AFL Round 8

[LineBetDotCom]

Multi A $6.97
NM -15.5
ESS -12.5
BRIS -30.5

North Melbourne -15.5
They are better than last week, maybe they got ahead of themselves and thought they could coast against the Dogs, who knows...It won't happen again this week. They have beaten Port 3/4 at Aami and 5/6 overall the last few years. You would dare say that they have improved and Port have gone the other way. I think that line is more than generous and if they want to be taken seriously they should be putting a team like Port away by 6 goals plus.

Essendon -12.5
As usual people (the media) seem to be getting carried away with Richmond. That game was there for the taking last week, to their credit they did win but the Swans are flat and they only did what was expected in my eyes. They were also outscored after 1/4 time... Essendon have been nothing but impressive and will put them away with ease. I think this game will show the difference between the top 6 and the next tier.

Brisbane -30.5
The Giants have been to Tasmania, Adelaide, Canberra and Melbourne in their short 7 week History. Now they have to hop on another plane to Brisbane. I think this week might be the breaking point for them. These kids just aren't used to the rigors of this kind of travel and aches and pains of being professional footballers. It wouldn't surprise me to see a few of them rested after last weeks heroics as I can see a few of them coming to the end of their tether.

By no means are the Lions a good team, it's just that they are just in the right place at the right time. Their forward structure is good enough to kick some goals, in particular is Brown can get off the leash. Their midfield should give them enough chances to score fairly heavily and I think the Giants might be in a bit of trouble.

Excellent multi Kardinia park. Strongly agree with North easily, and true about Richmond, they had that game for the taking and the Swans got back to within a couple of goals, whereas the Tigers should of had them buried. Also you make a good point regarding BWS and their travel. Plus I expect a huge letdown after their first ever win last week.

 

[Piss Poor]

When does the market for most goals, etc come out. Today or tomorrow anyone know.

 

[Most Disposals]

When does the market for most goals, etc come out. Today or tomorrow anyone know.

They will start to come out tonight and tomorrow during the day. The odds for sunday games will be released after the extended bench is cut to 4.

 

[tupperware]

The GWS outs are pretty big, a lot of their young stars so far this season.. Brisbane line looks tastier

 

[laam]

Terrible round last week
Round 7 -6.54u
YTD +5.89u

0.5u freo win @ 5.15
1.5u freo+29.5 @ 1.93
2u Essendon – 12.5 @ 1.97

 

[Lensen]

Most goals tomorrow

1 unit Hawkins @ $7.50 (Betstar)

 

[Grizzly_82]

Bartel $17 (TAB)
Hawkins $7.00 (TAB)
Cats tri bet 15.5 points $2.95 (TAB)

 

[Lensen]

Most Goals Saturday:

0.2 units Bastinac @ $41 (Sportsbet)
0.8 units Butcher @ $7 (Centrebet)

1 unit Pavlich @ $17 (TAB)

0.4 units Green @ $18 (Sportsbet)
0.6 units Green @ $15 (Centrebet)

 

[KardiniaPark]

Most goals tomorrow

1 unit Hawkins @ $7.50 (Betstar)

Your backline looks a bit top heavy. I'll have Stokes @$26, Duncan @$34 and Motlop @51.

Edit- is that Green again!

 

[Veroldin]

Most Goals Saturday:

0.2 units Bastinac @ $41 (Sportsbet)
0.8 units Butcher @ $7 (Centrebet)

1 unit Pavlich @ $17 (TAB)

0.4 units Green @ $18 (Sportsbet)
0.6 units Green @ $15 (Centrebet)

green? must be a debutant cos i know you wouldn't go near brad green...right?

 

[HurlsMeister18]

Anybody else on here have a sneaky feeling Melbourne could get over the swans this weekend ?

I keep looking at the sides and can see the SCG suiting Melbourne who have no outside run so this game could be right up there alley. The line at +42 for the dees looks very juicy and I get the feeling the dees might play out of there skins this week for some reason.

