AFL 2024 - AFL ROUND 20

[balmainforever]

 

[burge13]

Two games over $13k traded on a Monday evening is unusual but promising.

I don't know the exact figures but usually you'd find only $2,000 - $4,000 traded on average per match this early in the week.

I've been doing a power of work promoting Betfair to friends, family, colleagues and associates so it's satisfying to see more interest.

For those who use Betfair as their primary source of income, you'd be aware your profits increase based on volume. That volume is only possible if others enter the market which allows you to turn over more money simply by trading.

P.S. Did you make any money on the Balla victory?

What Balla victory? Ive gone blank here

 

[X_box_X]

What Balla victory? Ive gone blank here

The King of the Boxing forum has gone blank?

Balla v Tait, title fight on Saturday

 

[burge13]

The King of the Boxing forum has gone blank?

Balla v Tait, title fight on Saturday

No bet there. Never even looked at odds for it tbh

 

[dontlimitme]

No bet there. Never even looked at odds for it tbh

but there was 450,000 matched on monday morning

 

[srobbo]

4U GWS $2 vs Melb

Melbourne aren’t very good. In the past month they beat us (shit) and WC (shitter). They had a good quarter against Brisbane and scored 3 goals the rest of the game. Uncompetitive against Freo. Everybody knows they aren’t competing this year.

GWS have a tough draw and will know how important every game is. They are hitting form and I’d be very surprised if they are still underdogs by game time.

Who have GWS beaten on the road lately? Beat Richmond by a few goals a couple of weeks ago (Tiges had more scoring shots) & dropped their previous two to Crows & Hawks.

If Gawn’s back I’m taking the Dees.

 

[sohohoho]

Who have GWS beaten on the road lately? Beat Richmond by a few goals a couple of weeks ago (Tiges had more scoring shots) & dropped their previous two to Crows & Hawks.

If Gawn’s back I’m taking the Dees.

you are right, GWS are not going well at all, lost i50s 7 of last 10, last two weeks against one average and one shit team they are -36 inside 50s & 10 less shots.

 

[jikost]

A couple of plays based on potential position changes:

Parker 2+ @ $5 pb

'It could have been worse': Glass half-full for Swans

At least injuries to star pair weren't season ending, says Sydney coach John Longmire

www.afl.com.au

Sam Wicks is an option to come in, but Longmire admits there may be a reshuffle with the likes of Chad Warner

1

Chad Warner

Age

23

Ht

185cm

Wt

82kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

7.0

2star

K

4.5

2star

HB

2.5

2star

M

1.5

2star

T

1.5

3star

CL

0.0

1star

D

7.0

1star

K

4.5

2star

HB

2.5

2star

M

1.5

2star

T

1.5

2star

CL

0.0

1star

D

7.0

2star

K

4.5

2star

HB

2.5

3star

M

1.5

2star

T

1.5

4star

CL

0.0

1star

, who has 29 goals for the season, and Luke Parker potentially spending even more time forward.

Hipwood 14+ @ $4.20 tab

Shock big-man switch looms as Lions face key back crisis

Darragh Joyce's unlucky break leaves Brisbane desperately short of tall defenders ahead of QClash date with Suns

www.afl.com.au

Jaxon Prior has played well in the VFL and could be considered, while the Lions are considering the very real possibility of throwing Eric Hipwood

30

Eric Hipwood

Age

26

Ht

203cm

Wt

94kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

10.0

3star

K

7.4

3star

HB

2.6

2star

M

3.9

4star

T

1.3

3star

G

1.5

5star

D

11.1

3star

K

8.4

3star

HB

2.7

2star

M

4.1

4star

T

1.1

2star

G

1.1

5star

D

10.6

3star

K

8.4

4star

HB

2.2

2star

M

3.6

4star

T

1.6

4star

G

2.4

5star

into defence to cover the shortfall.

 

[scottyt2]

A couple of plays based on potential position changes:

Parker 2+ @ $5 pb

'It could have been worse': Glass half-full for Swans

At least injuries to star pair weren't season ending, says Sydney coach John Longmire

www.afl.com.au

Hipwood 14+ @ $4.20 tab

Shock big-man switch looms as Lions face key back crisis

Darragh Joyce's unlucky break leaves Brisbane desperately short of tall defenders ahead of QClash date with Suns

www.afl.com.au

Purely speculation...likely throwing your money down the drain if Hipwood plays forward (which is probable).

 

[jikost]

Purely speculation...likely throwing your money down the drain if Hipwood plays forward (which is probable).

lol I'm not sure this forum is for you... we're not investing in safe dividend stocks here... It's a $4.20 GAMBLE that represents value if he plays in the backline. The price will obviously come in if he's named in defense which is why punters might want to place their bets on a Tuesday and not Thursday night when the teams come out. btw, he's cleared 14+ 5 times this year playing forward so it's hardly money down the drain anyway.

scotty, I think Freo @ $1.11 might be more your speed.

