Fremantle vs Melbourne

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Load up on Melbourne with the line I'd say.

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North's percentage is a fraction under 112.5 (exactly 9:8 ratio). This makes it easy, so Freo will go ahead of them if their for-vs-against gets to 9:8.

To remain eighth, Freo must stay below the following winning margins:
9 if Melbourne scores 46-53
10 if Melb 54-61
11 if Melb 62-69
12 if Melb 70-77
13 if Melb 78-85
14 if Melb 86-93
15 if Melb 94-101
etc
 

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The whole percentage scenario is irrelevant if Essendon beat Collingwood.

I disagree. Colllingwood losing three on the trot, versus Geelong winning three against decent opposition?

With the location unchangeable, I'd be trying to play the Pies (at 5th) instead of the Cats (at 6th), just quietly...

Disregard. With a loss, Collingwood would go to 6th.
 

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Fremantle vs Melbourne

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