I don't know where you get the confidence from. We have a terrible record in Perth and we only won by 1 point at home last year to a worse West Coast team. Essendon should win but that's not how football works. We rarely smash teams so I'd say Essendon by 13-25 points, but not very surprised if we lose.The Eagles have won against who? A hopeless Richmond and a big game emotional win against Freo? So 2 wins this year and 3 last year, and they're going to beat a team that drew with the reigning Premiers last week?
One team coming off a 6 day break and the other a 9 day break. I think the Eagles are getting closer to the mark and Reid looks an amazing player already, but if this is under a 40 point Essendon win I'd be very surprised.