 

[dontlimitme]

Purely speculation...likely throwing your money down the drain if Hipwood plays forward (which is probable).

shut the **** up and let us degenerates gamble and throw our money around in peace you random lurker

 

[dontlimitme]

lol I'm not sure this forum is for you... we're not investing in safe dividend stocks here... It's a $4.20 GAMBLE that represents value if he plays in the backline. The price will obviously come in if he's named in defense which is why punters might want to place their bets on a Tuesday and not Thursday night when the teams come out. btw, he's cleared 14+ 5 times this year playing forward so it's hardly money down the drain anyway.

scotty, I think Freo @ $1.11 might be more your speed.

 

[freo_leo29]

Waterman 4,5,6

Allen 4,5,6


One of them will get off the chain with no Pearce, Waterman kicked 5 on us earlier in the year

 

[gillon]

Ridley 24+
McGrath 24+

Both $2 on tab.

Backs vs Saints nuff said. Jayden Hunt

5

Jayden Hunt

Age

29

Ht

188cm

Wt

82kg

Pos.

D/M

Career

Season

Last 5

D

5.3

1star

K

3.3

1star

HB

2.0

2star

M

1.7

2star

T

2.3

4star

MG

78.7

1star

D

5.3

1star

K

3.3

1star

HB

2.0

1star

M

1.7

2star

T

2.3

3star

MG

78.7

1star

D

5.3

2star

K

3.3

2star

HB

2.0

2star

M

1.7

2star

T

2.3

4star

MG

78.7

2star

just had 35 on them. McGrath had 30 against them earlier in the year.

 

[jikost]

Ned Moyle AGS @ $4 pb - Witts likely to return this week, so either they'll drop Moyle and the bet gets refunded or they'll play 2 rucks and rest one of them forward to stretch the decimated Lions backline in which case I'm happy to take the $4.

 

[pacemaker]

Ned Moyle AGS @ $4 pb - Witts likely to return this week, so either they'll drop Moyle and the bet gets refunded or they'll play 2 rucks and rest one of them forward to stretch the decimated Lions backline in which case I'm happy to take the $4.

Taken the 3.40 and 34 at b365 for insurance purposes.

 

[pacemaker]

Taking Louge because who really knows with North. Comben forward and Louge back one week complete opposite the next. Seems unlikely with how well comben went but hey why not with the cashout option.

2.75, 17, 101

Has come in quite a bit.

 

[Fizza]

Just an FYI for anyone else (lurkers/ non regular posters) trying to understand this thread

Bonus bet on:
Curnow 3+
Georgiades 2+
Cincotta, DBJ AGS
Walsh, Rozee, Butters 25+
JHF, Hewett 20+
J Carroll 15+
@$67 365

 

[the_big_sav]

Close has kicked 9 in his last 3 vs North but all 3 games were at skilled. He is 5th in line for betting odds for Geelong forwards

 

[jikost]

Ben Keays

2

Ben Keays

Age

27

Ht

186cm

Wt

86kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

13.1

3star

K

5.8

2star

HB

7.3

5star

M

2.3

2star

T

3.9

5star

G

0.4

3star

D

13.7

3star

K

8.7

3star

HB

5.0

3star

M

2.8

3star

T

3.7

4star

G

0.3

3star

D

13.0

4star

K

4.8

2star

HB

8.2

5star

M

1.4

2star

T

4.4

5star

G

0.4

3star

had 10 disposals (6 CB's) in the last quarter against Essendon and it sounds like might spend more time in the midfield this week with Dawson not playing.



19+ @ $1.80 tab
24+ @ $4.20
29+ @ $15
34+ @ $67

 

[Johanpetro]

Ted Clohesy $2.30/$10/$51 on 365

Atkins will miss again, Bruhn in for Parfitt.

Don’t think there’s any room in the midfield for him so he’ll play half forward like he did when he came on as sub in the 4th last week. Think he gets a game again and don’t think he will be sub 2 weeks in a row

 

[Atavistic]

Ned Moyle AGS @ $4 pb - Witts likely to return this week, so either they'll drop Moyle and the bet gets refunded or they'll play 2 rucks and rest one of them forward to stretch the decimated Lions backline in which case I'm happy to take the $4.

Bet looks even better now with Walter out.

Tailed 1-2, btw.

 

[jikost]

Bet looks even better now with Walter out.

Tailed 1-2, btw.

It's Moyle time!

 

[dontlimitme]

dunno if he plays there but balta listed FF

3/4 on 365 @ 17/70

 

[bulletride]

dunno if he plays there but balta listed FF

3/4 on 365 @ 17/70

Good chance he does, Ryan/Kosi will need to cover the ruck in Nank's absence which will leave them without much height forward. Tom Brown had to play forward last week but didn't do much.

100th game for Balta too which is always a nice omen.

 

[jikost]

Might be sub again but Narkle had 4 scoring shots when he came on in the last quarter last week.

2+ @ $8 pb
3+ @ $29