Werewolf Gralin's because somebody had to WereWolf - Mafia Wins!

[MP_]

It is 4 and 6 eth. I’m concerned that you have been compromised. I’m also scratching my head wondering how MP is still alive

I’m pretty sure I was protected on n2 , I did ask jmoo too and he responded but he may also have just bluffed it. There’s no way you would leave the protection so late in the game. Eth is saying he still has it when in fact the mother will protect him overnight . Village is in big trouble.

My seers as village so far are mbr, Kurve, wiz and mcbg

 

[thewizardmelon]

Surely we speed up today, knock this off before the weekend?

 

[eth-dog]

I’m pretty sure I was protected on n2 , I did ask jmoo too and he responded but he may also have just bluffed it. There’s no way you would leave the protection so late in the game. Eth is saying he still has it when in fact the mother will protect him overnight . Village is in big trouble.

My seers as village so far are mbr, Kurve, wiz and mcbg

Why would the Mother protect me tonight when I'm not in her faction?

We didn't protect you that night. I used my protection tonight. I'm going to use my kill after the accelerated day phase.

 

[MP_]

Why would the Mother protect me tonight when I'm not in her faction?

We didn't protect you that night. I used my protection tonight. I'm going to use my kill after the accelerated day phase.

I can no longer trust you

 

[eth-dog]

I can no longer trust you

Trust me. N2 we were trying to bluff the evil factions. I guarantee you that I'm dead after the next night phase.

 

[Gralin]

DEADLINE

 

[Gralin]

Night Five
With over half the village dead already you'd think maybe people would calm TF down, but no

MP_ (Seer) killed by the mafia and the wolves
TheGoatBaron (Manipulator) killed by the Flogs

It is now Day

We can't really speed this up today without Ding being around so our best chance is a Friday night flurry if people are around

 

[MP_]

Finally dead pm pls Gralin

 

[Dingster]

I will check in between 12:30-1:00 if that helps

Nice shooting flogs

 

[Gralin]

I will check in between 12:30-1:00 if that helps

Nice shooting flogs

it would yes

 

[eth-dog]

I will check in between 12:30-1:00 if that helps

Nice shooting flogs

Thank you.

And thanks for missing on me too bub.

 

[Dingster]

Thank you.

And thanks for missing on me too bub.

I've claimed villager from the beginning and voted accordingly. I will flip villager.

 

[eth-dog]

8 left

1 Godfather
1 Mother
1 convert
1 flog
4 villagers

I've claimed villager from the beginning and voted accordingly. I will flip villager.

Eh, it just felt like Goat was getting coached and of those left I think you're the best player and the most likely to be coaching him.

 

[thewizardmelon]

Night Five
With over half the village dead already you'd think maybe people would calm TF down, but no

MP_ (Seer) killed by the mafia and the wolves
TheGoatBaron (Manipulator) killed by the Flogs

It is now Day

We can't really speed this up today without Ding being around so our best chance is a Friday night flurry if people are around

I play football Friday nights so I’m not really around (not that I have anything to do but vote)

 

[thewizardmelon]

Flogs have now used all their actions, and if I was a wolf/Pam, recruiting someone who had actions makes a lot of sense.

Don’t see how it’s any worse than lynching one of the remaining ‘villagers’

Eth-dog for now please Gralin

 

[DERO]

Eth dog thanks

Gralin

 

[eth-dog]

Okay village, essentially if we hit any of the three evil this day phase, we win.

Flogs have now used all their actions, and if I was a wolf/Pam, recruiting someone who had actions makes a lot of sense.

Don’t see how it’s any worse than lynching one of the remaining ‘villagers’

Eth-dog for now please Gralin

Interesting... Then why wouldn't they have recruited jmoo after D1 given he wanted to use all the actions and I was the wet blanket?

 

[DERO]

Flogs have now used all their actions, and if I was a wolf/Pam, recruiting someone who had actions makes a lot of sense.

Don’t see how it’s any worse than lynching one of the remaining ‘villagers’

Eth-dog for now please Gralin

As does the killing of strong and last nights kill. Look, we may be wrong and some big assumptions have been made but I’m happy to run it up the flagpole to see.

 

[eth-dog]

Ding thanks Gralin

I think he's most likely of who's left to be evil. I've had my evil radar on point.

Don't vote me. All of your arguments about me being converted don't make sense when jmoo was outed first, and the only night they'd know I was a flog was the night they killed jmoo. They were teasing Strig about knowing her role for two days before killing her if you look back. They clearly seered her before your argument day I was "converted".

If they wanted a flog, why would they choose me over the one that was open from D1 and the one that they seered?

 

[DERO]

Ding thanks Gralin

I think he's most likely of who's left to be evil. I've had my evil radar on point.

Don't vote me. All of your arguments about me being converted don't make sense when jmoo was outed first, and the only night they'd know I was a flog was the night they killed jmoo. They were teasing Strig about knowing her role for two days before killing her if you look back. They clearly seered her before your argument day I was "converted".

