Any stock tips? - Part 1

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Re: Any stock tips?

This downturn has serious legs. Something is badly broken in derivitives land I reckon. Which shouldn't realisticly effect Joes Widgets or whoever, but just watch it do.
 

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Re: Any stock tips?

Hi guys, bit of a newbie question here.

What's the minimum amount of money that will be accepted in a buy offer?

I have a bit of cash lying around, and am thinking of investing a bit more seeing as though some companies are dirt cheap right now. Will probably wait a bit longer until the major volatility is over and we start seeing a bit of steady improvement though.

Cheers.
 
Re: Any stock tips?

I know Comsec requires a minimum $500 in holdings on one stock, Jeremias.

I have a small portfolio of around 15 different stocks which were going solidly prior to the past couple of weeks. All have taken massive nosedives and I don't have the disposable capital to buy in again.

Apparently the worst of it isn't over either, with another sombre day expected tomorrow.
 
Re: Any stock tips?

A friend of mine who rides the ship carring the big boys in the financial market arena recently recommended PDN.. he said the price is pretty cheap at the moment with the recent correction and it was due to bounce back.. so.. he's not PS146 compliant so not to be miscontsrued as being personal advice though..
 
Re: Any stock tips?

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Made me laugh.
 
Re: Any stock tips?

DYL people. Look at the chart. This is a 60c+ stock caught in poor market & negative uranium sentiment. 40c next week without a doubt.
 
Re: Any stock tips?

To any newbie investors there ...could I caution jumping in on spec shares.

A few of the investors here know what they are doing and that is cool but they have built this knowledge over time (and I am betting pain - hey we ahve all been there).

If you are buying do some research and grab something solid as your first step into the market would be my advice.

I am watching the likes of Wesfarmers, Woodside Petroleum and Woolworths (and no I don't stock watch by alphabet) ...Any of the Bank, Brambles (bloody going up)

I buy soild and hold, if you are going to gamble - gamble your dividends or once you have a feel for the market.
 
Re: Any stock tips?

Moo said:
A few of the investors here know what they are doing and that is cool but they have built this knowledge over time (and I am betting pain - hey we ahve all been there).
Click to expand...

you have better eyes than me. This board is about a mate whose ex-room mate once bought PVC and today they are only 0.02c....they are heading to $1.00...GET ON 'EM, GET ON 'EM. It is fun to watch but it is a casino, there is no investing only speculating.
 

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Re: Any stock tips?

In a falling market there are a number of stocks which will be oversold. If you can understand what is happening in the market then it goes a long way to helping you pick those that have been and may be worth picking up. A with all things there are no guarantees to Caveat Emptor!

1st - Why has it all suddenly gone **** up? - root cause is the sub-prime mortgages. What are these? Well theya re essentially laons to clients who would otherwise not get credit because of their poor credit rating/history. USA lenders have had some exposure to these borrowers and with recent rate rises they have been defaulting (no surprise there huh....u lend money to bad credit risks and they don't pay...mmm rocket science not).

2nd - Why then is it affecting the Australian (and every other share market)? - well part of the problem is that those lenders who lent the money in the first place weren't stupid enough to hold all of the risk themselves so they "on sold" the bad loans to other lenders....essentially hedging their risk. Other lenders have in course on sold their portion - hence who and where the end of the chain is is unknown since it could be any lender in the world who was willing to take on that risk - Immediately that would tell u that you probably shouldn't invest in company's that lend money - banks, building societies etc, because they potentially could be affected.

3rd - If its a lending issue why are stocks generally coming down? - well its got to do with money supply theory. If a large group of borrowes start defaulting, then money which the financail world thought it had suddenly doesn't exist....hence there is less money in the financial system. Hence there is now less money available for other company's/businesses/individuals to borrow, meaning that the cost of money will increase (ie interest rates) - hence you would also thus want to stay away from companies heavily reliant on debt (ie with high Debt to Equity Ratios), because they are going to have to pay more for their debt (unless locked in) or are going to sturggle to refinance debt as credit policies tighten (ie infrastructure companies)

4th - But surely that can't be all that is going on? - no, its further complicated by "hedge funds" and other "Fund managers" - investors in funds have a tendency to get jittery when they see an investment falling. As hedge funds tend to trade in derivatives, which amplify the risk and the rutrn, being poorly placed in a falling market can be a disaster! These funds are running out of funds and are seeking to liquidate their investments to pay investors seeking to redeem their investments - hence now you need to be careful of those companies who "invest" in other companies (ie Banks, insurance companies, pension companies, fund manages etc)
 
Re: Any stock tips?

Moo said:
To any newbie investors there ...could I caution jumping in on spec shares.

