AFL 2024 - AFL ROUND 1

[balmainforever]

 

[dontlimitme]

Need to remind myself that Koschitzke is garbage but $5/$18/$91 for 2-4 on SB is bloody tempting with Lynch back to take the best defender.

reckon they drop him if lynch comes in?

 

[sohohoho]

reckon they drop him if lynch comes in?

Ryan I think

 

[bulletride]

reckon they drop him if lynch comes in?

Probably but let's face it, getting my money back is probably the best case here anyway

 

[dontlimitme]

Probably but let's face it, getting my money back is probably the best case here anyway

feel like they bring cumby in

 

[Leeroy Brown 15]

Jack Carroll was subbed on halfway through Q3 in the Blues/Brisbane game when Doch got subbed off and went straight into the mid rotations. Played very well and provided X factor, ended up with 10 touches and a goal in 35% time on ground. With Walsh still out and now Doch out you’d think he gets a good look in the mid this game against a VFL tigers midfield that Gold Coast ABSOLUTELY destroyed.

15+/20+ at 2.25/7.50 on B365

 

[BigStacks]

Massimo D’Ambrosio had 18 in the practice match. Career high of 28 last year looks to be one of the main ball users for the hawks.
20+ 2.50 SB
25+ 6.50 365

Patrick Lipinski

1

Patrick Lipinski

Age

26

Ht

190cm

Wt

86kg

Pos.

M/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

18.0

4star

K

7.8

3star

HB

10.2

5star

M

3.5

4star

T

2.8

4star

CL

1.5

4star

D

18.3

4star

K

7.0

3star

HB

11.3

5star

M

2.5

3star

T

2.7

4star

CL

1.3

4star

D

15.2

4star

K

6.6

3star

HB

8.6

5star

M

2.4

3star

T

2.4

4star

CL

1.2

4star

had a good role against GWS floating between high half forward and the midfield.
20+ 2.15 lads
25+ 5 TAB

Saints took the absolute piss last year allowing a ridiculous amount of touches to defenders. Preseason game looked to be more of the same and Geelong have good ball users that love getting involved.

Holmes (new role off half back)
25+ 2.35 lads
30+ 4.50 TAB
35+ 11 TAB

Stewart
25+ 2.20
30+ 6.50
35+ 26 All SB

Duncan
25+ 2.18 SB
30+ 5.50 365
35+ 16 SB

 

[mookieb]

reckon they drop him if lynch comes in?

Is Lynch confirmed in?

 

[pacemaker]

Bobby Hill To Kick 2+ Goals
Hayden McLean

2

Hayden Mclean

Age

25

Ht

197cm

Wt

99kg

Pos.

F/R

Career

Season

Last 5

D

9.1

2star

K

5.1

2star

HB

4.0

3star

M

2.6

3star

T

4.0

5star

G

0.4

3star

D

7.5

2star

K

4.5

2star

HB

3.0

2star

M

2.3

2star

T

3.3

4star

G

0.8

4star

D

10.0

3star

K

5.4

2star

HB

4.6

4star

M

3.0

3star

T

4.4

5star

G

0.2

3star

To Kick 2+ Goals
Brody Mihocek

41

Brody Mihocek

Age

31

Ht

192cm

Wt

99kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.9

3star

K

8.2

3star

HB

3.7

3star

M

5.3

5star

T

2.0

4star

G

1.6

5star

D

8.4

2star

K

6.3

3star

HB

2.1

2star

M

4.3

4star

T

1.9

3star

G

1.7

5star

D

10.2

3star

K

6.4

3star

HB

3.8

3star

M

4.6

5star

T

1.8

4star

G

1.6

5star

To Kick 2+ Goals
Logan McDonald To Kick 2+ Goals
Under 166.5 Total Match Points
Collingwood 1-39
Nick Blakey

22

Nick Blakey

Age

24

Ht

196cm

Wt

83kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

9.9

3star

K

7.0

3star

HB

2.9

3star

M

2.3

2star

T

2.4

4star

MG

189.1

3star

D

8.1

2star

K

6.3

3star

HB

1.9

1star

M

2.1

2star

T

2.6

4star

MG

189.1

3star

D

7.2

2star

K

5.2

2star

HB

2.0

2star

M

1.2

2star

T

1.2

3star

To Get 20+ Disposals
Patrick Lipinski

1

Patrick Lipinski

Age

26

Ht

190cm

Wt

86kg

Pos.

