I disagree Rough.
Melbourne a very close to having their whole world cave in...
They are heamorraging shots at goal against them, whilst cobbling together only 18 - 20 very accurate shots on goal themselves. If their accuracy slips to the 1 behind for every goal ratio, then 10.10.66 will not be a winning score when you let your opponent have 30 shots at the other end...
rd Opp For Agst
1 Roos 10.7 15.11
2 Coll 10.4 17.15
3 Port 14.6 22.15
6 Cats 10.8 15.21
7 WCE 13.4 12.18
8 Dogs 15.7 15.14
They have some smashings heading their way this year, I'm just not sure if we have the form to give them one.
And one last thing, a team can only give so many honourable performances before they drop their bundle, especially a young team.
Interesting stats, but like all stats they are only past performances and mean absolutely nothing next week, its only an indication of how Melbourne have played. Last years gf is a good example, how many shots on goal did Geelong have compared to us? does that mean we should have been flogged and were not worthy premiers? Those scorelines only tell part of the story, if you have a good tight defence you can be forcing shots on goal to difficult pockets or spoiling the ball through.
How Melbourne play next week is dependant on how well we allow them to play and how much scorboard pressure we can put on them. We couldnt nail the bombers in the first quarter a few weeks back, when they were looking really shaky. Instead we fed their confidence by not converting opportunities and allowing them to dictate play for the remainder of the game, they just ran away with the it playing their attack at all costs style from there on.
As one of many that predicted a big win over the Bombers after watching both teams play the previous week i can see this game looming as a real danger. I'm sure AC is preparing the troops for this right now, if we drop this one then a top four finish is going to be very unlikely.