AFL 2024 - AFL ROUND 20

[balmainforever]

 

[Fizza]

On Moyle and Witts trains.

For some reason taken Jed Bews 15+ $4 pb. Good form in VFL.

Very small change for 20+ $21. Playing HB at this stage against North is also a reason.

Multied it into Thomas Berry GC 15+ also good form VFL.

$12.50 PB

Tailed bewwwws 15/20

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Stephenson likely playing HBF this week with no McKercher/Fisher, has been playing down there in the VFL and had 30 touches and 11 marks last week. The seagull role is absolute gold for disposals in this North side and he's shown he can rack up cheap touches in the past playing down there. Also keeping an eye on his marks odds when TAB put them up tomorrow.

25+ $3.90 Dabble
30+ $10 Dabble
34+ $34 TAB

Port board seem to think Ratugolea might play forward tonight. Not sure I have much faith in his ability to kick multiples and odds have already come in a bit but if he does line up there $3.25 AGS on Unibet looks a nice price. Priced as a defender in all the different first goal scorer markets on Lads/Neds too.

Did you smash the marks that it got taken down?

 

[bulletride]

Did you smash the marks that it got taken down?

Didn't even get the chance...

 

[kicksome]

im on shawn spanner for 2/3 and ted closey 2/3 today. Both no strangers to kicking a few in the magoos

 

[HTPunter]

Powell is the other one for marks from a North point of view. Phillips in, with LDU Wardlaw Sheezel already there & Simpkin has overtaken Powell in midfield hierarchy too.

Has been playing a more defensive half game last few weeks.

And there’s opportunity for 2 spots with McKercher & Fisher both out.

Also got 9 marks last time he played Geelong (different role though).

$1.95/$5/$18/$81 for 4/6/8/10 marks

Also got $201 for Tucker, Scott & Powell 8 marks each

 

[HTPunter]

bro you can't keep betting on him he's absolutely cooked esp vs any team that's half decent

Meanwhile, the “chief football writer” for the main footy paper in the country

 

[Fizza]

im on shawn spanner for 2/3

Tailing just cos I like the name the way you put it. Throw a spanner in the works for the bookies with Mannagh
2+ $5.5 PB 3+ $17 PB
4+ $70 365

 

[dontlimitme]

hipwood 10+ marks @ 7,
weller 8+ @ 5, 10+ @ 14

TAB

 

[bulletride]

hipwood 10+ marks @ 7,
weller 8+ @ 5, 10+ @ 14

TAB

Lmao cowards

 

[dontlimitme]

Lmao cowards
View attachment 2060154

they took down geelong ones as well, must be just be a thing, all of them went down for the games, should be back up soon?

 

[dontlimitme]

back up now bulletride

 

[jikost]

King 10+ marks @ $23 tab - I mean, if he's matched up on Eric Hipwood

30

Eric Hipwood

Age

26

Ht

203cm

Wt

94kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

10.0

3star

K

7.4

3star

HB

2.6

2star

M

3.9

4star

T

1.3

3star

G

1.5

5star

D

11.1

3star

K

8.4

3star

HB

2.7

2star

M

4.1

4star

T

1.1

2star

G

1.1

5star

D

10.6

3star

K

8.4

4star

HB

2.2

2star

M

3.6

4star

T

1.6

4star

G

2.4

5star

this has to be a chance of hitting.

 

[Suncraze]

Saints +6.5

 

[toenail11]

2 stengle
1 Curtis Zurhaar comben Henry
@6.10

Clohesy 2,3 @11,51 365

 

[dontlimitme]

luko more goals than hipwood @ 2.25
rohan more than stephenson @ 1.85

multi both @ 4.3 (boosted)

topsport

 

[toenail11]

2 comben Henry Cameron
@7 365

 

[bulletride]

luko more goals than hipwood @ 2.25
rohan more than stephenson @ 1.85

multi both @ 4.3 (boosted)

topsport

Came here to post this, Stevo already pulled though. Loading up on Luko

 

[dontlimitme]

Came here to post this, Stevo already pulled though. Loading up on Luko

was refreshing all day for these lmao got in fast

 

[bulletride]

was refreshing all day for these lmao got in fast

Same, I was hoping for Caminiti too for the trifecta

 

[NYRB]

Blues are 15s to miss the 8. If they lose to Pies and Hawks next 2 weeks what price will they come into?

Still reckon 15s is pretty poor value. Would want something above 70s? If they were to lose the next 2 games, that price would be about right. Would be favourites to beat West Coast in Perth, would be favourites to beat the Saints at Docklands. Id price them about $1.16 to beat WCE, and about $1.57 to beat the Saints. The Saints game would have some parallels to the game last night against Power where they would be expected to win but no shoe-in. Motivation would also be a big factor as Power had more stakes on the line.

Did a Squiggle predictor for the next 2 rounds if favourites all won, and Carlton happened to drop their next 2 games:



14 probably is a safe margin to make the Top 8. 15 wins with their decent percentage should see them making the Top 4. All sorts of different perms and combs but I just base it on a world where favs win next 2 rounds and Blues do lose the next 2.

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Still reckon 15s is pretty poor value. Would want something above 70s? If they were to lose the next 2 games, that price would be about right. Would be favourites to beat West Coast in Perth, would be favourites to beat the Saints at Docklands. Id price them about $1.16 to beat WCE, and about $1.57 to beat the Saints. The Saints game would have some parallels to the game last night against Power where they would be expected to win but no shoe-in. Motivation would also be a big factor as Power had more stakes on the line.

Did a Squiggle predictor for the next 2 rounds if favourites all won, and Carlton happened to drop their next 2 games:

View attachment 2060188

14 probably is a safe margin to make the Top 8. 15 wins with their decent percentage should see them making the Top 4. All sorts of different perms and combs but I just base it on a world where favs win next 2 rounds and Blues do lose the next 2.

Have you included this rounds results where everyone team but 2 still have to play? You have given Hawks 1/3 wins for example.

 

[HTPunter]

Nankervis out. Cox replaces Krueger and not expecting big ruck minutes 1st game back. Just be a big target forward.

Cameron 110+ fantasy $1.65
In great form. 147 & 112 last 2 weeks. Now coming up against Samson Ryan.

Marshall got 117 last time he played Essendon, v Draper & Goldstein with no back up himself. Also had 5 frees against in that score. Now will be stand alone v Draper.
Reilly O’Brien dominated hitouts last week. Marshall goes one better and racks up the ball.

110+ $1.60 PB
averaging 113 for the year with 3 of his last 4 over this score

Marshall & Cameron 100+ each $1.79
120+ each $4.76 (boosted)

 

[dewah07]

Same, I was hoping for Caminiti too for the trifecta

Cammi most likely fwd

 

[dontlimitme]

duursma/clohesy subs

 

[kicksome]

Weird blokes from geel9ng who could snag a couple
Holmes 2+ $15
Bowes 2+ $15
Bruhn 1/2 - $3/$23

All with b365, didn't shop around tho cause I'm half busy