M/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

18.0

4star

K

7.8

3star

HB

10.2

5star

M

3.5

4star

T

2.8

4star

CL

1.5

4star

D

18.3

4star

K

7.0

3star

HB

11.3

5star

M

2.5

3star

T

2.7

4star

CL

1.3

4star

D

15.2

4star

K

6.6

3star

HB

8.6

5star

M

2.4

3star

T

2.4

4star

CL

1.2

4star

To Get 20+ Disposals

PB @ $419.43

 

[Bucking Bronco]

North line may be a play.

Think they will be a much more plucky team this year.

Getting lined more on what they were last year, than anything.

 

[dontlimitme]

who loves a 17 leg multi?

AGS B.Hill/L.Mcdonald/Papley/Lewis/Breust/Cal Brown/Jez Cameron/Luko/Rankine
2g+ Mihocek/Langford/Wright/Hogan/Hawkins/Max King

12

Max King

Age

24

Ht

202cm

Wt

100kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

7.3

2star

K

4.7

2star

HB

2.6

2star

M

2.7

3star

T

0.7

3star

G

1.4

5star

D

7.3

2star

K

4.7

2star

HB

2.6

2star

M

2.7

3star

T

0.7

1star

G

1.4

5star

D

8.0

2star

K

5.2

2star

HB

2.8

3star

M

2.8

3star

T

0.6

3star

G

1.4

5star

/Ben King

34

Ben King

Age

24

Ht

202cm

Wt

98kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

7.2

2star

K

5.0

2star

HB

2.2

2star

M

3.5

4star

T

0.5

3star

G

1.3

5star

D

7.5

2star

K

5.6

2star

HB

1.9

1star

M

3.6

4star

T

0.3

1star

G

1.5

5star

D

6.8

2star

K

4.4

2star

HB

2.4

3star

M

3.2

4star

T

0.2

3star

G

1.0

4star

/Tex Walker

126 boosted on SB

 

[Play On Advantage]

Looking to board the Josh Rachele train this week.

Gold Coast gave up 8 of 9 goals to small-medium forwards last week and Rachele has always started the season in goal kicking form with 5 and 3 in opening games and 10 and 9 goals in the opening month each of his first two seasons.

He had 6 shots in the preseason (against WC tbf) but I think we are getting good prices for him again that tend to tighten during the year.

5u 2+@3.30 BetR (3.40 @ SB)
2u 3+@10.50 SB
1u 4+@34 SB
1u 5+@51 PB

LFG

 

[Play On Advantage]

Multi

D'Ambrosio 25+
Rachele 3+
Callum M Brown 3+

.25u @356 SB

Same as above
+ Lipinski 20+

.25u @ 703 SB

 

[bulletride]

West and McNeil both at nice odds on SB/PB, both hit the scoreboard in each of the preseason games (McNeil 4 and 0.2, West 1 and 3.0) and hopefully keep getting extra opportunities if Weightman spends time pinch hitting in the midfield.

Both AGS $4.5 PB
West 1/McNeil 2 $15.65 PB
West 2/McNeil 1 $12.80 PB
Both 2+ $41.29 PB
Both 3+ $1101 SB

 

[demon_fanatic]

Dogs +7.5 and Port -46.5 are my leans.. if Port are serious theyll be up this by half time... Carlton are tempting but Richmond I need to see with dusty/nank and lynch back in. Carlton would of used a fair bit of juice in travelling and beating Brisbane too so letdown slight factor

 

[Atavistic]

West and McNeil both at nice odds on SB/PB, both hit the scoreboard in each of the preseason games (McNeil 4 and 0.2, West 1 and 3.0) and hopefully keep getting extra opportunities if Weightman spends time pinch hitting in the midfield.