BTW I have backed Melbourne's opponents to cover the line and made profit nearly every game this year so I do know how horrendous they have been.

Also the last time I had this feeling about an $8 shot in AFL was Geelong Vs Sydney last year in rd 23 and the swans saluted.

 

[asanque]

Most Goals Saturday:

0.2 units Bastinac @ $41 (Sportsbet)
0.8 units Butcher @ $7 (Centrebet)

1 unit Pavlich @ $17 (TAB)

0.4 units Green @ $18 (Sportsbet)
0.6 units Green @ $15 (Centrebet)

No Jurrah?

 

[demon_fanatic]

Anybody else on here have a sneaky feeling Melbourne could get over the swans this weekend ?

I keep looking at the sides and can see the SCG suiting Melbourne who have no outside run so this game could be right up there alley. The line at +42 for the dees looks very juicy and I get the feeling the dees might play out of there skins this week for some reason.

BTW I have backed Melbourne's opponents to cover the line and made profit nearly every game this year so I do know how horrendous they have been.

Also the last time I had this feeling about an $8 shot in AFL was Geelong Vs Sydney last year in rd 23 and the swans saluted.

agree the dees team looks a lot better with Green/Jurrah/watts but they have to now back up their talent and do something!!! We seem to match up well with syd (we did belt them in 2010 at mcg and drew last year at g) but up there is hard but i think we will stay close and cover the 42....

 

[KardiniaPark]

Anybody else on here have a sneaky feeling Melbourne could get over the swans this weekend ?

I keep looking at the sides and can see the SCG suiting Melbourne who have no outside run so this game could be right up there alley. The line at +42 for the dees looks very juicy and I get the feeling the dees might play out of there skins this week for some reason.

BTW I have backed Melbourne's opponents to cover the line and made profit nearly every game this year so I do know how horrendous they have been.

Also the last time I had this feeling about an $8 shot in AFL was Geelong Vs Sydney last year in rd 23 and the swans saluted.

I nearly included them before I realised it was Melbourne. The swans just have nothing in attack and are going to rely on their midfielders to kick the bulk of their goals. On the other hand everytime the ball goes near Mitch it looks like he will kick a goal. I wasn't aware that Jurrah ( i thought he was locked up wtf?) and Green were back, that probably hinders more than helps them to be honest but the line looks OK at around the 40, not sure if id be courageous enough to back them straight out.

 

[timcorb]

Geelong +6.5 1.91 1u
North -14.5 1.91 1u
Essendon h2h 1.55 2u
Fremantle +29.5 1.91 1u

So far

 

[Gunner93]

Centrebet is offering $4 odds on Pendlebury to collect more than 30 disposals this weekend in their hour of power special, might be worth a punt, thoughts?

 

[Rooster Cogburn]

I think you shouldn't tell everyone under the sun, as the offer is limited to the first 100 customers.

 

[Lensen]

Doesn't make a difference who you tell. Will be gone by 3:03 like evey other week.

except last week when it was shit

 

[laam]

took 2u brisbane - 30.5 @ 1.91 last night
also upped stake on essendon -12.5 to 2.5u

 

[Lensen]

1 unit Bennell MGS WB/GC @ $13 (Sportsbet)

 

[Sunny_]

1 unit Bennell MGS WB/GC @ $13 (Sportsbet)

Not worried about the Dogs forwards of Dickson and Jones kicking goals with no Bock?

 

[lamaros]

$5.5 for Fremantle is crazy if you ask me. I've thrown another unit on.

 

[Lensen]

Not worried about the Dogs forwards of Dickson and Jones kicking goals with no Bock?

Warnock's OK, whilst (and this will probably come back to bite me) I'd have every confidence in an inanimate carbon rod holding Jones from kicking multiple goals

I have more confidence in Alex Sexton coming out and kicking 5 than Liam Jones

 

[Lensen]

Ess v Rich MGS: 1 unit Nahas @ $15 (Sportsbet)

 

[Mudeo]

Double up on Port Lowest Score of the Round @13. Chance of a late shower.