Welcome to what will be a weekly AFL punting preview for each Round
Now we are 4 rounds in some form is starting to consistently show and stats are becoming more meaningful.
Before placing a bet I highly recommend referring to the Bigfooty odds service found here - http://odds.bigfooty.com/ If your going to risk your hard earned you must make sure your getting the best odds and lines going around the bookies, this can mean a big difference to your bottom line at the end of the season.
We have a cracking game to kick the round off Friday night as the Saints travel to AAMI for the 2nd time this year, Friday night footy always attracts plenty of $$ and with these teams evenly matched and betting being very close keep a close eye on the odds as they will fluctuate right up to the first bounce. $1.85 (Sportsalive) for Port seems a solid bet for me in what promises to be a tight hard fought battle.
The ANZAC day clash at the MCG always provides plenty of emotional footy, and rightly so. Essendon coming off the 6 day break here, while they might hang with the Pies here in the first half I expect Collingwood to be too strong $1.43 (Pinnacle) available now, Id expect a line of around -15 which I would look at taking
Hawthorn play their first game in Tassie this week against West Coast who have a short week plus travel, Hawthorn should be able to use this trip to get their season back on track. Again Ill be looking at taking the line here of around -20.
Sydney travel to Perth to take on Freo, we know Sydney will test out Freo physically, are they up to it? Probably not, Sydney should win and have played well at Subi in recent times. $1.69 at Pinnacle is overs and unlikely to get any higher than that before the match
Kangaroos are the next team to put Richmond further into the depths of despair. Probably a no bet game for me however the bookies are tempting us to take the Roos with prices available between $1.45 and $1.50. If you like Richmond to break their duck you can get up to $2.80 at Pinnacle
Brisbane travel to Geelong to take on the near impossible task of the cats in near full flight/strength. Brisbane are as much as $6.50 to win, the line will be interesting here, expect anything up to 40 points. Keep an eye on the weather if you like the Lions, some wet weather might be around the place on Sunday which might make the line for the Lions look OK
Crows take on a confident Melbourne side at the MCG, is it false confidence though? We will know more about Melbourne after this week I feel, Adelaide will be rested and have some good form at the G, really think they will win easily here, again will have to wait on the line but expect it to be around -20 and Ill take that given good weather, the 40+ may even be worth a small investment
In another fascinating clash the Blues and Dogs go at each other both coming off interstate losses as favourites. Carlton will have the days break on the Dogs here and I expect late money to come for Carlton therefore the $2.20 at Sportsbet might be as good as it gets for the week, wouldn't surprise me if this market goes to $1.91 for both come Sunday.
Looks a great weekend of footy and punting, especially being Anzac weekend, get into the spirit and have a flutter
Good luck to all!
Cheers
Dutchy
Now we are 4 rounds in some form is starting to consistently show and stats are becoming more meaningful.
Before placing a bet I highly recommend referring to the Bigfooty odds service found here - http://odds.bigfooty.com/ If your going to risk your hard earned you must make sure your getting the best odds and lines going around the bookies, this can mean a big difference to your bottom line at the end of the season.
We have a cracking game to kick the round off Friday night as the Saints travel to AAMI for the 2nd time this year, Friday night footy always attracts plenty of $$ and with these teams evenly matched and betting being very close keep a close eye on the odds as they will fluctuate right up to the first bounce. $1.85 (Sportsalive) for Port seems a solid bet for me in what promises to be a tight hard fought battle.
The ANZAC day clash at the MCG always provides plenty of emotional footy, and rightly so. Essendon coming off the 6 day break here, while they might hang with the Pies here in the first half I expect Collingwood to be too strong $1.43 (Pinnacle) available now, Id expect a line of around -15 which I would look at taking
Hawthorn play their first game in Tassie this week against West Coast who have a short week plus travel, Hawthorn should be able to use this trip to get their season back on track. Again Ill be looking at taking the line here of around -20.
Sydney travel to Perth to take on Freo, we know Sydney will test out Freo physically, are they up to it? Probably not, Sydney should win and have played well at Subi in recent times. $1.69 at Pinnacle is overs and unlikely to get any higher than that before the match
Kangaroos are the next team to put Richmond further into the depths of despair. Probably a no bet game for me however the bookies are tempting us to take the Roos with prices available between $1.45 and $1.50. If you like Richmond to break their duck you can get up to $2.80 at Pinnacle
Brisbane travel to Geelong to take on the near impossible task of the cats in near full flight/strength. Brisbane are as much as $6.50 to win, the line will be interesting here, expect anything up to 40 points. Keep an eye on the weather if you like the Lions, some wet weather might be around the place on Sunday which might make the line for the Lions look OK
Crows take on a confident Melbourne side at the MCG, is it false confidence though? We will know more about Melbourne after this week I feel, Adelaide will be rested and have some good form at the G, really think they will win easily here, again will have to wait on the line but expect it to be around -20 and Ill take that given good weather, the 40+ may even be worth a small investment
In another fascinating clash the Blues and Dogs go at each other both coming off interstate losses as favourites. Carlton will have the days break on the Dogs here and I expect late money to come for Carlton therefore the $2.20 at Sportsbet might be as good as it gets for the week, wouldn't surprise me if this market goes to $1.91 for both come Sunday.
Looks a great weekend of footy and punting, especially being Anzac weekend, get into the spirit and have a flutter
Good luck to all!
Cheers
Dutchy
