ThePeanutGallery
Debutant
- Sep 26, 2012
- 123
- 65
- AFL Club
- Fremantle
This is what sent you broke first time.No it doesn't.
That's too far dude. Lines are only very rarely that wrong. A 15-16 point difference vs the spread implies a win % going into mid 60's% in AFL. Either increase your Kelly fraction or re-work your model.
Lines are off by a fair margin alot more than 'rarely'.