AFL 2024 - AFL ROUND 11

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Don't laugh, but Fantasia 3 @ 31 (SB) might actually be worth betting on. Has had much harder opponents in recent weeks, GC in Melbourne should be better.
 
Don't laugh, but Fantasia 3 @ 31 (SB) might actually be worth betting on. Has had much harder opponents in recent weeks, GC in Melbourne should be better.

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Edward Allan debutant for pies listed forward pocket.

AGS $3.30 sb
2 $15 sb
3 $71 365
 

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Don't laugh, but Fantasia 3 @ 31 (SB) might actually be worth betting on. Has had much harder opponents in recent weeks, GC in Melbourne should be better.

No but if we have to bet on Blues small forwards Zac Williams looks like he'll play up front again, particularly with Saad back in the side. GC conceding plenty to smalls this year too.

2+ $5
3+ $16.80
4+ $81.74
PB SGM + boost

They've also got him priced with the defenders in the other markets so taking first goal @ $41 and first goal accelerator over 10.
 
No but if we have to bet on Blues small forwards Zac Williams looks like he'll play up front again, particularly with Saad back in the side. GC conceding plenty to smalls this year too.

2+ $5
3+ $16.80
4+ $81.74
PB SGM + boost

They've also got him priced with the defenders in the other markets so taking first goal @ $41 and first goal accelerator over 10.

tailed the accelerator
 
No but if we have to bet on Blues small forwards Zac Williams looks like he'll play up front again, particularly with Saad back in the side. GC conceding plenty to smalls this year too.

2+ $5
3+ $16.80
4+ $81.74
PB SGM + boost

They've also got him priced with the defenders in the other markets so taking first goal @ $41 and first goal accelerator over 10.

Combined 1st GS @ $41 with AGS @ $1.70.

Doesn't move adds, but allows boost to $47.15.
 
Pies are usually pretty Honest with their team sheet. Last week was WHE at FF. Sidebottom at HBF the week before. This week Lippa FF.

Hopefully stays true
Pretty sure WHE at FF and Sidebottom at HB was only the case for the final teamsheet released an hour before game time which is usually far more accurate and can actually provide good intel. The one released Thursday night is often difficult to read into and a bit all over the shop. For example tonight... Shultz named on-ball (will play forward), McCreery named midfield (will play forward), Sidebottom named wing (will play back), Pendles named HB (will play on-ball). Not saying Lippa won't play FF, but I don't think him being named there means much given the other jigsaw pieces are all out of place.
 
Silly-but-not-completely-silly bet ideas for Freo:

Matthew Johnson 2+ @ $17 (SB/Playup). Has kicked 1.1 twice in the last three weeks. Last week was equal most time he's spent in F50.

Jaeger O'Meara 2+ @ $21 (Bet365). Kicked 2.1 last week. Has never spent that much time in F50. Combined F50 & FWD-MID almost the highest he's ever had.

Hayden Young 2+ @ $14 (SB). Kicked 2.0 a few weeks ago (albeit in a blowout against RICH) and 0.3 last week. Near most time ever spent F50 last week and close to most combined F50 and FWD-MID.
 

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