AFL Round 18

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no injuries

the Dogs record at the SCG is ordinary but most the matches were during Sydney's dominance, last years match was during the Dogs slump and also lost Cooney in the first quarter.

Longmire seems like a pretty ordinary coach
Yeah, Bulldogs are looking like value now.
 

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Brisbane at the +41.5 line are a monty. Their forward line was great against Geelong, 29 scores from 41 inside-50s even without a half of Jonno Brown. North would be underdogs if it was at the Gabba, and home ground advantage isn't worth seven goals.
 
Brisbane at the +41.5 line are a monty. Their forward line was great against Geelong, 29 scores from 41 inside-50s even without a half of Jonno Brown. North would be underdogs if it was at the Gabba, and home ground advantage isn't worth seven goals.

No they wouldnt
 
Bulldogs looks alright



How do you mean, do you think the other teams are good value as they have a good chance of creating an upset ?

I wouldnt call the other teams value as I dont think they can win but all 3 favs mentioned are well unders. North are certainly not a $1.16 team no matter who they are playing. Geelong have been horrid for 3 weeks in a row and come up $1.07? The saints have been going OK of late but $1.13 against the crows is super short.

I guess what it means for me is that the shorter those 3 are H2H the higher the line will be on the + side which interests me, as I cant see any of those favs blowing them away.
 
I think Sydney will win, but was hoping they'd be around 1.80. A few of the dogs I don't mind are Adelaide (especially if Johncock plays his 200th), Essendon, Richmond (can see them coming in fired up after the gold coast embarrassment and Geelong seem to be in a flat patch atm) and Freo.
 
I wouldnt call the other teams value as I dont think they can win but all 3 favs mentioned are well unders. North are certainly not a $1.16 team no matter who they are playing. Geelong have been horrid for 3 weeks in a row and come up $1.07? The saints have been going OK of late but $1.13 against the crows is super short.

I guess what it means for me is that the shorter those 3 are H2H the higher the line will be on the + side which interests me, as I cant see any of those favs blowing them away.

Very good answer thanks now I understand.
 
yeh that is truehttp://www.************/sports/52/b/happy.gifhttp://www.************/sports/123/b/happy.gif
http://www.************/sports/131/b/happy.gifhttp://www.************/sports/133/b/happy.gif
 
Brisbane at the +41.5 line are a monty. Their forward line was great against Geelong, 29 scores from 41 inside-50s even without a half of Jonno Brown. North would be underdogs if it was at the Gabba, and home ground advantage isn't worth seven goals.
You can get North 1-39 @ 2.60, so if you want to give up the chance of Brisbane winning and also 3 points on the line, you can get juicier odds about Brisbane 'covering the line'
 
Essendon 1-39
4 units @ 3.40 (Centrebet)

Fremantle 1-24
4 units @ 4.50 (Centrebet)

Adel +41.5/Ess +16.5/Haw 15.5+/Freo +16.5
3 units @ 10.75 (Centrebet)
 

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AFL Round 18

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