Doncaster Mile Day

Remove this Banner Ad

pizzor

All Australian
Sep 21, 2006
683
84
Melbourne
AFL Club
Melbourne
Other Teams
Orlando Magic
PREVIEW

Doncaster Mile
Star Melbourne mare Typhoon Tracy has drawn a wide barrier (14) in her bid to claim the Doncaster Mile. She is currently a clear cut favourite for the race at 3.00 with TAB Fixed Odds.

The field will be out to chase the Melbourne mare who is out to prove that she is the best horse out there and to lock in her Horse of the Year award. Her main rival for the award is Theseo and he also going to be one of her rivals in this race. Gai Waterhouse suprised everyone today with the annoncement that her star gelding, Theseo was going to run in this race. Theseo had prviously ran 1600m, 2000m and then up to 2400m for the BMW two weeks ago and is now having to drop back to 1600m, if any horse could do it it would be Theseo.

Brilliant Light won easily over his Doncaster Prelude rivals last weel, but that was a weak race but with good winning form expect Brilliant Light to be close once agian. Last years winner Vision and Power seems to be out of sorts at the moment compared to his fantastic form this time last year and Palacio De Cristal must be fancied also as she has been running well behind very good horses and is in good form without winning.

The main contenders though are from the Chris Waller stable, Rangirangdoo continues his quest for a Group 1 while stablemate Danleigh comes off a good win the Group 1 George Ryder Stakes.

Early Verdict: Peter Moody has a fantastic stable and Typhoon Tracy is the best of the lot, expect her to sit outside the front runners (most likely Theseo, if he runs) whilst getting her momentum up then unleashing at the top of the straight to take this one out, Typhoon Tracy to win.

Click here for Barriers and Weights.

Australian Oaks

The best fillies in the land are here for this race, with the one that is considered to be the best at the moment, Faint Perfume leading the betting at a short 2.30. Her arch-rival in Valdemoro runs with is up against Faint Perfume again after coming second to her in their previous Group 1 meetings in the VRC Oaks and the Vinery Stud. The two drew wide barriers with Valdemoro with the widest in 12 and Faint Perfume on her right in barrier 11.

Of the others Speedy Natalie had a fantastic run last week, easily winning from Status Quo and Spinnawitch, some decent runners in their own right. At a good price of 12/1 Once Were Wild should be forgiven for her first run at top level, her form before that was top notch winning by big margins. At a bigger price of 23.00 it might be worth noting Absolute Faith who ran third in the Vinery Stud.

Early Verdict*: Faint Perfume at equal weights might be hard to beat, but Speed Natalie at a generous price of 7.50 appeals more so than Faint Perfume. Maybe try Speedy Natalie each-way.

To view barrier and weights click here

The Galaxy

A full field of 14 runners is in place for this Group 1 sprint over 1100m. Favourite for this race at the moment is a good mare in Ortensia who is resuming back from a break after she went over to the west to contest the races over there in the summer, she will be carrying 56.5kg for this event.

Group 1 winners in Rostova, Gold Trail and Typhoon Zed will also be competing in this event. Victorian filly Rostova is going into this race after a superb outing in the Robert Sangster at Morphettville last month where she beat a handy field of 18. Gold Trail who came third in last year's edition of this race has since added a Group 1 to his resume, winning the Railway over at Ellerslie. Dual Group 1 winner Typhoon Zed continues his solid season here after a sixth placing in the Challenge Stakes and a third in the Sebring Stakes carrying a tough 60kg on his back.

But the main threat has to promising Victorian sprinter Definitely Ready who has been coasting around the Victorian metro tracks lately. With only 52kg and Glen Boss on his back expect this 3yo gelding to roll away in front and control the race from there and it must be noted that Billy Egan who rode him two weeks ago said he was only at 85% even against a handy field, that he made look second rate, expect Kavanagh to have this Definitely ready and firing for this race.

Others worth mentioning are Swift Aillance, De Lightning Ridge and Shellscrape.

Early Verdict*: With Ortensia, Swift Alliance, Gold Trail and Typhoon Zed carrying big weights it might be better going with a horse carrying light weights. De Lightning Ridge and Definitely Ready come to mind when talking about light weights with Defintely Ready taking preference over De Lightning Ridge, due to his superior speed and potential, I think we are ready to see something special.

To view barrier draw and weights click here

CorrectWeightRacing - Australian Racing - News and Tips


Tips For 'The Advisor' from CorrectWeightRacing
2pts win on Savarain - R3 Caulfield
1pt win on Above Average - R4 Randwick
1pt win on Off The Planet - R5 Caulfield
1pt EW on Status Symbol - R8 Caulfield

For full review and advised prices on races log in at CorrectWeightRacing
 
PREVIEW

Doncaster Mile
Star Melbourne mare Typhoon Tracy has drawn a wide barrier (14) in her bid to claim the Doncaster Mile. She is currently a clear cut favourite for the race at 3.00 with TAB Fixed Odds.

