AFL Round 8

[Prudster]

Wow, how the hell did Freo not win that? I reckon the bookies would have made a fortune on tonight's games

 

[Falcons]

$50 Collingwood Win @ $3.80

Sweeeet Sweet Money

 

[The_Big_Ship]

Backing Melbourne, Richmond should never ever EVER EVER be $1.02 against anybody.

 

[infinity303]

I'm a bit baffled by a payout I got from sportsbet.

Put $40 on Freo SU paying 2.80 at the time and I have received a payout of $56. It was a drawn match so I was under the impression that it would have been an automatic loss?

Does anyone know what might have happened? It seems a bit bizarre?

 

[aflife]

Backing Melbourne, Richmond should never ever EVER EVER be $1.02 against anybody.

Agreed. I have won some easy money backing saints and collingwood over this last week so $10 Melbourne @$17 is worth a chance. Look at Brisbane today. This could be the upset round of the season. They got up against essendon last year with 0 hope.

Don't get wrong they will probably lose by 50 plus but worth a gamble

 

[aflife]

I'm a bit baffled by a payout I got from sportsbet.

Put $40 on Freo SU paying 2.80 at the time and I have received a payout of $56. It was a drawn match so I was under the impression that it would have been an automatic loss?

Does anyone know what might have happened? It seems a bit bizarre?

You got half your odds 1.40... Seems like a nice thing sportsbet have done

 

[smashing]

you get a half payout if you bet on h2h.

 

[Ilike2play]

GWS lowest score looking half decent ....lets hope Melb can manage 10 sausage rolls and the saints also...

Bulldogs > shit (Murphy kicking that goal to get them over 57 points..bravo!!)

 

[Willzzz]

I'm liking Brisbane at the line, The line shouldn't be 50+ for any team other than the expansion ones and Melbourne.

Had a feeling Brisbane would come out and play well. Just didn't have the guts to take them SU.

Still spewing over NM's loss last night. Can't question their endeavour and though.

Today:

1U - Brisbane +50.5 @ $1.92
1U - Moloney DT Over 83.5 @ $1.66 Finished with 77 after not scoring for the last half of the final qtr.
1U - Leuenberger > Bellchamber DT @ $1.80 Lost by 4 DT Points (74-70)
1U - Stanton DT Under 105.5 @ $2.05
1U - Pearce Hanley DT Under 94 @ $1.66 Finished with 96 after some cheap last qtr possessions
1U - Redden Over 22.5 Disposals @ $2.05 Massive 119 DT Points, 12 Tackles, 1 Goal & Oh yeh 22 Disposals. 2 Disposals in the last Qtr.

Give me a break. Seriously, I can't take a trick. Last night, NM lose by 2 points, today I should have been at least 4-2 Up. They say these things even themselves out, but if you read my vent at the end of Week 5 AFL Discussion, you will know that I have gone 2-15 in lines/DT Props decided by 5 or less points.

And btw, thanks Geelong and Fremantle, Lost some more money.

It's stupid cause I've been on the right side for most of the bets.

 

[Gus Poyet]

Been a dirty week for multi bets this weekend so far.

 

[Gus Poyet]

It's a sad weekend of footy punting when this is your best collect...

• 17/05/2013 08:56 PM Top 4 Finish Straight Bet) Ukraine @ 2.25 $100.00

• 17/05/2013 08:55 PM Top 4 Finish Straight Bet) Ukraine @ 2.25 $100.00

*that's the Eurovision song contest by the way*

 

[tupperware]

Singles:
sportingbets "Buddy Bags" - under 16.5 goals @ 1.88
Western Bulldogs +8.5
Freo +18.5
Geelong -20.5

Safe Multi @5.xx:
North +40.5
Ess -30.5
Bulldogs +29.5
Syd/Freo u/40
Geelong H2H
Saints +43.5

Apparently not so safe multi.
Buddy only bagged 2 against GWS. So looking good for that bet, needs 14 in two weeks now.

Pretty shit round so far. If GWS get lowest score of round I'll just be in the positives this week. I have a little on Melbourne also just incase.

 

[X_box_X]

What is the outcome if you bet on either team under 39.5 in the Freo/Sydney game?

 

[freddy mercury]

Had a nice little win on a most disposals mulit. Dyson Heppell into Jager O'meara both group B at 13.50 chucked a cheeky 30 on it. Paid my Foxtel bill and a bit more. Any value around today? I don't mind Port under 39.

