Purple7x08_24
President: Galactic Federation
I'm skeptical of anyone with a long term and consistent strategy. I ran historical data from 2023 AFL season.
I selected Home teams with odds of less than $1.20
33 teams were filtered. Here were the results
7/33 were losses (21%).
2 were close wins under a goal
From $1.21 - $1.50 the home team won 38/54 (30% loss)
From $1.70 - $2.10 Home team won 21/39 (Near 50%)
Best case scenario below for double or nothing you make $1545
It seems to me like the statistics just don't add up to the value of the odds given the outcomes.
STatistically, I'm interested to see how other ranges fair but I think it will be more of the same.
And for anyone saying you could selectively pick those. Who would have been able to accurately pick say 20 consecutive legs? That would be about 5.5K
I selected Home teams with odds of less than $1.20
33 teams were filtered. Here were the results
7/33 were losses (21%).
2 were close wins under a goal
From $1.21 - $1.50 the home team won 38/54 (30% loss)
From $1.70 - $2.10 Home team won 21/39 (Near 50%)
Best case scenario below for double or nothing you make $1545
It seems to me like the statistics just don't add up to the value of the odds given the outcomes.
STatistically, I'm interested to see how other ranges fair but I think it will be more of the same.
And for anyone saying you could selectively pick those. Who would have been able to accurately pick say 20 consecutive legs? That would be about 5.5K
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