magpiemaniac44
Club Legend
- Aug 19, 2020
- 2,482
- 2,487
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
- Other Teams
- San Antonio, Melbourne Stars
The way it is now with Vic and SA coming out of lockdown, it gives them a chance to ease back crowd numbers going into finals, so in essence this lockdown was good timing. Any lock downs from now in any state and you'd think they won't host a final week 1 or 2.
Going by the current trend
Vic have 2 week lockdown + 2 weeks with no crowds + 2 weeks with 25k. So that timeline will be over once finals come around
WA have had no crowds in lockdown and have had 30k for about 2 weeks after that
We'll find out what the roadmap is for SA with crowds returning
But what we know is these timelines take at least a month to get substantial crowds back. So any state that has a lockdown from now on, you could rule them out for hosting early weeks of finals.
My guess for the GF threshold would be somewhere around 50k
Going by the current trend
Vic have 2 week lockdown + 2 weeks with no crowds + 2 weeks with 25k. So that timeline will be over once finals come around
WA have had no crowds in lockdown and have had 30k for about 2 weeks after that
We'll find out what the roadmap is for SA with crowds returning
But what we know is these timelines take at least a month to get substantial crowds back. So any state that has a lockdown from now on, you could rule them out for hosting early weeks of finals.
My guess for the GF threshold would be somewhere around 50k