AFL 2024 - AFL ROUND 1

[balmainforever]

 

[Atavistic]

right thread hopefully ...

Durdin 2+
Callum Brown 3+
Rachele 2+
McCarthy 2+
@$321 SB (powered)

Yeah, it's the right thread, and the right amount of degeneracy too. Think I'll tail that.

 

[maskmcgee]

As does $30 for three and $81 for four.

Tailed but i got him for 26 for 3 and 125 for 4 with 365. strange odds movement.

 

[balmainforever]

No Neale for the lions.
Line now only 9.5

 

[BloodRet]

McKay 2
Dusty 2
Fantasia
Kennedy
Taranto
@20

 

[BloodRet]

Tailed durdin 3

 

[bulletride]

Curnow 2
Durdin
Owies
Cottrell
Lynch 2
Campbell
Mansell
$34.75 SB free swing

And a fun one to follow along despite the fact that I inevitably miss these by one quarter. Tigers backline looks pretty suspect and gave up 8 to King and Luko.
Curnow and McKay goal in each quarter $152 SB boosted

 

[BloodRet]

Curnow 2
Durdin
Owies
Cottrell
Lynch 2
Campbell
Mansell
$34.75 SB free swing

And a fun one to follow along despite the fact that I inevitably miss these by one quarter. Tigers backline looks pretty suspect and gave up 8 to King and Luko.
Curnow and McKay goal in each quarter $152 SB boosted

Tailed and tailed

 

[ferrisb]

L Fogarty 6/8 tackles paying $3.15 and $9 at TAB.

Has hit 6+ in 6/13 matches since coming back into the side last year.

Has hit 8+ twice, both in the last four matches. Hit 9 last week.

 

[fpm84]

And a fun one to follow along despite the fact that I inevitably miss these by one quarter. Tigers backline looks pretty suspect and gave up 8 to King and Luko.
Curnow and McKay goal in each quarter $152 SB boosted

Tailed with a slightly more modest Curnow goal every quarter, Harry goals in 1st and 3rd quarters @48.50.

 

[ferrisb]

Curnow and McKay goal in each quarter $152 SB boosted

Mate, no chance!










... Tailed anyway

 

[maskmcgee]

Same Game Multi
9 Legs
18.25

Carlton v Richmond



Carlton (-15.5)Line



Dustin MartinAny Time Goal Scorer



Seth CampbellAny Time Goal Scorer



Charlie CurnowTo Score 2 or More Goals



Harry McKayTo Score 2 or More Goals



Patrick CrippsTo Get 20 or More Disposals



Dustin MartinTo Get 20 or More Disposals



Shai BoltonTo Get 15 or More Disposals



Adam SaadTo Get 15 or More Disposals

 

[pacemaker]

Curnow 2+ goals
Cripps 20+ possess
@ $2 b365 Max bet $80.
Taken the $80 on it.

 

[NYRB]

Feeling like its a contested possession kind of night. Im expecting Taranto to have a bounceback game tonight.

Sportsbet Free hit:
Taranto Anytime GS
Cripps Anytime GS
Baker Anytime GS
Fantasia 2+ Goals
Taranto Over 24.5 Disposals

Odds: $51.50


AFL Fantasy 4 legger:
Adam Saad

42

Adam Saad

Age

30

Ht

178cm

Wt

79kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

17.5

4star

K

10.0

4star

HB

7.5

5star

M

3.0

3star

T

2.7

4star

MG

349.1

5star

D

20.7

5star

K

12.0

5star

HB

8.7

4star

M

3.3

3star

T

2.4

3star

MG

388.3

5star

D

17.6

5star

K

10.4

4star

HB

7.2

5star

M

4.2

4star

T

1.2

3star

Over 73.5 Pts
Cripps Over 82.5 Pts
Hopper Over 79.5 Pts
Charlie Curnow

30

Charlie Curnow

Age

27

Ht

194cm

Wt

94kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

13.3

3star

K

9.7

4star

HB

3.6

3star

M

5.3

5star

T

2.2

4star

G

1.3

5star

No current season stats available

D

10.8

3star

K

6.4

3star

HB

4.4

4star

M

3.2

4star

T

1.6

4star

G

0.8

4star

Over 75.5 Pts

Odds: $13.41

None of those Blues players covered their lines last week. Playing against Brisbane generally harder to score Fantasy points especially at the GABBA, as I dont think they are into the AFL Fantasy scoring much bar Lachie Neale

9

Lachie Neale

Age

31

Ht

178cm

Wt

84kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

27.0

5star

K

11.5

4star

HB

15.5

5star

M

4.0

4star

T

3.7

5star

CL

5.9

5star

D

28.3

5star

K

13.9

5star

HB

14.4

5star

M

4.6

4star

T

4.0

5star

CL

5.9

5star

D

12.0

3star

K

4.6

2star

HB

7.4

5star

M

2.0

3star

T

1.0

3star

CL

0.4

3star

. Without Docherty, Blues probably get more of their run of defence with Saad. Voss wont make the mistake this week of leaving Cripps on the bench when the game counts. And This Richmond defence looks weak and short. Curnow didnt have any handballs last week, so thinking something like 13-15 disposals, 3 goals, 5-6 marks probably covers the Fantasy line. (a tackle or two in damp conditions cant be discounted as well) Grimes his potential opponent is getting older and slower now and I dont think he is as strong as Curnow in a one-on-one battle.

My other thinking is if Blues win, those 3 players will have a large role to play. I dont rate Richmond much.

 

[Nuggetz]

cripps 20+ & ags
taranto 20+ & ags
$6 tab

 

[Rank]

Fantasia 2 g
Newman 20 d
Prestia 20 d
Cottrell 15 d @17 Bet365, SB only @13 and PB not offering odds on Cottrell disposals.

 

[gillon]

Tsatas 25+ @ 4.70 (PB)

Will have a nibble at this with Parish out. Guy is an absolute ball magnet. Would be more confident if Finn ends up playing and tagging Merrett.

Also like Watson 2-4 which has been mentioned.

Also like Caldwell 20+ @ 1.87 (B365)

Most places 1.50-1.70

Parish out and he will play midfield all game. He hit this 4/5 games last year without Parish

 

[GROTTO]

NO LATE CHANGES FOR BLUES V TIGERS

DURDIN SUB
MANSELL SUB


Does SB and PB void bets for subs?

 

[NYRB]

NO LATE CHANGES FOR BLUES V TIGERS

DURDIN SUB
MANSELL SUB


Does SB and PB void bets for subs?

Sportsbet void if player is named as a sub:

 

[Johanpetro]

Sportsbet void if player is named as a sub:

View attachment 1927694

Hmm so even if the sub kicks 2 for your multi it’s void ?

 

[GROTTO]

Sportsbet void if player is named as a sub:

View attachment 1927694

NYRB do you know the procedure for PB?

 

[GROTTO]

Hmm so even if the sub kicks 2 for your multi it’s void ?

Im pretty sure with SB if a leg is voided the multi is voided.

Anyone confirm this?

 

[NYRB]

Hmm so even if the sub kicks 2 for your multi it’s void ?

Yep it looks like that way. Pointsbet wording of players when it comes to 'final 22':

 

[NYRB]

So dont include Mansell or Durdin in your bets. I havent checked PB or SB, but im sure they would have taken them off now.

 

[maskmcgee]

Taken the $80 on it.

I can only ever get 20$

 

[GROTTO]

So dont include Mansell or Durdin in your bets. I havent checked PB or SB, but im sure they would have taken them off now.

FYI Im pretty sure with TS the rules are different.

The multi is not voided, but the leg is IIRC, if you include a sub player in the multi.