 

[Tassieboy]

DT Markets

Westhoff > Kreuzer and Warnock - 4u @ 2.50
Jackson > Trengove, Vlastin - 2u @ 2.60
Vince > Dal Santo - 2u @ 1.80
Boak over 97.5 points - 2.5 u @ 1.87
Foley under 95.5 - 2u @ 1.72
Grigg under 99.5 - 3u @ 1.87

 

[Thedeftouch]

Can someone give an argument for why Carlton should be three goal favourites against Port Adelaide?

• None of Carlton's wins have been impressive - they were pretty lucky to win against a weak WCE team that couldnt kick straight, they beat Adelaide after Taylor Walker went down, and beat lol-Melbourne.
• Carlton without some key players - Betts, Yarran, Gibbs, Carrazzo, Ellard, Hampson.
• Port Adelaide were able to get an upset over Carlton last year (despite significant Carlton injuries).
• Port are 5-2 and 6-1 ATS, and are 2-1 as underdogs.
• Port's core has played together all year, relatively high stability.
• Port have an extra two days rest
• Carlton will have some edge in the ruck

 

[ricardogp]

What is the outcome if you bet on either team under 39.5 in the Freo/Sydney game?

My understanding is: if the market includes a result for a draw (e.g. I bet on Freo 1-39, for which there is a 'draw' option) then you lose (i.e me

If there is no draw option in the market then I expect the dead heat rule applies.

 

[Willzzz]

Can someone give an argument for why Carlton should be three goal favourites against Port Adelaide?

• None of Carlton's wins have been impressive - they were pretty lucky to win against a weak WCE team that couldnt kick straight, they beat Adelaide after Taylor Walker went down, and beat lol-Melbourne.
• Carlton without some key players - Betts, Yarran, Gibbs, Carrazzo, Ellard, Hampson.
• Port Adelaide were able to get an upset over Carlton last year (despite significant Carlton injuries).
• Port are 5-2 and 6-1 ATS, and are 2-1 as underdogs.
• Port's core has played together all year, relatively high stability.
• Port have an extra two days rest
• Carlton will have some edge in the ruck

Well, I've already take Port Adelaide SU so you can expect them to lose by 1 point after the siren.

Other than that,

• Port Adelaide don't have a great record at Etihad, lost its last 6 games and 13 of its past 16.
• Blues have won 5 of the past 6 against Port, 3 of them over 50 Points.
• Port are missing Jay Schulz.
• Their half-back line-up of Jonas, Moore, Stevenson & O'Shea is unproven. (Feel free to chip in Port supporters).

 

[Tassieboy]

Carlton are poor at Etihad too

 

[Thedeftouch]

Well, I've already take Port Adelaide SU so you can expect them to lose by 1 point after the siren.

Other than that,

• Port Adelaide don't have a great record at Etihad, lost its last 6 games and 13 of its past 16.
• Blues have won 5 of the past 6 against Port, 3 of them over 50 Points.
• Port are missing Jay Schulz.
• Their half-back line-up of Jonas, Moore, Stevenson & O'Shea is unproven. (Feel free to chip in Port supporters).

Schulz is listed to play?

 

[timcorb]

As far as I can see schulz is listed to play.

Carlton's top 4 goalkickers for the year are garlett, yarran, murphey and betts. Two of which are out, and murphey could be hampered with a foot injury from last week. On the flipside, all of ports main goalkickers are playing. Schulz (?), wingard, westhoff, hartlett, monfries.

Not only does murphy have injury issues from last week, so does jamison.

Sure Waite is back, but he is still getting back into the swing of things.

Port may not win, but i'll be certainly having a nibble on the line.

 

[tupperware]

What is the outcome if you bet on either team under 39.5 in the Freo/Sydney game?

Should pay out, as margin is under 39.5 points?

 

[vWestCoast]

Horrible weekend, thought I had some very safe bets down but Geelong and Bombers losing killed all my multis. Any good value left in the round? Considering Port at the line

 

[Tassieboy]

Little safe multi to finish the round with - luckily my first one. Melbourne 100.5 + x St Kilda 50.5 + x Carlton @ 2.02

 

[Substance]

It's a sad weekend of footy punting when this is your best collect...




*that's the Eurovision song contest by the way*

I'm counting this as an after the fact brag