- May 5, 2011
- 2,143
- 2,133
- AFL Club
- Brisbane Lions
Yeah I will stop. Apologies to Lenny.
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AFLW 2024 - Round 8 - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
Leaping Lenny's Lucky Leans
- Thread starter Lensen
- Start date
- Tagged users None
Yeah I will stop. Apologies to Lenny.
asanque
Premium Platinum
So you spent countless hours working on a system that gets you $15k and restricted on all Aussie books?
Typically, getting restricted on one market, means restrictions on all others (dependent on the bookie).
This means you have to start countless new accounts which will also get restricted (new IP addresses, new bank accounts).
Which gets back to the original point of whether your strategy is in any way viable in the long-term (assuming best case scenario that you are constantly winning).
It's not 'countless hours working on a system' ffs. It's steam chasing: generate an xml feed from continuously scraping overseas lines, figure out what moves at certain books will radiate to others, and get on board before line managers here move their line. Was pretty easy.
I did this at Sportsbet, Sportingbet and Centrebet, the TAB and the WA TAB. The other books probably subscribed to Don Best and moved automatically before I could act.
Sportsbet restricted me on all other markets, Sportingbet restricted me on just NCABB, Centrebet restricted me on all sports until I called them up, acted like I didn't know why they would possibly do that, and they isolated the ban to NCABB. The TAB's never did anything, but they offered only a limited amount of games, and I hit them only infrequently as the vig had their lines set to $1.87.
Situation A.
Why would I bet < x, which only in turn gives the books cheaper information, only to have them move the line closer to my own numbers before I secured the amount that I wanted?
asanque
Premium Platinum
The point is that if you start to even look like making reasonable amounts of money off a bookie, then they restrict your account.
That's the toughest impediment to long-term success.
However, you've already said you can easily overcome this issue, so that would be the last barrier.
If worse comes to worst, I'll take or seed action on both ML's and spreads on Betfair and Matchbook.
ThePeanutGallery
Debutant
- Sep 26, 2012
- 123
- 65
- AFL Club
- Fremantle
ThePeanutGallery
Debutant
- Sep 26, 2012
- 123
- 65
- AFL Club
- Fremantle
Brett, your stories are getting the best of you.
I think you need to update your modelling to iron out the discrepencies in your stories.
Why!!
Why would I?!!??!
He gave me a scenario in a vacuum you ****. If I had popped LuxBet at the $2.5K I wanted, they would have given me $250 and moved the line a full point.
Brett, your stories are getting the best of you.
I think you need to update your modelling to iron out the discrepencies in your stories.
I never said anything about my 2013 record having any sufficient sample power.
This is coming from the same bloke that tried to show me he was the Don of Hong Kong racing as he had a winning record over 8 posted bets.
- Thread starter
- #263
that's still pretty good. i get $5 on $100-200 bets now
You lost 86% of your bankroll, then admit you got it wrong and now you are proclaiming you are back breaking the books. For ****s sake not even Lenny29 lost that much of his bank and he is some kind of mental deficient.
- Thread starter
- #265
that's not very nice
- Thread starter
- #267
i don't want to be aloneOh...Hi Lenny, fancy seeing you here
- Thread starter
- #268
this is entirely numbers based and based around form, let's see how this goes
the official "why the **** not" lenny29 attempt to turn $1000 into $2000 challenge:
week 1: bank $1000
$68 Collingwood @ $1.667
$89 Geelong @ ~$1.18 - Betfair profit to be $16.10
$17 GWS @ ~$25.23 - Betfair profit to be $412.01
$77 Carlton @ $1.488
$8 Gold Coast @ $24.80
26% of bankroll wagered in week 1. what can possibly go wrong
the official "why the **** not" lenny29 attempt to turn $1000 into $2000 challenge:
week 1: bank $1000
$68 Collingwood @ $1.667
$89 Geelong @ ~$1.18 - Betfair profit to be $16.10
$17 GWS @ ~$25.23 - Betfair profit to be $412.01
$77 Carlton @ $1.488
$8 Gold Coast @ $24.80
26% of bankroll wagered in week 1. what can possibly go wrong
- Thread starter
- #270
you used to be funnier when you posted actual jokes and not tired bay 13 memes
Kynge of Begrem
Norm Smith Medallist
WTF hapenned here????
Kynge of Begrem
Norm Smith Medallist
- Thread starter
- #273
to summarise:
- i went on a losing streak that lost me ~15% of my bankroll
- i did not handle this particularly well because my bankroll has ballooned in size in the last few years and the $$$ amounts are bigger than i'm comfortable with
- i ceased betting for a week with the thought that i'd move to a smaller starting roll and try to double it, which i'm now doing
- brett got involved somehow and we played the brett128 game v2.0 which was a lot similar to v1.0
- KP is a big meanhead
Kynge of Begrem
Norm Smith Medallist
I did notice that when you click on the image, at the bottom it has over 61,000 facebook 'likes'. Now I know that a lot of people are very interested in the gambling fortunes of Lenny29, but...
