Nbl 2010/2011

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I think Sydney will be competitive tonight and will come out fast and energetic. They haven't played for two weeks whereas this will be Townsville's 3rd game in 8 days.

Too hard to tell how the total game score will go tonight so will leave that but I'm on Sydney first quarter and at the line, +6.5.
 

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Goddamnit! I had 10 units on the Unders at 158.5

That first Qtr really hurt.

Yeah, I feel for you.

Looks like teams are now being consistent in the first quarter/halves and shoot the lights out. With the totals these low, if they do that, the under could be shot. Basically if you're on an under and the first half stays below 80 points, your game under will get up. It all boils down to the first quarter and second quarter scoring when they're in the 150's.
 
Getting on this now.

9 units Adelaide v Wollongong - Under 162.5 @ $1.90 (Bet365)

3 units Adelaide v Wollongong - First half over 79.5 @ $1.90 (Sportingbet)

Basically Adelaide in their two games have put up 74. Wollongong has put up 70, 83 and 83. Wollongong had a tough game in Perth on Friday night. They are backing up in Adelaide. I can't see Adelaide scoring more than 80 and that means if they keep Wollongong to around 70, it will stay under. Logic says under here. Taken the first half over in case they come out of the blocks fast.
 
No money coming in for Under 160.5 points for Adelaide V Wollongong. All the money coming in for over 160.5 points at BF.

Total matched on this event: $2,265 Betting summary - Volume: $2,265

Actually if you look at the 4 games in this round so far, they have been relatively high scoring:

84-79= 163 points
87-84= 171 points
92-81= 173 points
80-79= 159 points

My money is on the overs as well, being a tv game, the players will want it to be an attractive high scoring brand of basketball.
 
No money coming in for Under 160.5 points for Adelaide V Wollongong. All the money coming in for over 160.5 points at BF.

Total matched on this event: $2,265 Betting summary - Volume: $2,265

Actually if you look at the 4 games in this round so far, they have been relatively high scoring:

84-79= 163 points
87-84= 171 points
92-81= 173 points
80-79= 159 points

My money is on the overs as well, being a tv game, the players will want it to be an attractive high scoring brand of basketball.

Good luck.

Can I add one more thing? What you didn't take into account was that all games started off with an insane first or second quarter. Every game bar one in the second half was very low scoring.

Your over wins if they score 50 points in the first or second quarter. If they don't, then it flies under.
 
Good luck.

Can I add one more thing? What you didn't take into account was that all games started off with an insane first or second quarter. Every game bar one in the second half was very low scoring.

Your over wins if they score 50 points in the first or second quarter. If they don't, then it flies under.

and if its a huge first quarter/half then its an easy live unders bet we can take anyway.
 

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Bet of the day seems;

1st half over 80.5 @ 1.90 (Hawks vs 36ers)

Seems that as Sas points out, most 1st halves are high scoring, and with the full game under/over line set over 160, you would think the 1st half would go over 80.5, even though it's a little higher then usual.
 
Adelaide v Wollongong - under 161.5

The Gong backing up this round, Adelaide struggling to score, add the lull of a Sunday afternoon game, and I think the under gets up.
 
A 55 point quarter will help the first half over. I reckon this second quarter will struggle to reach 40. Makes it 95. Total 162.5, under is still highly possible here.

No way do these guys keep up this shooting efficiency.
 
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