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AFLW 2024 - Round 7 - Pride Round - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
Mathematical Chances
- Thread starter ThePope
- Start date
- Tagged users None
Collingwood is still a mathematical chance to grab a priority pick, but with easy wins coming up against Brisbane, Footscray Essendon and Carlton (amongst others) I'm afraid we've left our run too late.
- Thread starter
- #30
It didn't happen in the 5000 iterations I ran, but with a bit of fudging (Hawks win every game by 10 goals, Syd don't win another game, Freo only wins 1 more) I got the Hawks in the eight, on 9 wins ahead of 4 other teams on 9 by %!
Might have to add the chances of getting a Priority Pick to my next run!
- Oct 17, 2003
- 10,792
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- Other Teams
- Banned
- #31
didn't you see my thread? the hawks can still finish 7th.
Who is Ted Pellitts ??
medozaaaaaaaaaa
Debutant
Re: Post Rd 15 Update
Team 1-2 3-4 5-6 7-8 >=9 PP Wooden Spoon
St K 52% 32% 12% 3% 1% 0% 0%
Bris 47% 34% 14% 4% 0% 0% 0%
Port 47% 35% 14% 4% 0% 0% 0%
Melb 39% 38% 18% 5% 1% 0% 0%
Geel 5% 19% 33% 27% 15% 0% 0%
Freo 1% 7% 23% 33% 36% 0% 0%
Sydn 3% 13% 29% 32% 24% 0% 0%
Essd 3% 13% 29% 32% 23% 0% 0%
Kang 2% 8% 23% 35% 32% 0% 0%
WCst 0% 1% 5% 15% 80% 0% 0%
Carl 0% 0% 0% 5% 95% 0% 1%
Adel 0% 0% 1% 4% 96% 1% 1%
Coll 0% 0% 0% 2% 97% 1% 2%
WBdg 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 6% 8%
Rich 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 7% 16%
Hawk 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 54% 73%[/code]
Edit... found error in % and Wooden Spoon calcs ... Saints chances of staying top 2 drop substantially.
Added chances of getting a Priority Pick column as well. [/B][/QUOTE]
so typically St Kilda.
they have the greatest chance of all teams to finish in the top two, but are also a chance to drop out of the eight.
this thing is great !
Team 1-2 3-4 5-6 7-8 >=9 PP Wooden Spoon
St K 52% 32% 12% 3% 1% 0% 0%
Bris 47% 34% 14% 4% 0% 0% 0%
Port 47% 35% 14% 4% 0% 0% 0%
Melb 39% 38% 18% 5% 1% 0% 0%
Geel 5% 19% 33% 27% 15% 0% 0%
Freo 1% 7% 23% 33% 36% 0% 0%
Sydn 3% 13% 29% 32% 24% 0% 0%
Essd 3% 13% 29% 32% 23% 0% 0%
Kang 2% 8% 23% 35% 32% 0% 0%
WCst 0% 1% 5% 15% 80% 0% 0%
Carl 0% 0% 0% 5% 95% 0% 1%
Adel 0% 0% 1% 4% 96% 1% 1%
Coll 0% 0% 0% 2% 97% 1% 2%
WBdg 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 6% 8%
Rich 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 7% 16%
Hawk 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 54% 73%[/code]
Edit... found error in % and Wooden Spoon calcs ... Saints chances of staying top 2 drop substantially.
Added chances of getting a Priority Pick column as well. [/B][/QUOTE]
so typically St Kilda.
they have the greatest chance of all teams to finish in the top two, but are also a chance to drop out of the eight.
this thing is great !
Nice work - why didn't you mention in your profile that you are a amthematics Professor!!??
Yianni
Norm Smith Medallist
"I'm a head teacher of mathematics"
Where?!
What School?!
What's your name?!
"there's noone pushing you...you can go at your own pace"
"You can go at your own pace?!?" Did the marketing man tell you to say that little girl?
"I caught up with the rest of the class in a week"
How far behind were you?!
"Did someone say "house" and "lose"?!? Hi, I'm Jacques from Zenium mortgages, the baaa credit EXPERTS!"
I love Jacques. A leech feeding off human suffering. You know you're in dire straits when you realise "if Zenium can't help you, NOONE CAN!"
I too have tried all the permutations and combinations.
And for the 4th year in a row, they say the flag is heading to....
Brisbane.
4 in a row for the Lions.
Or as Acker says, this year the Lions get some 4 play
And for the 4th year in a row, they say the flag is heading to....
Brisbane.
4 in a row for the Lions.
Or as Acker says, this year the Lions get some 4 play
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