A few of the investors here know what they are doing and that is cool but they have built this knowledge over time (and I am betting pain - hey we ahve all been there).

If you are buying do some research and grab something solid as your first step into the market would be my advice.

I am watching the likes of Wesfarmers, Woodside Petroleum and Woolworths (and no I don't stock watch by alphabet) ...Any of the Bank, Brambles (bloody going up)
Click to expand...

Long and solid is the way to go to start, IMO. I'm a relative newbie with shares, and have only long term investments. Not confident enough to go with short term ones just yet. Lots of research should be done before selecting. I've got Wesfarmers and Brambles, and NAB from the companies you listed. All have grown since I've purchased a while back, especially Brambles-they've been fantastic. But you need to be careful when choosing.

James23 said:
more pain to come unfortunately:( my advice to newbies: stay away for a while
Click to expand...

Absolutely. The market is way too volatile to get involved in right now, just gotta sit tight and wait for a while.

Many of the great stocks are dirt cheap at the moment, and it will be a buyer's paradise when the market starts to show signs of rising consistently. That's when I'm more than likely to splash out a bit more on a few very cheap stocks for the long term, like MBL, if I have cash available.
 
Re: Any stock tips?

FrediKanoute said:
In a falling market there are a number of stocks which will be oversold. If you can understand what is happening in the market then it goes a long way to helping you pick those that have been and may be worth picking up. A with all things there are no guarantees to Caveat Emptor!

1st - Why has it all suddenly gone **** up? - root cause is the sub-prime mortgages. What are these? Well theya re essentially laons to clients who would otherwise not get credit because of their poor credit rating/history. USA lenders have had some exposure to these borrowers and with recent rate rises they have been defaulting (no surprise there huh....u lend money to bad credit risks and they don't pay...mmm rocket science not).

2nd - Why then is it affecting the Australian (and every other share market)? - well part of the problem is that those lenders who lent the money in the first place weren't stupid enough to hold all of the risk themselves so they "on sold" the bad loans to other lenders....essentially hedging their risk. Other lenders have in course on sold their portion - hence who and where the end of the chain is is unknown since it could be any lender in the world who was willing to take on that risk - Immediately that would tell u that you probably shouldn't invest in company's that lend money - banks, building societies etc, because they potentially could be affected.

3rd - If its a lending issue why are stocks generally coming down? - well its got to do with money supply theory. If a large group of borrowes start defaulting, then money which the financail world thought it had suddenly doesn't exist....hence there is less money in the financial system. Hence there is now less money available for other company's/businesses/individuals to borrow, meaning that the cost of money will increase (ie interest rates) - hence you would also thus want to stay away from companies heavily reliant on debt (ie with high Debt to Equity Ratios), because they are going to have to pay more for their debt (unless locked in) or are going to sturggle to refinance debt as credit policies tighten (ie infrastructure companies)

4th - But surely that can't be all that is going on? - no, its further complicated by "hedge funds" and other "Fund managers" - investors in funds have a tendency to get jittery when they see an investment falling. As hedge funds tend to trade in derivatives, which amplify the risk and the rutrn, being poorly placed in a falling market can be a disaster! These funds are running out of funds and are seeking to liquidate their investments to pay investors seeking to redeem their investments - hence now you need to be careful of those companies who "invest" in other companies (ie Banks, insurance companies, pension companies, fund manages etc)
Click to expand...


****en top post. :thumbsu:
 
Re: Any stock tips?

Lidge said:
7 months down the track and time to revisit how these Nasdaq & S&P500 stocks are travelling:

MSTR (Microstrategy)

Started - $65 USD
Oct 06 - $119 USD
Now - $103 USD

BMC (BMC Software)

Started - $14 USD
Oct 06 - $30 USD
Now - $32.80 USD

CRM (Salesforce.com)

Started - $29 USD
Oct 06 - $41 USD
Now - $47.06 USD

Phew. Good news - still in front and 2 of 3 still climbing. :thumbsu:MSTR has taken a bit of a hit - and hopefully it climbs back up above $120 again.
Click to expand...

Bugger. Took a fait hit, but still have my nose in front.

And things were looking great back in May.

Now.

MSTR (31st May $103USD) - Now - $70.69USD
BMC (31st May $30USD) Now - $28.82USD
CRM (31st May $47.06USD) Now - $39.68USD

And a double hit with the exchange rate.

Luckily BMC weathered the storm (that's the upside of a tech stock on the S&P vs Nasdaq)

Will have to wait for the arse to fall out of the Aussie battler before cashing in my chips.
 
Re: Any stock tips?

I'm no expert but from my reading on other stock forum sites, I suggest investing in ARU or GBG. Especially due to the market drop, you'll be able to pick them up for cheap.
 
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