Leaping Lenny's Lucky Leans

[iluvparis]

Haha he's failing pretty hard this year.

This year?

 

[Lensen]

went 3-3 but the 2u bet won so yay

updated

MGS: 1-7 (+1.05)
Line: 17-15 (+0.79)
H2H: 2-5 (-1.62)
HT: 0-1 (-1)
Misc: 0-1 (-.25)
Totals: 0-1 (-.5)

Total: 20-30 (-1.53)

1-3 for -2.08

MGS: 1-7 (+1.05)
Line: 18-18 (-1.29)
H2H: 2-5 (-1.62)
HT: 0-1 (-1)
Misc: 0-1 (-.25)
Totals: 0-1 (-.5)

Total: 21-33 (-3.61)

 

[Lensen]

1u Adelaide +14.5 @ $1.92
1u Brisbane +46.5 @ $1.97
1u Fremantle +3.5 @ $1.97
0.5u St Kilda +26.5 @ $2

 

[Lensen]

1u Adelaide/Collingwood u176.5 @ $1.90

 

[Thedeftouch]

Brisbane now getting a 51 pt head start. My analysis: too many points

 

[d3ft]

Brisbane now getting a 51 pt head start. My analysis: too many points

Far out that is way too many. What did they open at?

 

[Lensen]

1u Adelaide +14.5 @ $1.92
1u Brisbane +46.5 @ $1.97
1u Fremantle +3.5 @ $1.97
0.5u St Kilda +26.5 @ $2
1u Adelaide/Collingwood u176.5 @ $1.90

3-2 for +1.29

MGS: 1-7 (+1.05)
Line: 20-20 (-.9)
H2H: 2-5 (-1.62)
HT: 0-1 (-1)
Misc: 0-1 (-.25)
Totals: 1-1 (+.4)

Total: 24-35 (-2.32)

 

[Lensen]

2u Richmond -22.5 @ $1.91
1.5u West Coast +23.5 @ $1.957
1.5u Hawthorn +16.5 @ $1.91
1u Hawthorn +15.5 @ $1.976
1u Wst Bulldogs +27.5 @ $1.975

 

[The GOAT]

Hmmm, I thought you would like North. What line did your model spit out?

 

[Lensen]

Hmmm, I thought you would like North. What line did your model spit out?

Geelong by 19

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

Geelong by 19

Lenny, id like to buy your model

 

[Lensen]

Lenny, id like to buy your model

View attachment 58266

i want a >10 point difference to bet the line too, so it's annoying the geelong line didn't dip below -9.5

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

i want a >10 point difference to bet the line too, so it's annoying the geelong line didn't dip below -9.5

Perhaps your model is actually for predicting the correct margin on the 2 point spread?

 

[ricardogp]

Geelong by 19

Better than my model. Said Geelong by 50...

Sent from my HTC One S using Tapatalk

 

[Nothing]

Geelong by 19

Lenny, id like to buy your model

View attachment 58266

Model gets it right and still doesn't make any money... only Lenny could do that.






(I backed NM)

 

[Lensen]

2u Richmond -22.5 @ $1.91
1.5u West Coast +23.5 @ $1.957
1.5u Hawthorn +16.5 @ $1.91
1u Hawthorn +15.5 @ $1.976
1u Wst Bulldogs +27.5 @ $1.975

3-1 for +4.5965

MGS: 1-7 (+1.05)
Line: 23-21 (+3.6965)
H2H: 2-5 (-1.62)
HT: 0-1 (-1)
Misc: 0-1 (-.25)
Totals: 1-1 (+.4)

Total: 27-36 (+2.2765)

 

[Lensen]

1u St Kilda +45.5 @ $1.972
1u Wst Bulldogs +34.5 @ $1.972
1u North Melb +10.5 @ $1.90

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

1u St Kilda +45.5 @ $1.972
1u Wst Bulldogs +34.5 @ $1.972
1u North Melb +10.5 @ $1.90

Like North as well Lenny, with the 10 point diff you need to be surely you having a lil sutmhin on h2h as well i take it?

 

[Lensen]

Eh maybe

 

[Lensen]

1u Geelong +17.5 @ $1.961

 

[KardiniaPark]

1u Geelong +17.5 @ $1.961

Nearly.

 

[Lensen]

Nearly.

Why don't you ever make fun of my super rugby bets



Oic

 

[Lensen]

I'm more surprised there hasn't been a "lol you didn't back gws +" to be honest

 

[Lensen]

1u St Kilda +45.5 @ $1.972
1u Wst Bulldogs +34.5 @ $1.972
1u North Melb +10.5 @ $1.90
1u Geelong +17.5 @ $1.961

1-3 -2.1u
Overall
MGS: 1-7 (+1.05)
Line: 24-24 (+1.5965)
H2H: 2-5 (-1.62)
HT: 0-1 (-1)
Misc: 0-1 (-.25)
Totals: 1-1 (+.4)

Total: 27-36 (+0.1765)

1u Carlton +31.5 @ $1.97
1u West Coast +32.5 @ $1.91
0.5u St Kilda +60.5 @ $1.914
1u Gold Coast +26.5 @ $1.967
1u Adelaide +29.5 @ $1.97
1u Collingwood -28.5 @ $1.90

 

[Lensen]

I think this line is way too low

1u Western Bulldogs v Brisbane Total Match Points OVER 173.5 @ $1.90