AFL 2024 - AFL ROUND 19

[balmainforever]

 

[balmainforever]

If i'm offline for some personal reason, please someone start it up and i'll catch up with it eventually

 

[dontlimitme]

nic martin 2/3/4 on SB @ 5.30/17/91

hopefully start him forward, 4 goals and 3 in the final Q last game.

also 5.30 for AGS 4th Q in case they start him back again and he's sent forward late

 

[Atavistic]

nic martin 2/3/4 on SB @ 5.30/17/91

hopefully start him forward, 4 goals and 3 in the final Q last game.

also 5.30 for AGS 4th Q in case they start him back again and he's sent forward late

Tailed.

Also added: N Martin 4, Keays 3, Dowling AGS, Merrett 25 disp @ 2501.

 

[dontlimitme]

Tailed.

Also added: N Martin 4, Keays 3, Dowling AGS, Merrett 25 disp @ 2501.

 

[Fizza]

Thanks balmainforever appreciate and love your work

 

[the_big_sav]

If curnow has 10 shots this week against us I can't see him kicking 3.7 again. High end caboose maybe

 

[ferrisb]

Early long-shot likes:

Koltyn Tholstrup 2+ @ $14 (SB)
Van Rooyen 3/4+ @ $10.50/$34 (SB)
Ned Long 20+ @ $12 (PB)

 

[ferrisb]

Midfielders who sometimes kick goals at tasty odds:

McCluggages Luggage 2+ @ $6.75 (SB)
Dylan Shiel

9

Dylan Shiel

Age

31

Ht

182cm

Wt

84kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

24.6

5star

K

12.3

5star

HB

12.2

5star

M

3.1

3star

T

3.9

5star

CL

4.9

5star

D

23.4

5star

K

13.6

5star

HB

9.8

5star

M

2.2

2star

T

3.4

4star

CL

6.4

5star

D

19.8

5star

K

8.4

4star

HB

11.4

5star

M

2.4

3star

T

2.6

4star

CL

3.8

5star

2+ @ $21 (B365)
Sam Flanders 2+ @ $13 (B365)
Tim Kelly

11

Tim Kelly

Age

30

Ht

184cm

Wt

83kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

23.6

5star

K

13.5

5star

HB

10.1

5star

M

3.4

3star

T

4.0

5star

CL

4.9

5star

D

19.9

5star

K

12.3

5star

HB

7.6

4star

M

3.1

3star

T

4.7

5star

CL

3.6

4star

D

21.6

5star

K

10.4

4star

HB

11.2

5star

M

2.8

3star

T

3.8

5star

CL

3.8

5star

2+ @ $23 (B365)
Josh Daicos

7

Josh Daicos

Age

26

Ht

178cm

Wt

77kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

15.6

4star

K

8.3

3star

HB

7.3

5star

M

3.3

3star

T

3.6

5star

CL

1.3

3star

D

16.2

4star

K

9.2

4star

HB

7.0

4star

M

3.3

3star

T

3.5

4star

CL

1.5

4star

D

13.8

4star

K

7.6

3star

HB

6.2

4star

M

3.2

4star

T

4.2

5star

CL

1.2

4star

2+ @ $26 (B365)

 

[TheCandyMan]

Ok so which one of you degens just crushed Harvey Thomas 3+ from $101 to $41?

On Pixel 6 using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[pacemaker]

Ok so which one of you degens just crushed Harvey Thomas 3+ from $101 to $41?

On Pixel 6 using BigFooty.com mobile app

Probably one of the GWS assistant coaches.

 

[ferrisb]

Ok so which one of you degens just crushed Harvey Thomas 3+ from $101 to $41?

I had a crack at 2+ @ $17.

Not enough to move the market tho.

 

[jikost]

Day game at the Gabba alert! These are usually high scoring if the weather Gods are in a good mood.

 

[jikost]

Hayden McLean

2

Hayden Mclean

Age

26

Ht

197cm

Wt

99kg

Pos.

F/R

Career

Season

Last 5

D

9.1

2star

K

5.1

2star

HB

4.0

3star

M

2.6

3star

T

4.0

5star

G

0.4

3star

D

7.5

2star

K

4.5

2star

HB

3.0

2star

M

2.3

2star

T

3.3

4star

G

0.8

4star

D

10.0

3star

K

5.4

2star

HB

4.6

4star

M

3.0

3star

T

4.4

5star

G

0.2

3star

is pretty good odds on sb. Kicked 2.3 on the weekend and with Brisbane missing Jack Payne he might find himself with a soft match-up.

