AFL Round 6

[Sainters12]

TAB have a market 'Rising Star Round 5 Nomination'.

Some good prices, and have gotten on:

Treloar $34
Shiel $17
S.Motlop $11
Bugg $21

Plenty of value

http://www.tab.com.au/Sports/Betting...on=FAFR5AFL_GW

Bang Bang

 

[PIESPREMIERS2010]

Centrebet and Sportingbet are yet to update their Coleman market after JK's ankle injury announcement.

Hawkins currently in front and paying $9 is massive overs IMO even after he came in from $21 last week.

Playing Melbourne at SS he could kick another bag this week

 

[KardiniaPark]

Tipping does not equal punting.

My tipping has been woeful this year but I only bet in a couple of games a week and going ok.

I was being facetious... im ranked 500+

 

[BILC]

Jumping on the Freo line now Abletts ruled out.

 

[Borgsta]

Still not sure i like the Freo line

 

[HurlsMeister18]

After a 2 good 1st rounds I have lost all my big bets in the last 3 rounds. Horrendous 3 weeks. Thanks to North 3 weeks in the row f***** up my bets.
This week I see Collingwood with Thomas and Shaw back they can destroy Dogs and if Hurley is back for Essendon they can run over Lions. Geelong is not the team they were last season so I don’t know if they can get the 60pts line. Considering Frawley and Clark back this week for the Dees.
Have only gotten that far but this week could be a defining week for me.

I stay away from North whenever I can as they cost me constantly last year. There gap between there best and worse is just far to wide.

 

[HurlsMeister18]

Tipping does not equal punting.

My tipping has been woeful this year but I only bet in a couple of games a week and going ok.

I stopped doing my tips after rd1 and have made money of the footy with punting this year.

 

[Moses01]

I stopped doing my tips after rd1 and have made money of the footy with punting this year.

couldn't help myself

 

[Gets!]

my bets so far:

1. Adelaide to be up at 1/4 time @ 2.75

2. Collingwood, Essendon, West Coast, Geelong and Adelaide to be up at 1/4 time @ 5.98

3. Bulldogs +40.5, Geelong >25, Gold Coast +40.5 @ 4.19

Might put $100 on Carlton to win by less than 39. Paying $19....crazy

 

[Lensen]

No H2H singles this week, although GWS at $85.50 after commission was tempting for lols.

But there are 3 teams I think are overs but too short to back outright that I'm going to multi up - Ess/Haw/Syd @ $1.92 on TAB. I mark it at around $1.52 so taking that as overs.

 

[Thedeftouch]

No H2H singles this week, although GWS at $85.50 after commission was tempting for lols.

But there are 3 teams I think are overs but too short to back outright that I'm going to multi up - Ess/Haw/Syd @ $1.92 on TAB. I mark it at around $1.52 so taking that as overs.

Lenny you seem to normally have some love for the dogs. What happened?

I actually like two of those three dogs that you just kicked - St Kilda to win, and Brisbane to cover.

The Lions are an interesting spot. I don't think there's a class gap between the two sides.

Essendon are pretty tough to read - the dog has covered in all five Bombers games this year (closing line). They scraped by against the Suns, but then crushed Carlton. I mean, how often can Brent Stanton have Supercoach 175 type games?

Against the Lions - there is a big drop off in Rockliff's game when he leaves the Gabba. And no Raines hurts.

I think the line should be about 3 to 4 kicks.

 

[twarby]

only thing saving the lions is the roof being open

 

[infinity303]

Not sure if this is considered silly betting???

Can't see either team winning by more than 3 goals. IMO either losing team will put up a good fight and it definately won't be a blow out.


Port under 39.5 @ 2.88
Rich under 39.5 @ 2.55


Also

Adel +39.5
WC

@ 1.77

 

[Selective Retention]

Not sure if this is considered silly betting???

Can't see either team winning by more than 3 goals. IMO either losing team will put up a good fight and it definately won't be a blow out.


Port under 39.5 @ 2.88
Rich under 39.5 @ 2.55

Sportingbet have a triple margin bet. If you are confident in the 3 goals statement you could take "any other result" in the 24.5 triple margin, which covers both teams under 24.5, at $1.95.

Maybe there is a better way out there again to do it but that's one option.

 

[The_Doctor]

You can do the same thing at Sportingbet for either under 39.5

 

[demon_fanatic]

Richmond will win, Deledio, Martin Cotchin be too quick for Port's plodders in Ebert and Boak as good as they are in close... Richmond will definately be eager to get some wins after some tough close losses... they play ok in Adelaide too...

i backed north ht/ft at 6.75.. i don't think they can come from behind at half so an all the way lead is value if they can come out and play hard early against an eagles team now missing several stars and maybe due for a downer...

also on Hawkins for Coleman at $8.. way overs considering him and Franklin both play GWS/GCOAST only once so no advantage for Buddy... and he has a 6-7 goal start already..

 

[Selective Retention]

The other advantage of the "any other result" bet is you cover the draw as well.

You can do the same thing at Sportingbet for either under 39.5

True but very skinny if you are taking that straight out.

 

[tupperware]

Coll 25+
Ess 25+
Gee 25+
Freo 25+
Syd v Crows > 40
Haw 25+
Port v Rich > 40
WC straight
@$16.90

 

[free at last]

Coll 25+
Ess 25+
Gee 25+
Freo 25+
Syd v Crows > 40
Haw 25+
Port v Rich > 40
WC straight
@$16.90

Is the crows v swans and port v tiges is that either teams under 40?

 

[pendlez10]

It may be the Collingwood in me but i think our 'pressure' is back and the possible inclusions of Daisy, Shaw, Reid, Didak we will be too strong for the doggies.

Collingwood line -41.5 @1.92

Hawks will be fuming this week and will beat saints comfortably.

Hawthorn line -24.5 @1.92

Confident in Richmond getting the win despite Port's good recent record against the tiges.

Richmond H2H @1.75

West Coast have a couple of fresh injuries at the moment with Kennedy and Mitch Brown out (aswell as Schofield out suspended). And just as another user said earlier, the games between these two sides over at Patersons have been close recently.

North Melbourne +39.5 @1.44

 

[tupperware]

Is the crows v swans and port v tiges is that either teams under 40?

Yeah, i'm thinking these will be the close ones of the round.

Only went WC straight, because I'm not sure which WC or Roos team will show up, could be a blow out, could be a close game..

 

[Lensen]

Pulled the trigger on laying Carlton @ $1.01 for half a unit. That's silly even for Carl v GWS.

Hoping the rumours of Carlton resting Judd, Scotland et al come to fruition and they blow out to $1.02 so can back it back

 

[yamahamoto]

possibly Scotland, Judd, Jamison and Kruezer....cant see anyone else

 

[Mudeo]

Long shot multi -

Essendon 60+
Geelong 100+
Hawthorn 1-39
Sydney H2H
WC v Kangaroos either team under 15.5
@ 209.87

Safe Multi for the week
Coll/Coll
Ess H2H
Gee Quarter time lead
Freo H2H
St.k+39.5
Ade +39.5
North +39.5
@ 5.01

 

[Cuzz09]

Safe Multi for the week
Coll/Coll
Ess H2H
Gee Quarter time lead
Freo H2H
St.k+39.5
Ade +39.5
North +39.5
@ 5.01

Hmmmmmm.... Hawks could smash em'