AFL 2024 - AFL Opening Round

[balmainforever]

 

[Jatz]

Wtf it’s $1.30 for me (

It's one of their Mega Boost offers.

 

[Atavistic]

Wtf it’s $1.30 for me (

Are you looking in the wrong spot?

 

[Jamurp]

Tom Sparrow

32

Tom Sparrow

Age

24

Ht

183cm

Wt

85kg

Pos.

M/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

15.0

4star

K

6.0

2star

HB

9.0

5star

M

1.0

1star

T

2.0

4star

CL

3.0

4star

D

15.0

4star

K

6.0

2star

HB

9.0

4star

M

1.0

1star

T

2.0

3star

CL

3.0

4star

D

15.0

4star

K

6.0

3star

HB

9.0

5star

M

1.0

1star

T

2.0

4star

CL

3.0

5star

2 goals @ $9 365, kicked 3 in the praccy against Carlton, loves a goal and generally a good shot on goal so doesn't need many chances.

 

[Fayab99]

Hearing there is some late money coming in for the Swans,
I'm worried someone knows something, maybe a late out for the Dees
got to trust the model though

 

[sohohoho]

Hearing there is some late money coming in for the Swans,
I'm worried someone knows something, maybe a late out for the Dees
got to trust the model though

perhaps some more influential models bet after teams come out instead of before.
Not that they bet but every good Squiggle model is leaning Swans way, literally every one that updates off teams has them favourites.


morning game day moves are usually never related to late outs

 

[Fayab99]

perhaps some more influential models bet after teams come out instead of before.
Not that they bet but every good Squiggle model is leaning Swans way, literally every one that updates off teams has them favourites.


morning game day moves are usually never related to late outs

Disagree, usually the sharps have inside information which leads to odds movement

 

[burge13]

My mega advanced model says when you see all and sundry on Melbourne, bet Sydney. Fade the public

 

[TheCandyMan]

My mega advanced model says when you see all and sundry on Melbourne, bet Sydney. Fade the public

This is also what my model has spat out.

I have punched some data into my super duper advanced model to determine what to have for dinner tonight and the results are interesting. Pizza seems to be the early fav but some late money (possibly sharps?) has come in for fish n chips.

Will update once the model has determined the final result.

On Pixel 6 using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[burge13]

This is also what my model has spat out.

I have punched some data into my super duper advanced model to determine what to have for dinner tonight and the results are interesting. Pizza seems to be the early fav but some late money (possibly sharps?) has come in for fish n chips.

Will update once the model has determined the final result.

On Pixel 6 using BigFooty.com mobile app

Pizza > fish n chips. Hope this helps your model

 

[sohohoho]

Disagree, usually the sharps have inside information which leads to odds movement

hopefully this is just a troll account

 

[dontlimitme]

my model predicts i will lose a ton again this season and scream at the screen >500 times

it's never had a losing season

 

[sohohoho]

My mega advanced model says when you see all and sundry on Melbourne, bet Sydney. Fade the public

I honestly think fading the page 1 weekly lock is probably profitable.

In all seriousness, those who get the early price on Melbourne are in a good spot, no value in them at current price though imo

 

[based]

total of the game is 164.5, the line is 1.5

b365 has a market for each team to score 71+ @1.95

am i missing something or is this an auto bet?

 

[dontlimitme]

total of the game is 164.5, the line is 1.5

b365 has a market for each team to score 71+ @1.95

am i missing something or is this an auto bet?

auto bet for sure

 

[based]

 

[bulletride]

Looking for a Robbie Fox market hoping there’s one there

He’ll play forward for mine

TAB and Bluebet have him $4 AGS, would be a pretty big sub risk though wouldn't he?

 

[sohohoho]

total of the game is 164.5, the line is 1.5

b365 has a market for each team to score 71+ @1.95

am i missing something or is this an auto bet?

these always look appealing but due to the variance in scoring in AFL they usually aren't.
similar to those each team score 2+ Goal bets each book do, look easy enough but scoring is never this simple

 

[sohohoho]

TAB and Bluebet have him $4 AGS, would be a pretty big sub risk though wouldn't he?

yes seems the sub is between Fox or Wicks

 

[dontlimitme]

surely fox is sub, he can play both forward + defence makes him the ideal sub

 

[_ASP3X]

It feels good to be back for another year!!!

Going to attempt to have less degeneracy this year though. Had a pretty good last 6 months betting soccer, so the bankroll is looking pretty good, don't want to blow it all on the AFL.

Nice easy bet to start the year:

JVR AGS
Papley AGS
2u @ $1.82 (PB Boosted)

 

[LukeParkerno1]

TAB and Bluebet have him $4 AGS, would be a pretty big sub risk though wouldn't he?

He better not be jeez.

 

[burge13]

It feels good to be back for another year!!!

Going to attempt to have less degeneracy this year though. Had a pretty good last 6 months betting soccer, so the bankroll is looking pretty good, don't want to blow it all on the AFL.

Nice easy bet to start the year:

JVR AGS
Papley AGS
2u @ $1.82 (PB Boosted)

Mods, ban him

 

[dontlimitme]

Going to attempt to have less degeneracy this year though.

 

[Fayab99]

hopefully this is just a troll account

I appreciate your input, but I stand by my point. It's not uncommon for sharp bettors to have access to inside information or to be skilled at reading subtle cues that lead to odds movement. It's part of what makes sports betting intriguing. However, resorting to name-calling isn't necessary. We're all here to discuss and share perspectives respectfully. Let's keep the conversation constructive.

 

[dontlimitme]

I appreciate your input, but I stand by my point. It's not uncommon for sharp bettors to have access to inside information or to be skilled at reading subtle cues that lead to odds movement. It's part of what makes sports betting intriguing. However, resorting to name-calling isn't necessary. We're all here to discuss and share perspectives respectfully. Let's keep the conversation constructive.

SUBTLE
CUES