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sma_warrior said:
Results like this is why I avoid the NBA like the plague
Click to expand...

Out of all the possible upsets, Dallas losing today is one of the higher probabilities when you take everything under consideration.

- Long winning streak, so a tendency to get complacent
- Tend to struggle against the lower teams (as this thread clearly shows :p)
- New York can beat good teams - eg Atlanta

So I'm not sure why you're using this result as justification to avoid the NBA.
 

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$141 on Manny @ $1.13. Can't see him having any problems.

Also, I'm not major NBA expert, but I avoid NY Nicks games like the plague. They can randomly beat anyone if they're on I find. Glad I avoided the NBA altogether today.
 
I'm a sucker for punishment.

Bet 1

$10 on Manny @ 1.12


The Mavs game was the only upset today smiddaz but good call on the Knicks, I have been pretty successful betting on the NBA lately and usually wouldn't have gone the Spurs/Mavs due to the crap odds but it was only for this fun game. Whenever I bet on a Knicks game in the past I lost so avoid them when I bet for value, should have done the same thing today but really did not think the Mavs would get spanked so damn hard.
 

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Rick18 said:
Out of all the possible upsets, Dallas losing today is one of the higher probabilities when you take everything under consideration.

- Long winning streak, so a tendency to get complacent
- Tend to struggle against the lower teams (as this thread clearly shows :p)
- New York can beat good teams - eg Atlanta

So I'm not sure why you're using this result as justification to avoid the NBA.
Click to expand...

I avoid NBA because not enough return for good teams all things considered. NHL is very comparable, yet you'll never* see odds under $1.30 on any game. Sure, good NBA teams have better records than good NHL teams all up, but not to the $1.08 extent of what Atlanta was valued at today (or $1.13 being offered for Dallas). It's the exact same reason I go nowhere near Tennis outside the Big 4 and maybe Davis Cup.

And for the purposes of this experiment of rolling over winnings, I think anything under $1.20 is close to insane LOL (So far this weekend alone we've seen Canterbury Bulldogs at $1.25 lose by 4, Dallas get a belting for $1.13, and Western Bulldogs get up by 40 to cost a LOT of punters (which technically should have been 39 but still...)

* There's been maybe 3 or 4 games across all games this season where one team was favoured at $1.25
 
My first attempt crashed out today on Dallas/Houston. I don't know what bet number it was but I had $125 on it. Anyway I'll record attempt 2...

Bet 1
$10 on Reds to beat Force @ $1.30
 
sma_warrior said:
I avoid NBA because not enough return for good teams all things considered. NHL is very comparable, yet you'll never* see odds under $1.30 on any game. Sure, good NBA teams have better records than good NHL teams all up, but not to the $1.08 extent of what Atlanta was valued at today (or $1.13 being offered for Dallas). It's the exact same reason I go nowhere near Tennis outside the Big 4 and maybe Davis Cup.

And for the purposes of this experiment of rolling over winnings, I think anything under $1.20 is close to insane LOL (So far this weekend alone we've seen Canterbury Bulldogs at $1.25 lose by 4, Dallas get a belting for $1.13, and Western Bulldogs get up by 40 to cost a LOT of punters (which technically should have been 39 but still...)

* There's been maybe 3 or 4 games across all games this season where one team was favoured at $1.25
Click to expand...

Surely you can't compare NHL because there is the draw option.
 
smoovy said:
Surely you can't compare NHL because there is the draw option.
Click to expand...
There is never a draw in NHL, only if you bet in normal time do you get the draw option.

The "secret" to betting on NHL is to bet for the win/loss for the total game, and not the initial odds.

You may lose a little bit of value doing this, but most of the "good" sides usually win in OT or the shootout anyway.

My rule for NHL is never bet on the normal time score, as I hate betting on 3 way options (win/lose/draw).

And yes, I have broken my rule in the past.
 

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