AFL Round 9

[CAB12]

Cheers mate. Had $35 on it do already 13 bucks up with the remainder cover my other multis. So now can enjoy the weekend knowing I have at least a small profit. Also noticed once return was confirmed I had a free 25 buck bet waitin for me. So went with Sportsbets MegaBet of West Coast into North into West tigers. $3 with the 25 on that.

Good luck rest of the weekend.

 

[KardiniaPark]

I get this wrong every Friday but here goes

DT (sportingbet)
$9.18
Griffin > Boyd > Selwood
Chapman > Cross > Johnson

MGS
Duncan $21
Stokes $15
Motlop $34

1/3 of $34 for Motlop but geeeez he had two great chances running in and passed it off. Just missed a few others... Youre killing me son!

 

[KardiniaPark]

Whoops was 1/4 not 1/3.

 

[Most Disposals]

FOR TODAY RICHMOND HAWTHORN UNDER 195.5 1.88 5* (bet during week sports bet)
HAWTHORN -22.5 1.92 2*

GL to all

 

[bad_barry]

Port - gc over 165.5
Sydney h2h
Adelaide h2h
1 unit @ 4.15

Port-gc was set very low for teams with no defensive structure, it's now been changed to 180
Sydney play the dome an
d saints well, even in st kilda prime and Sydney's low
Adelaide are in red hot form, no Swan = no collingwood

 

[Maveric]

What's the weather like in Melbourne at the moment? 179.5 seems like a high line given the forecast for the Richmond Hawthorn game.

 

[KardiniaPark]

I like both the Hawthorn and Port games to go under at about $3.50.

 

[vicco]

Saints 1-39
Bombers 25+
Blues 15+
North h2h
Crows 1-39
Port +39.5

$100 @8.60

 

[Dawggin It]

I'm a bit surprised Roughead is paying $8 most goals at TAB today.

Franklin will always start favorite in Hawk games granted, but in the last couple of weeks we have looked far more effective with Franklin playing a HF role, getting 25 touches and goal assists and Roughead FF.

The other point is that even with his 7 shots on goal the way he is travelling at the moment that will only be a 3 goal game for him.

Roughead will spend time in the ruck, but will be at FF for enough of the game to kick 4-5 goals on a decimated Richmond backline.

Other danger is obviously Riewoldt, but Shoenmakers with Gibson 3rd man up should be able to hold him pretty well.

 

[NSLK]

I like Jono Brown at $10 for most goals of the round. Under the roof, he likes the dome, and North have been leaking goals all season. If Shulz can kick 7, Jono hitting a bit of form can easily kick a bag.

 

[laam]

a few to start the weekend off

1u carlton-49.5 @ 1.91
melbourne are terrible! carlton should be wanting to play themselves into form

1u grigg over suckling in DT @ 1.8
1u montagna over jack in disposals @ 2

3u shaw < 25.5 disposals @ 1.9
big line for a half back flanker, adelaide have tagged the creative half backs this year, expect shaw to cop the same

1.5u ablett most disposals vs port @ 1.65
no other big disposal gatherers in this game, should be a cake walk

1u sydney win @ 1.93
i still dont believe the saints are any good

1u port -12.5 @ 2.05
this the GC here, port have improved this year, GC havent

1u rockliff over swallow in DT @ 1.85
swallow is the consistant DTer, generally good for 90-100, rockliff is more up and down but has the higher ceiling. hoping last week was a return to form

1u brown over petrie in DT @ 1.85
brown in better form, should be good for at least 80, petrie struggling to even hit 80 at the moment

1u prestia over 20.5 disposals @ 1.87
has cleared this line the last 3 games

 

[vicco]

a few to start the weekend off

1u carlton-49.5 @ 1.91
melbourne are terrible! carlton should be wanting to play themselves into form

1u grigg over suckling in DT @ 1.8
1u montagna over jack in disposals @ 2

3u shaw < 25.5 disposals @ 1.9
big line for a half back flanker, adelaide have tagged the creative half backs this year, expect shaw to cop the same

1.5u ablett most disposals vs port @ 1.65
no other big disposal gatherers in this game, should be a cake walk

1u sydney win @ 1.93
i still dont believe the saints are any good

1u port -12.5 @ 2.05
this the GC here, port have improved this year, GC havent

1u rockliff over swallow in DT @ 1.85
swallow is the consistant DTer, generally good for 90-100, rockliff is more up and down but has the higher ceiling. hoping last week was a return to form

1u brown over petrie in DT @ 1.85
brown in better form, should be good for at least 80, petrie struggling to even hit 80 at the moment

1u prestia over 20.5 disposals @ 1.87
has cleared this line the last 3 games

Im jumping on Ablett on for most disposals. Hard to see anyone else getting close.