The field will be out to chase the Melbourne mare who is out to prove that she is the best horse out there and to lock in her Horse of the Year award. Her main rival for the award is Theseo and he also going to be one of her rivals in this race. Gai Waterhouse suprised everyone today with the annoncement that her star gelding, Theseo was going to run in this race. Theseo had prviously ran 1600m, 2000m and then up to 2400m for the BMW two weeks ago and is now having to drop back to 1600m, if any horse could do it it would be Theseo.

Brilliant Light won easily over his Doncaster Prelude rivals last weel, but that was a weak race but with good winning form expect Brilliant Light to be close once agian. Last years winner Vision and Power seems to be out of sorts at the moment compared to his fantastic form this time last year and Palacio De Cristal must be fancied also as she has been running well behind very good horses and is in good form without winning.

The main contenders though are from the Chris Waller stable, Rangirandoo continues his quest for a Group 1 while stablemate Danleigh comes off a good win the Group 1 George Ryder Stakes.

Early Verdict: Peter Moody has a fantastic stable and Typhoon Tracy is the best of the lot, expect her to sit outside the front runners (most likely Theseo, if he runs) whilst getting her momentum up then unleashing at the top of the straight to take this one out, Typhoon Tracy to win.

Click here for Barriers and Weights.

CorrectWeightRacing


Australian Oaks
Preview to come.


maybe its a bit a gut feeling or maybe i think Rangirangdoo is well weighted but i can just see rangi being in the box seat and TT may have to work from the barrier which may just show outin the last few metres of this race

as good as divine madonna was she couldnt beat haradasun and these two are a similar comparison although different types
 
maybe its a bit a gut feeling or maybe i think Rangirangdoo is well weighted but i can just see rangi being in the box seat and TT may have to work from the barrier which may just show outin the last few metres of this race

as good as divine madonna was she couldnt beat haradasun and these two are a similar comparison although different types

Divine Madonna and Typhoon Tracy similar :confused::confused::confused::confused:

Really?

One was the ultimate swooper, masive runs down the outside to win races.

The other loves to run on the pace and has no trouble leading or sitting one back.

Apart from the fact they are both mares i couldn't see any similarities between DM and TT
 

Log in to remove this ad.

Geez this looks tough to pick, will be a great race. A lot of the best chances have drawn poorly to make it even harder.

Can't have TT at $3.00, from barrier 14, carrying 56.5, against this field. I do hope she smashes them though.

Theseo? not from 17 and backing up from the BMW.

Rangi is drawn well, speed will suit, i'd be pretty certain it will run a place, want better than $5.50 though.

Danleigh - 57kg, from 15, nah

In short, I have no idea, this is a raffle.

I know he's not the horse he used to be but I'll be on Mentality E/W, getting $26 win at IAS currently. Will not know himself with 51.5kg and drawn well in 5.
 
Geez this looks tough to pick, will be a great race. A lot of the best chances have drawn poorly to make it even harder.

Can't have TT at $3.00, from barrier 14, carrying 56.5, against this field. I do hope she smashes them though.

Theseo? not from 17 and backing up from the BMW.

Rangi is drawn well, speed will suit, i'd be pretty certain it will run a place, want better than $5.50 though.

Danleigh - 57kg, from 15, nah

In short, I have no idea, this is a raffle.

I know he's not the horse he used to be but I'll be on Mentality E/W, getting $26 win at IAS currently. Will not know himself with 51.5kg and drawn well in 5.

Mentality had a pretty good race behind Brilliant Light in the Ajax group 2 over 1500m 2 weeks back with 52kg on his back.

Another thing is, I am probably just biased cause I love the TT but would not bet on this race lol.
 
maybe its a bit a gut feeling or maybe i think Rangirangdoo is well weighted but i can just see rangi being in the box seat and TT may have to work from the barrier which may just show outin the last few metres of this race

as good as divine madonna was she couldnt beat haradasun and these two are a similar comparison although different types

Rangirangdoo will always run 1600m its just the matter of finishing off his opponents the guy should have at least a group 1 by now.
 
Rangi is the ultimate choker....hate the horse. WHat do you guys think about Brilliant light at $18 surely it will come in from that...im going to back it, just want to get the best possible odds....

It was one of the most effortless wins I have seen in a very long time on the weeekend.....There is no way it was fully tested to the line..It just depends on hard they go up front and hoe TT carries the weight.

I'm fairly confident on this one, think Brilliant Light may be a potential superstar
 
I didnt mind Triple honours run in the Ryder, got squeezed a couple of times but still ran on ok... drops 7kgs on that run and should get into a good position from barrier 2. Currently $34 on Sportsbet and will have a few each way.

TT will be very hard to beat so will also do a quinella.
 
Had something on Snapy Halo when markets were released at $100+
His last 2 have been very encouraging,especially last week when he was pulling good ground off Brilliant Light.

Unsure if that form is good enough but as TT looks to have most of them covered,
was looking for the horse on the up & unexposed & Snapy is that with 51kg.

seth
 
Just a couple points of interest for me for the day

The Oaks - really hope Valdemoro can turn the tables on Faint Perfume , am a huge rap for Valdemoro but geee faint perfumes last run was outstanding , so safest bet would be to take the quinella

Doncaster - TT should be too good , even with the wide gate , expecting a good run from Black Piranha aswell

Aside from that , excited to see how Definitely Ready measures up against Ortensia, Shellscrape and Rostova , i think ill be sticking with Ortensia, Stryker as the value runner
 
Seriously,who does the TAB fixed odds prices?
$6 Ortensia in the Galaxy, in what universe will she start $6?

seth
 

(Log in to remove this ad.)

