Strapping Young Lad
Moderator
- Apr 19, 2006
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- #26
In a word, no.
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It depends on a lot of things.
3. Collingwood also win the Preliminary final. Could be against any one of Brisbane, Adelaide, Carlton or Bulldogs at the MCG.
A lot of things have to go right for Collingwood. Here's hoping that they do!!
Interesting views, seems like most are quite sceptical about us. Im a bit the same I think I assess our premiership chances at still only about 10 % at this stage based on where things currently sit.
Many collingwood supporters are getting quite cocky and confident - personally I think they are getting ahead of themselves.
No team has ever won 12 in a row and NOT made the GF. End of story
Essendon won 14 in a row in 1981 & didn't make it past the 1st week of the finals. Story re-opened.
Pies list is improving but its not in the same league as others...its all about the incredibly good coaching they get. Their coach is truly a master.
So no...i guess i dont think they'll make a GF this yr but will go to prelims..just another opinion.
I'm 10% certain that I am not going to worry about percentage chances at this point in time.Is my 10 % probability pessimistic ?
Wheres your assesment ?
They rely a lot of Shaw, didak and swan getting heaps of space and creating, and the deeper they get into september the less room there will be for these guys to do their damage.
yeah that sums it up
For the AFL boarders, Understudy says he is a collingwood supporter he has just yet to actually prove he enjoys collingwood success over failure
Errrr, no. Not 'end of story'. The past can only provide you with guidance of the future, not tell you the future.
Its been 19 years since any success, so where has he had the chance to prove it?
Dont confuse winning home and away games and lead up finals as success. Success in this game is only measured in one thing and everyone who has their feet firmly planted knows what that one thing is. Anything else leading up to that is posturing to achieve that one thing.
Its been 19 years since any success, so where has he had the chance to prove it?
Dont confuse winning home and away games and lead up finals as success. Success in this game is only measured in one thing and everyone who has their feet firmly planted knows what that one thing is. Anything else leading up to that is posturing to achieve that one thing.
No team has ever won 12 in a row and NOT made the GF. End of story
I think being injury free puts us in an amazing position, having a full strength list is such a rare thing. Is that list good enough to make the Grand Final though? If we face the Cats as they currently stand now I'd back us in, but that's not likely to happen. You'd think they'd have most of their guns firing come week one of the finals.
If/when we have to face the Saints, be it week one or even the Grand Final I think we're in for one hell of a beating, but that's just my opinion.
OK - this is not a troll, and it's not bitterness over the weekend's result
I think there's a few people in the media and on BF who are seriously overrating Collingwood this year (good to see a few Collingwood supporters here being more realistic).
Yes, they are a good team and yes they are very well coached. And yes, they beat Adelaide on the weekend (but we played very badly and it is a game we should have won).
But have a look at the record this year - who they've beaten, and where they got enough wins to (probably) finish top 4.
They play Geelong and St Kilda once each (lost both)
They play Carlton and Essendon twice each, in a year when both of those sides are middle of the ladder at best (1-1 in both cases)
They play Sydney twice (1 win and one TBA)
They play Melbourne twice (2 wins)
Switch a few games around in the fixture (like give them 2 each against Saints and Cats instead of, say, Melbourne and Sydney) and bingo, they're on 11 wins and fighting it out in the bottom half of the 8.
Yes, I know you can only beat who you play, and I know it's swings an roundabouts with the fixture - but the point is, if you're going to rate Collingwood as a contender it has to be on the evidence, and the evidence is thin.
Based on the fixture I don't rate Collingwood any higher in the Premiership contention stakes than Adelaide or Brisbane. And I don't rate Adelaide's chances