Can Collingwood fix their poor win-loss record?

Are Collingwood pretenders?


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Port got smashed by 50 points against Carlton. Port have never won a prelim despite their top 4 finishes under Hinkley.

The true top 4 Grand Final contenders are Melbourne and Brisbane. Pies have lost to both.

So at best by the 50-50 record Pies may get lucky in a prelim if they have Port, but the record will hold up and they will lose the Grand Final.
 
Port got smashed by 50 points against Carlton. Port have never won a prelim despite their top 4 finishes under Hinkley.

The true top 4 Grand Final contenders are Melbourne and Brisbane. Pies have lost to both.

So at best by the 50-50 record Pies may get lucky in a prelim if they have Port, but the record will hold up and they will lose the Grand Final.
Yep asserting that clubs are defined by their histories, but then states the true top GF contenders are clubs that (a) have made 1 GF in 22 years and (b) made 0 GF’s in 18 years.
If histories just endlessly repeat, then Carlton are doomed.
 

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I think Collingwould’s average with GF’s is something around abouts, lose two - win one - lose two - win one.

So going on that they’re due for a win but they have lost 3 in a row before to Geelong, Carlton & Melbourne respectively so it’s far from an anomaly or unexpected if they do it again.
 
Collingwood's win loss record has improved to 40% from 33% a month ago against top four sides.

To win the premiership they will need to likely beat 3 top four sides. This gives them just a 6.4% chance of winning the flag.

So the flicker is there, but Collingwood winning the flag would need a larger miracle than the dogs in 2016.
 
1 win in the last 4 games, an 8 point victory over 10th.

Every game they've conceded 100 points, except Carlton where they conceded 93.

Biggest score conceded under McRae tonight and Brisbane have reeled in their percentage.

Banged up Collingwood play a fired up Essendon next week. Brisbane could yet be minor premiers.

Murphy out, Moore out, McCreery out for a week, N Daicos gone until week 2 of finals.

Nice finals preparation 😇
 
Collingwood's win loss record has improved to 40% from 33% a month ago against top four sides.

To win the premiership they will need to likely beat 3 top four sides. This gives them just a 6.4% chance of winning the flag.

So the flicker is there, but Collingwood winning the flag would need a larger miracle than the dogs in 2016.
They are 0% against top 4 sides that arent perennial top 4 choker Hinkleys.

Chances are they will need to beat one if not two top 4 sides that arent Hinkleys. 0% chance of doing so
 
Craig McRae has led this side to a stunning resurgence in recent weeks. They managed to square the ledger by beating the dees and now have a chance to revive their season.

Pies fans will be hoping for a percentage boosting win in what promises to be a season-defining game tomorrow. However, I can't see them winning the flag if they lose tomorrow to yet another top four side.
 
Collingwood wins vs top four sides in 2023: 3*

Carlton wins vs top four sides in 2023: 4
 
A weird top 4 this season.

Port we know are helpless against top 4.
Demons we know now to be similar with both straight setting.
Giants fluked the 8 with Crows getting robbed and managed to make the prelim.
So despite ladder position and prelim finishes nobody can really claim 4.

Leaves just Brisbane, Pies and Carlton with genuine claims of being talked about as a top 4 side.

Pies fluked a win when Carlton were getting beat by bottom sides, but realistically Pies are 0/3 against top 4 sides at full flight this season.

0/4 tomorrow. They cant beat genuinr top teams when those top teams are at their best.
 

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Can Collingwood fix their poor win-loss record?

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