Seriously,who does the TAB fixed odds prices?
$6 Ortensia in the Galaxy, in what universe will she start $6?

seth

I was at work and saw she was $6, and thought **** me i gotta get a piece of that.

I got home chucked some money in my TAB account and she is now $4. :(


Also De Lightning Ridge fourth fave at $7.50. I mean a handy horse no doubt, but ahead of Rostova? I can't see that.
 
Oaks: Cant go past Faint Perfume. Beat Valdemoro in the Oaks last year and is a much better horse this time around. Nothing else is even worth Mentioning, those 2 will no doubt run the quinella.

Doncaster: A race in 2 imo. If Typhoon gets a soft run on the speed it will brain them, if there is a lot of pace on expect Danleigh to be flying home. I think the later, at $6, is the way to go as there are a lot of speedy horses.

Galaxy: Ortensia first up at $4 is a big risk imo. I loved the run of De Lightning ridge last start, Definately Ready goes alright. Don't think rostova is that good. The one that is a big danger in my opinion is a fresh Shellscrape. Really Hard race so i think ill have a bit on De Lightning Ridge and Shellscrape
 
Warming to Shellscrape in the Galaxy...unsure whether to take the fixed odds again, ended up getting on Brilliant Light at $18

Edit: Shellscrape @ $26, sounds good to me
 
Really think there's only 3 strong winning chances in the Doncaster - TT, Rangirangdoo and Palacio de Cristal. Concede small hopes to Mentality (best weighted horse but only if the track's dry), Danleigh (in great form but poor weight turnaround on Palacio, big weight and wide draw) & Theseo (not much pace and could dictate easily).

TT might blow them away, but I just have a nagging feeling this might be Rangi's day. Will be boxing a tri with the Palacio for 1st/2nd and field for 3rd - should go pretty close.

Already backed Typhoon Zed in the Galaxy - came up at the crazy odds of $41 with iasbet - proven as a class horse but perpetually underrated. Question marks on a few others IMO. Definitely Ready is clearly the unknown quantity - think Shellscrape will improve on his last couple also. Ortensia is very smart but will need to be with 56.5kg in Group 1 against the males.

Oaks will be a great race - small interest in a tri with the 2 faves and Absolute Faith & Once Were Wild.
 
Some interesting discussion here about weight.
Personally I take no notice of weight in sprint races,Ortensia looks poorly weighted but she is A grade & most of these arent.
Ridden cold she looks the winner IMO,assuming theres no bias.
Others here may have more info on how she's going?

However the more I look at Doncaster history,the more I think TT will have to be a super mare to win with that weight.
(very relevant over 1600m)
4yo's also have a dismal record in this race (2/ last 24)
Some very good ones couldnt win it including Sunline,Lonhro & Shaftesbury Avenue.
Racing needs her to keep winning so I hope she does but she's bottom odds.

seth
 
Some interesting discussion here about weight.
Personally I take no notice of weight in sprint races,Ortensia looks poorly weighted but she is A grade & most of these arent.
Ridden cold she looks the winner IMO,assuming theres no bias.
Others here may have more info on how she's going?

However the more I look at Doncaster history,the more I think TT will have to be a super mare to win with that weight.
(very relevant over 1600m)
4yo's also have a dismal record in this race (2/ last 24)
Some very good ones couldnt win it including Sunline,Lonhro & Shaftesbury Avenue.
Racing needs her to keep winning so I hope she does but she's bottom odds.

seth

Ortensia had a barrier trail at Warrick Farm last week and won by 3 Lengths, coming from last and has been training pretty solidly according to Noonan.
 
Devil May Care is amazing value @ $15 once again....Bet Solchow last start and its starting at $6.50....

The 1100 is a bit of a query as is barrier 10 but it could very well have the pace to burn this lot off....The common theme with the majority of these SA horses is once they step up in grade they fail, always back the honest Vic Galloper over the picket fence type SA runner who hasn't beaten much.....see how we go ;)

Edit: Sorry its running around at Morphetville
 
Some interesting discussion here about weight.
Personally I take no notice of weight in sprint races,Ortensia looks poorly weighted but she is A grade & most of these arent.
Ridden cold she looks the winner IMO,assuming theres no bias.
Others here may have more info on how she's going?

However the more I look at Doncaster history,the more I think TT will have to be a super mare to win with that weight.
(very relevant over 1600m)
4yo's also have a dismal record in this race (2/ last 24)
Some very good ones couldnt win it including Sunline,Lonhro & Shaftesbury Avenue.
Racing needs her to keep winning so I hope she does but she's bottom odds.

seth

Some good points there mate - but your research is a bit lacking - Sunline won the Doncaster twice in '99 & '02. She won with 58kg the second time.
 

Remove this Banner Ad

Doncaster Mile Day

Remove this Banner Ad

Back
Top