 

[Athomas]

a few to start the weekend off

Would love to see your season profits, your bets are ACE week in, week out!

This avo I'm all over:
2.5u - Port -15.5 @ 2.15
1u - Port -39.5 @ 4.25

1u - Port x Hawks x Saints @ 3.93

0.5u - Roughead MGS @ 8

 

[Sainters12]

With Batch out, I took Roughy @ $8 and also a little on Rioli @ $11.

Hawthorn over 103 @ $1.88 is my main bet this week.

That and Schulz most goals @ $3.

 

[laam]

Would love to see your season profits, your bets are ACE week in, week out!

cheers
im +7.6u at this stage, a terrible rounds 4 and 5 killed about 10u, otherwise going alright

 

[DTpunter]

CHnaged my mind on saints vs swans. I like Sydney now.

 

[Terror Time]

bulldogs +29.5
adelaide -12.5
west coast -17.5
essendon first to 25

6.82

bulldogs +29.5
adelaide -12.5
west coast -17.5
essendon first to 25
richmond first to 25

18.09

I'd love to know the % for Richmond reaching 25 first in the last few seasons. 70% would be my guess. If anyone works that out, email me the stat please. Always pays well too as Richmond are generally underdogs.

See what i'm talking about! Richmond the first quarter champions of the AFL

 

[Brave Sir Robin]

What happened to the guy who was calling the bookies dumb for having the Hawks $4.00 at half time, because they should've been odds on?

Mug punter and a weasel to boot.

 

[Terror Time]

That was me and you left out the part where i said i want Richmond to win. There's a reason why i deleted that post which is because of people like you and the people who will probably follow this post. I stand by what i said as 9 times out of 10 Richmond fade.

 

[Athomas]

This avo I'm all over:
2.5u - Port -15.5 @ 2.15
1u - Port -39.5 @ 4.25

1u - Port x Hawks x Saints @ 3.93

0.5u - Roughead MGS @ 8

Lol didn't learn my lesson from throwing short priced faves into multis (Hawks).

So have added:
1u - Saints @ 2

 

[Dawggin It]

I'm a bit surprised Roughead is paying $8 most goals at TAB today.

Franklin will always start favorite in Hawk games granted, but in the last couple of weeks we have looked far more effective with Franklin playing a HF role, getting 25 touches and goal assists and Roughead FF.

The other point is that even with his 7 shots on goal the way he is travelling at the moment that will only be a 3 goal game for him.

Roughead will spend time in the ruck, but will be at FF for enough of the game to kick 4-5 goals on a decimated Richmond backline.

Other danger is obviously Riewoldt, but Shoenmakers with Gibson 3rd man up should be able to hold him pretty well.

Wrong on two counts out of three. At least I had Franklin being useless spot on. I think the bookies will finally wake up this week and wind Hawkins, Riewoldt and walker into much shorter odds for the Coleman.

 

[half_back_flank]

That was me and you left out the part where i said i want Richmond to win. There's a reason why i deleted that post which is because of people like you and the people who will probably follow this post. I stand by what i said as 9 times out of 10 Richmond fade.

Clearly.

 

[Brave Sir Robin]

TT, I wouldn't have said anything except you deleted your post because you thought no one would notice.

If I really gave a toss otherwise I would've called you out on it (and quoted your post) before you deleted it.

We all get things wrong, I know that, but I think it's silly to wax on about how somebody is so dumb and then try to get away without anyone noticing when it turns out you're wrong.

Oh, and re: the actual thread... still liking North at the line.

 

[laam]

2u essendon total >120.5 @ 2

 

[Snoozer]

Melbourne are massive overs @ $9.50. I know they've been dreadful all year, but Carlton have been appalling the last three weeks. Dees at line is a certainty.