Both AGS $4.5 PB
West 1/McNeil 2 $15.65 PB
West 2/McNeil 1 $12.80 PB
Both 2+ $41.29 PB
Both 3+ $1101 SB

Some of us are still recovering from McNeil's efforts in preseason.

 

[_ASP3X]

West and McNeil both at nice odds on SB/PB, both hit the scoreboard in each of the preseason games (McNeil 4 and 0.2, West 1 and 3.0) and hopefully keep getting extra opportunities if Weightman spends time pinch hitting in the midfield.

Both AGS $4.5 PB
West 1/McNeil 2 $15.65 PB
West 2/McNeil 1 $12.80 PB
Both 2+ $41.29 PB
Both 3+ $1101 SB

I don't mind West in this one.

0.75u - West 2+ @ $6.75 (SB)
0.25u - West 3+ @ $29 (SB)

 

[LeCoqHead]

Looking to board the Josh Rachele train this week.

Gold Coast gave up 8 of 9 goals to small-medium forwards last week and Rachele has always started the season in goal kicking form with 5 and 3 in opening games and 10 and 9 goals in the opening month each of his first two seasons.

He had 6 shots in the preseason (against WC tbf) but I think we are getting good prices for him again that tend to tighten during the year.

5u 2+@3.30 BetR (3.40 @ SB)
2u 3+@10.50 SB
1u 4+@34 SB
1u 5+@51 PB

LFG

Love the read and tailing! Heads up TAB currently has 4+ @51 and B365 5+ @70 - but only accepted 5 bucks

 

[Atavistic]

Multi

D'Ambrosio 25+
Rachele 3+
Callum M Brown 3+

.25u @356 SB

Same as above
+ Lipinski 20+

.25u @ 703 SB

I tailed, but I took the D'Ambrosio leg out.

 

[Hava Alle]

Dogs +7.5 and Port -46.5 are my leans.. if Port are serious theyll be up this by half time... Carlton are tempting but Richmond I need to see with dusty/nank and lynch back in. Carlton would of used a fair bit of juice in travelling and beating Brisbane too so letdown slight factor

Richmond also travelled to the same state and are coming off a 5 dayer to Carlton's 6. I can't believe the line has come in 2 points to 17.5. Value of the round imo.

 

[kicksome]

Nic Watson for the hawks.
Pick 5 in the draft and has been nicknamed "the wizard". Loves a goal. In the intraclub kicked 2 and then 0.3 against the doggies.

2+ $4.50
3+ $14
4+ $51

@ pointsbet

 

[Jatz]

Richmond also travelled to the same state and are coming off a 5 dayer to Carlton's 6. I can't believe the line has come in 2 points to 17.5. Value of the round imo.

I don't know if it's because Martin/Lynch/Nankervis are back in but surely we still cover that with relative ease.

 

[Hava Alle]

I don't know if it's because Martin/Lynch/Nankervis are back in but surely we still cover that with relative ease.

I agree. Line should be high 20's imo.

 

[sohohoho]

I agree. Line should be high 20's imo.

Could not get a more inflated line than it currently is really.
If you like Carlton back them Thursday

 

[pacemaker]

Bolton 2g
McKay 2g
Cottrell 15+
McIntosh 15+
Carlton u39.5

SB @ $20.50

 

[mouncey2franklin]

West and McNeil both at nice odds on SB/PB, both hit the scoreboard in each of the preseason games (McNeil 4 and 0.2, West 1 and 3.0) and hopefully keep getting extra opportunities if Weightman spends time pinch hitting in the midfield.

Both AGS $4.5 PB
West 1/McNeil 2 $15.65 PB
West 2/McNeil 1 $12.80 PB
Both 2+ $41.29 PB
Both 3+ $1101 SB

In 42 games, McNeil had kicked 3 goals once, and 2 goals three times.

In 37 games, West has kicked 3 goals once, and 2 goals three times.

They have only kicked multiples in the same game once, against West Coast in Rd 11, 2022.

West has only kicked one goal against Melbourne in his career, McNeil hasn't even kicked one (in two matches).

On exposed form, this doesn't have a snowflakes hope of getting up.

Which is exactly the kind of degenerate nonsense I am here for, I live for.

I'm on 2+/2+ and 3+/3+.