2+ @ $3.70
3+ @ $11.50
4+ @ $46

 

[TheCandyMan]

I had a crack at 2+ @ $17.

Not enough to move the market tho.

Into $10 now someone's been having a fair old nibble today

On Pixel 6 using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[brutus76]

LB
Tigers +48.5 @1.60 - Port missing a forward line and gonna be a wet weekend in Adelaide
Curnow 4+ @2.35 - under the roof surely can't kick so **** two weeks in a row
Eagles +37.5 @1.48 - Saints aren't that good

A fiver to yield $27.82

 

[jikost]

Brisbane will have to replace Charlie Cameron

23

Charlie Cameron

Age

30

Ht

180cm

Wt

76kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.1

3star

K

8.4

3star

HB

3.7

3star

M

3.0

3star

T

3.2

5star

G

1.5

5star

D

9.6

2star

K

7.9

3star

HB

1.7

1star

M

3.6

4star

T

1.7

3star

G

1.9

5star

D

9.6

3star

K

5.4

2star

HB

4.2

4star

M

1.4

2star

T

3.4

5star

G

1.2

4star

.. There's no direct role swap from the ressies so I'm guessing they'll play Bailey or Rayner deep and bring in a two's player for their position. I'm taking them both for 3 and 4...

Bailey 3+ @ $10 pb
Bailey 4+ @ $31 sb
Rayner 3+ @ $7.5 pb
Rayner 4+ @ $23 pb

 

[demon_fanatic]

THAT bet actually looks achievable if Martin plays a full game forward.. Keays quite often has those games where he bobs up and Dowling is gaining confidence.. I'll mix a bit of that in and go a lower one too with Martin 3 Keays 2 etc

 

[demon_fanatic]

LB
Tigers +48.5 @1.60 - Port missing a forward line and gonna be a wet weekend in Adelaide
Curnow 4+ @2.35 - under the roof surely can't kick so **** two weeks in a row
Eagles +37.5 @1.48 - Saints aren't that good

A fiver to yield $27.82

showers easing Saturday.. wouldn't count on that for Richmond to cover.. Port ultimate flat track bullies at home... I think they win by 60-80 with percentage in mind

 

[demon_fanatic]

Really think it's a statement game by Hawks.. they weren't even in form back in gather round and still nearly beat Pies.. think their mid is firing way better than Pies and they'll thrive on the big ocassion. They didn't play amazing vs Tigers in the big dusty match but showed they aren't overawed by the big stage... they'll love nothing more than to put a near nail in the coffin of Pies season.. it would probably mean Pies have to go at least 4 out of 5 the last 5 rounds to make it.. think they win this and will be betting them around 1.90!

Swans I also love.. it seems so obvious but without Cameron I am very suprised Lions are still favourite.. yes it's at Gabba but I feel Swans got their wake up call two weeks ago and with the hot competition for spots in the team they will win this one. Crazy we get them as slight underdogs to be honest. I'd understand it a little if Cameron was in.

 

[McCluggages Luggage]

Midfielders who sometimes kick goals at tasty odds:

McCluggages Luggage 2+ @ $6.75 (SB)
Dylan Shiel 2+ @ $21 (B365)
Sam Flanders 2+ @ $13 (B365)
Tim Kelly 2+ @ $23 (B365)
Josh Daicos 2+ @ $26 (B365)

Good bet, I haven't had a look at the odds much this week.

I've been touring Queensland with The Johnny Clug Trio.

 

[kicksome]

Maric named in forward pocket with waterman out
2+ $15
3+ $81 b365

 

[jikost]

Brisbane will have to replace Charlie Cameron.. There's no direct role swap from the ressies so I'm guessing they'll play Bailey or Rayner deep and bring in a two's player for their position. I'm taking them both for 3 and 4...

Bailey 3+ @ $10 pb
Bailey 4+ @ $31 sb
Rayner 3+ @ $7.5 pb
Rayner 4+ @ $23 pb

Then again...

 

[dontlimitme]

weekly wild defender -> forward spec

sexton 2+ @ 21

team sheet looks kinda weird lot of defenders/mids think he could play closer to goal

 

[jikost]

weekly wild defender -> forward spec

sexton 2+ @ 21

team sheet looks kinda weird lot of defenders/mids think he could play closer to goal

Yeah wouldn't be surprised if he does actually. None of the 3 outs are defenders and they've brought in Weller who's a HB. From a team balance POV it's difficult to see him squeezing into that backline???