Racing Caulfield Cup 2024

[Jugada]

Another go at shuffling the deck chairs for rankings post 3rd acceptances

1. ZARDOZI - From no where to #1 seed but that Sydney form looks to be travelling a lot better than the Melbourne form and she was great in the Metrop and wins that every time if she just has an ounce of luck. Meets LL significantly better at the weights too so can't see him beating her home very often.

2. SAYEDATY SEDATY - Just needs to get a run but with not much standing up here his form lines are looking extremely strong. Seeing the likes of City of Troy, Los Angeles, Jan Brueghel, Deira Mile and Bellum Justum in the form guide just looking better and better as the season goes on.

3. DUKE DE SESSA - Purely based on the fact he is 50-1 but was only as couple lengths off Buckaroo and Eliyass in the Turnbull and you know he will appreciate the step up in trip where as they may not. If we get a wet track he goes into all exotics.

4. COCO SUN - Expect she runs well at WFA this weekend behind Mr B and shortens right up down in the weights. Should continue to improve stepping out in trip.

5. ELIYASS - Nice run on the speed in the Turnbull which looks the right sort of form. Never raced behind 2000m has to be some sort of query though.

6. BUCKAROO - Same as above. Racing well but another who is very suspect at the trip as we saw in the Tancred. Don't think being gelded is going to turn him into a mile and a a half horse but we will see.

7. WARMONGER - Bit flat 2nd up and would have liked to have seen him finish a lot stronger in the Turnbull but out to a trip he wants now.

8. LAND LEGEND - Nice win in the Metrop but impossible to back him in a race with Zardozi after that with the 3kg weight swing and Zardozi having no luck in the run. Just a bit too short in the market.

9. WARP SPEED - Has class but will find this too short I think. Should still be closing off strongly though.

10. GEAR UP - #YOLO @ $201/$51. Take the double with the Herbert Power which I think he can win and probably going to be some sort of value even for a very unlikely winner.

 

[mcs095]

Dead 5

There’s a term I haven’t heard for a while , you’re obviously the same era as us diehards .. tab ticket on a square cardboard ticket that doesn’t bend

When cleaning out my old man's belongings after he passed last year, I must have found a thousand of those tickets lol. That plus about 10 different instances of letters where he formally complained to phonetab that they'd stuffed his bets up (including one where they actually admitted their fault).. oh they were different days!

 

[lightred]

I am not a good punter and lose allot more often than I win, so my opinion counts for very little, but I am struggling to see the appeal of SS, apart from the fact he has run behind JB.

Epsom his SP was $51 and ran 7.5L behind the winner.
Goodwood he ran 3rd to JB but it was a 4 horse field. Finished around 3-4L behind JB but was quite soft on the line.

He will probably come out and smash them now

 

[Jugada]

I am not a good punter and lose allot more often than I win, so my opinion counts for very little, but I am struggling to see the appeal of SS, apart from the fact he has run behind JB.

Epsom his SP was $51 and ran 7.5L behind the winner.
Goodwood he ran 3rd to JB but it was a 4 horse field. Finished around 3-4L behind JB but was quite soft on the line.

He will probably come out and smash them now

7.5 lengths behind the best horse in Europe. Los Angeles was 6 lengths off him in that race and just ran 3rd in the Arc. Deira Mile also 7.5 lengths off and ran close up in the Leger.

Run in the Gordon Stakes was ok without being anything great. Only dropped off late but the first 2 are good horses.

Fair enough the margins but he has come through strong form races in Europe running fairly and now gets in on the minimum in a dog shit Caulfield Cup

 

[toxic]

Yeah you are probably right. They don’t water because of the rain and then the rain doesn’t come. Good3 ##backtheJap

Rain will come Friday

 

[lightred]

7.5 lengths behind the best horse in Europe. Los Angeles was 6 lengths off him in that race and just ran 3rd in the Arc. Deira Mile also 7.5 lengths off and ran close up in the Leger.

Run in the Gordon Stakes was ok without being anything great. Only dropped off late but the first 2 are good horses.

Fair enough the margins but he has come through strong form races in Europe running fairly and now gets in on the minimum in a dog shit Caulfield Cup

Wow I didn't realise how strong some of that form was. They are good points. Good luck & I think ill be throwing him into my trifecta

 

[bigblueboy]

Prefer to draw a little wider than on the inside come Saturday.
Plenty of speed in the race … built for stronger stayers. With some juice in the track think DDS/Eliyass best of the on pacers.
Zardozi and Coco Sun of those coming from behind.
Barrier a concern for SS. But very well weighted. Only query on Buckaroo is the distance. Form is first rate.

 

[Optimistic Dog]

Oh well there goes my multis with Eliyass drawing the outside gone from my top pick to very little chance.

 

[Hamingja]

Oh well there goes my multis with Eliyass drawing the outside gone from my top pick to very little chance.

If you are going forward no matter what I don't think the gate is a big issue when you have no weight like that. If it was a Waller horse you would be worried that they snag it to last but Gai you would have to be reasonably confident she would still go forward on it. If you like it you just get a better price