AFL ROUND 18

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Up and down week for me. I set myself a limit of $150.

$50 each on Hawks, North and Geelong at the line. Ended up with a $145.90 profit.

I got excited when I saw Sportingbet offering $1.87 for Richmond -5.5. They were -10.5, -11.5 and -12 at other agencies, so I knew I was getting good value. I decided to put the entire $145.90, plus an additional $100, on Richmond at that line.

So after that I was $100 down with $50 left.

Decided to multi Freo -11.5, Saints >39.5, WCE >39.5... $50 at $8.62.

At half time of the Eagles game, Luxbet had set the line on Brisbane +68.5 @ $1.90. I decided to hedge by putting $200 on that (in the hope WCE would win between 40-68). Didn't work out like I was hoping, so my $431 multi came through for a $381 profit, but that only became a $181 profit due to hedging, which meant I was $81 up for the week.

What could have been had Richmond won by over 5.5.

Richmond winning would have meant I had a $360 profit after Saturday night. Given I would have been $460 better off, I would have put that same multi on for the Sunday, but instead for $100.

Not sure whether I still would have hedged on Brisbane, though. Maybe, maybe not.
 

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