If they wanted a flog, why would they choose me over the one that was open from D1 and the one that they seered?

What about last nights kill eth. Would agree that it lines up nicely?

 

[DERO]

Also, Gralin i’m hopping on a plane at 9:00 am so will be unable to contribute of by some small miracle I am still alive.

 

[MC Bad Genius]

OK, so unless someone can find a fault in my logic, we now know all the roles as there isn't room in the Mafia for a Roleblocker, the last remaining Wolf (not including a potential recruit) is the Mama Wolf, which explains why Zerg's kill on DemurePrincess failed.

Faction	Role	Player
Mafia	Godfather
	Intimidator	HARPSichord
	Manipulator	TheGoatBaron
	Goon	Sante
Werewolves	Alpha Wolf	Pamcake1
	Mama Wolf
	Rabid Wolf	DemurePrinces
	Wolf	Footypie32
Neutral	Serial Killer	Cadsky
	Doppelganger	Grand Uncle Horace
Good	Seer	MP_
	Doctor	Nothing
	Vigilante	ZergMinion
	Mayor	Ocha905
	Flog	jmoo wan
	Flog	Strigoi
	Flog	eth-dog
	Villager	myblueroan
	Villager	CursingFijian
	Villager	BEaston
	Villager	King Tenz
	Villager	Wosh
	Villager
	Villager
	Villager
	Villager
	Villager

So of our remaining players, we've got:

eth-dog - Flog
thewizardmelon - seered as Villager
MC Bad Genius - seered as Villager
DERO -
Kurve - seered as Villager
Dingster -
BFew -
dogs105 -

From that, we know that one of DERO, Ding, BFew and dogs105 are the Mama Wolf. I know that technically the Mafia could take them out at night (if they aren't self-protecting), but it makes sense to me to try and lynch the Mama Wolf today for 3 reasons:

1/ It takes away their protection, which can be super important.
2/ It will reveal whether or not anyone was recruited by the Rabid Wolf (presuming that Gralin will announce when a faction has been eliminated).
3/ If no-one HAS been recruited, it takes a Nightly kill off the table.

Of course, point 3 is a little moot, because it would be the same if we manage to lynch the Godfather today.

 

[thewizardmelon]

Okay village, essentially if we hit any of the three evil this day phase, we win.

Interesting... Then why wouldn't they have recruited jmoo after D1 given he wanted to use all the actions and I was the wet blanket?

They could have, but he died not recruited, didn’t he? He and MP I thought were more likely than you, I did say that yesterday. You’re just the only one left with good powers, and the Strig kill and Mafia kill both seem to line up a bit. Just my best educated guess, I figure if we’re wrong, it’s the same as us just missing and hitting a villager.

 

[dogs105]

eth-dog is very, very suss now.

I kind of trust DERO. MCBG, Ding or Bfew my tips for big evil.

I'll vote for eth-dog for now though, as I can't distinguish between the other 3. Thanks Gralin

 

[thewizardmelon]

OK, so unless someone can find a fault in my logic, we now know all the roles as there isn't room in the Mafia for a Roleblocker, the last remaining Wolf (not including a potential recruit) is the Mama Wolf, which explains why Zerg's kill on DemurePrincess failed.

Faction	Role	Player
Mafia	Godfather
	Intimidator	HARPSichord
	Manipulator	TheGoatBaron
	Goon	Sante
Werewolves	Alpha Wolf	Pamcake1
	Mama Wolf
	Rabid Wolf	DemurePrinces
	Wolf	Footypie32
Neutral	Serial Killer	Cadsky
	Doppelganger	Grand Uncle Horace
Good	Seer	MP_
	Doctor	Nothing
	Vigilante	ZergMinion
	Mayor	Ocha905
	Flog	jmoo wan
	Flog	Strigoi
	Flog	eth-dog
	Villager	myblueroan
	Villager	CursingFijian
	Villager	BEaston
	Villager	King Tenz
	Villager	Wosh
	Villager
	Villager
	Villager
	Villager
	Villager

So of our remaining players, we've got:

eth-dog - Flog
thewizardmelon - seered as Villager
MC Bad Genius - seered as Villager
DERO -
Kurve - seered as Villager
Dingster -
BFew -
dogs105 -

From that, we know that one of DERO, Ding, BFew and dogs105 are the Mama Wolf. I know that technically the Mafia could take them out at night (if they aren't self-protecting), but it makes sense to me to try and lynch the Mama Wolf today for 3 reasons:

1/ It takes away their protection, which can be super important.
2/ It will reveal whether or not anyone was recruited by the Rabid Wolf (presuming that Gralin will announce when a faction has been eliminated).
3/ If no-one HAS been recruited, it takes a Nightly kill off the table.

Of course, point 3 is a little moot, because it would be the same if we manage to lynch the Godfather today.

The no protection is actually maybe the strongest point. If Eth was recruited and mother self protected, that makes the numbers very dicey.

DERO has been active-ish but the other 3 basically invisible. If you exclude DERO (least likely) then we’re a 2 in 3 shot at hitting night immune, right?