AFL 2024 - AFL ROUND 1

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Mitch Lewis odds at SB look insanely juicy to me.

He isn't always fit but when he is he kicks goals (#MostInterestingManInTheWorld)

Comparing his odds to his performance over the last couple of years.

GoalsHits% hitFair oddsActual odds
12687%$1.15$1.17
22067%$1.50$1.88
31550%$2.00$3.90
4827%$3.75$9.75
5310%$10.00$26.00

I backed him for 2/3/4

Note: the odds have actually shortened a touch. They were $1.92 for 2+ and $10 for 4+ until recently.
 

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I bit my tongue watching the degens pile into Fantasia last night, knowing full well he's a spud, but I can't sit back and let friends bet on Ash Johnson as well. He's hopeless

Please reconsider

(Also please ignore this if he kicks 3. I don't want the backlash lol)
Worse bets than Fantasia kicking a goal or two have got up. He had two shots and was missed by a team mate when in a good spot. Not train material but he will have his moments.
 
Marshall got injured early and Dixon didn’t play that game?
Thats right, I was trying to remember the circumstances for those Fin goals.

Mind you with the Eagles defenders back, it does mean Fin gets the third best tall with Marshall and Dixon playing.
 

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RIP Fayab99
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AFL 2024 - AFL ROUND 1

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