And I agree, Houston is worth pick 10 but not pick 10 and Pickett.
-
AFLW 2024 - Round 2 - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
Speculation Dan Houston [UFA 2027]
- Thread starter Snuffaluphagus
- Start date
- Tagged users None
kaiserchief13
Hall of Famer
- Jul 12, 2011
- 35,084
- 25,945
- AFL Club
- West Coast
- Other Teams
- Eagles, Lakers, Bayern, Trojans
Yes, Pickett is in his first season
Pickett is the #4 rated general forward in the comp by CD.
He's also the youngest in the top 10.
He's one of the absolute best forward half pressure players in the league also.
No list manager in the league would trade Pickett for Houston straight up, let alone throw a top 10 pick in addition to it.
They'd be sacked the very next morning.
Pickett, Rankine and Moore would probably be the 3 most valuable general forwards in the entire comp given their age and ability at the moment. Also, dependent on how you classify Sheezel now.
Last edited:
- Jul 6, 2017
- 30,336
- 42,456
- AFL Club
- Adelaide
I think they are confident of landing Perryman so they can afford to push out a player to try to get some draft capital. But surely melbourne are not parting with pick 9 in this draft for him. Maybe tgey split it and give of a later 1st and a future 2nd which seems about right as he is in contract.
If it was butters then yeah, 2 firsts forsure
- Apr 29, 2016
- 13,320
- 11,603
- AFL Club
- Melbourne
Yeah. I think Houston is worth a top 10 pick. But Pickett is worth more than Houston. Pickett is 4 years younger. Houston could be done in 4 years. Pickett could be done in 8 years.
It’s much harder to become AA as a small forward. That said Houston got AA when he was 3 years older than Pickett is now so not sure that it’s a good hard stick here.
- Jul 6, 2017
- 30,336
- 42,456
- AFL Club
- Adelaide
I rate Pickett similar to Rankine in terms of what he could become and thats a very very high end burst mid / forward.
I rate Rankine a bit higher personally but I also think these type of players are harder to come by than running half backers who kick well.
Snuffaluphagus
Brownlow Medallist
- Sep 10, 2015
- 24,064
- 83,333
- AFL Club
- Fremantle
- Thread starter
- #60
Nah, I can see them convincing themselves it's worth it. Houston is very very good and they aren't actively in the race without knowing what it will cost. In a vacuum, one borderline top 10 pick feels appropriate given he is contracted (full value).
All that doesn't make it any less dumb IMO. Would make more sense for a team on the up that could really his type. North have enough youn talent and it would be the perfect type of move for them if they traded down IMO
And still wouldn't be worth the same as the 10th or 12th best small forward in the game.
I don't think a list manager would trade Cody Weightman or Brent Daniels for him in all honesty.
Elite pressure small forwards are one of the hottest commodities in the league and half backs the most plentiful and easily replaced.
One thing we don't need any more of is half backs.
In fact, I'd rather simply draft someone like Finn O'Sullivan to play off half back for 15 year (like Whitfield) than trade down for someone like Houston who likely is going to be done before we'd be seriously contending anyway.
Snuffaluphagus
Brownlow Medallist
- Sep 10, 2015
- 24,064
- 83,333
- AFL Club
- Fremantle
- Thread starter
- #68
Can't keep moving those talented kids up the ground? Experienced heads in defence make a world of difference I think.
I have no idea how.
He's averaging 1.7 goals per game and almost 6 SI per game and he's close to the #1 forward half pressure player in the league.
Eddie Betts career average was 1.8 goals per game and he's one of the best of the modern era.
We can, but we have already taken some talented half backs.
I'd much rather Goater back from injury and Riley Hardeman long term than using a top 10 pick on a half back we already have 2-3 first round picks invested in the position.
Hence Pickett is worth pick 10 (big difference between pick 10 and 5), he isn't at the level of Rankine.
Getting experienced heads from other successful (for the most part) clubs can add more value than talent. Comes down to balance really.
That said if you go too many talented kids at once you will also run into cap issues later.
Im not doubting that.
But it's simply not a position I'd want to be targeting.
We can literally roll McKercher, Goater, Hardeman through there over the next decade if we want too.
I'd much rather take that pick to the draft and take one of the best versatile mids or key forwards in the draft.
Noah Balta and Ed Richards as Free Agents next year? Yes.
