NBL 2017/18

[chrisdon16]

Couldn't find a NBL thread for the new season. All NBL bets here. I'll be continuing totals from last season (49W25L) hopefully pick a few winners.

 

[benno_]

JP Tokoto paying $2.75 for 15+ points at WillHill is good value, $1.83 at SB. Even him to get 20+ @7.25 could be worth a nibble too.

 

[targett]

Couldn't find a NBL thread for the new season. All NBL bets here. I'll be continuing totals from last season (49W25L) hopefully pick a few winners.

How did you fare with AFL Totals

 

[Rocky Straight]

How did you fare with AFL Totals

found a way to lose betting on monday numbers. how?

 

[chrisdon16]

How did you fare with AFL Totals

Not good. 81/78. Tough season

 

[chrisdon16]

JP Tokoto paying $2.75 for 15+ points at WillHill is good value, $1.83 at SB. Even him to get 20+ @7.25 could be worth a nibble too.

16 points. Good find

 

[targett]

JP Tokoto paying $2.75 for 15+ points at WillHill is good value, $1.83 at SB. Even him to get 20+ @7.25 could be worth a nibble too.

Thanks benno

 

[targett]

Off topic but since we will be using this thread for a while.
PalmerBet Boost Wallabies 13+ $3.50
Argentina +12.5 B365 $1.50
5%

 

[benno_]

having a nibble on Cotton 30+ @5 with a bonus bet with WillHill. Grand Final rematch tonight and he dominated last years finals including a 45 point outing in game 3. I think the Hawks will focus on him but their guards struggle to contain him. The 30+ might be slightly high, but yeah just having a bonus on it for a bit of fun with the odds.

 

[Macpotata]

haven't looked at the odds yet but first thought is I like Melbourne United to beat Perth in Perth this Friday.

 

[benno_]

Sobey over 13.5 points @1.87 with bet365. Lines around 17.5-18.5 elsewhere and some have him around $1.40 for 15+. Gone under in his last few after shooting a poor percentage, but at home against the Kings who can be terrible defensively, I'd expect him to bounce back and 13.5 looks great value.

 

[benno_]

Sobey over 13.5 points @1.87 with bet365. Lines around 17.5-18.5 elsewhere and some have him around $1.40 for 15+. Gone under in his last few after shooting a poor percentage, but at home against the Kings who can be terrible defensively, I'd expect him to bounce back and 13.5 looks great value.

15 half way through the 2nd quarter, he's on fire

EDIT: 20 at half time.

Said Sydney are terrible defensively, and they just conceded the most points ever in a first half (in the NBL 40min era) lol

 

[sledbomber]

15 half way through the 2nd quarter, he's on fire

Keep up the good work mate! Great find

 

[chrisdon16]

NBL very quiet this season. No one having a punt?

 

[chrisdon16]

Round 6

Perth v Sydney - O170.5 (SB/365)

 

[benno_]

Tokoto over 15.5 points @1.87 with ladbrokes. Lines around 17.5-18.5 elsewhere and 15+ is $1.45 with willhill. Settled into the league now and starting to dominate at times. 17 and 23 his last 2 games.

Also don't mind Brandt 15+ @2.25 with Willhill. One of the inform big men in the league and Sydney lack size and are terrible defensively. Quick glance at the stats and opposition big men have been scoring well against them.

 

[benno_]

Like Brandt over 5.5 @1.87 rebounds with Crown too (Tokoto wouldn't be a bad option as well for these same rebound bets). Sydney can't rebound for ****. Been losing the rebound count by 10-20 some games.

Brandt 8+ @4 and 10+ @8 could be worth a nibble as well. Last few weeks some players rebounds against Sydney: NZ - Vukona 12 & Pledger 7, Adelaide -Johnson 8, Hawks - Conger 11 & Ogilvy 10.

 

[sledbomber]

Like Brandt over 5.5 @1.87 rebounds with Crown too (Tokoto wouldn't be a bad option as well for these same rebound bets). Sydney can't rebound for ****. Been losing the rebound count by 10-20 some games.

Brandt 8+ @4 and 10+ @8 could be worth a nibble as well. Last few weeks some players rebounds against Sydney: NZ - Vukona 12 & Pledger 7, Adelaide -Johnson 8, Hawks - Conger 11 & Ogilvy 10.

Thanks! I followed you on all the Brandt ones.

 

[sledbomber]

10 rebounds for Brandt already. Nice one benno_

 

[chrisdon16]

Melbourne v Adelaide - U183.5 (SB, Crown, Pinnacle)

 

[chrisdon16]

Cairns v NZ - O158.5 (365)

 

[X_box_X]

Prather, Goulding, Ware under 57 pts w Pointsbet

In four games this year, this trio has combined for the following:

62, 48, 33, 41

 

[benno_]

10 rebounds for Brandt already. Nice one benno_

bit annoying they started to rest starters in the end, Tokoto only played around 25min (and fell 0.5 points short of his line ). Brandt only 20min too.

Points/rebounds for certain players against Sydney looks like it could be a decent trend to follow. I did consider Cooke/Walkers overs as well and they covered their lines, I think Brandt was the only Wildcats big that didn't cover his line lol

 

[X_box_X]

Prather, Goulding, Ware under 57 pts w Pointsbet

In four games this year, this trio has combined for the following:

62, 48, 33, 41

57 exactly.

Break even. Not bad considering Melbourne scored a lot higher than what their game line was.

 

[sledbomber]

bit annoying they started to rest starters in the end, Tokoto only played around 25min (and fell 0.5 points short of his line ). Brandt only 20min too.

Points/rebounds for certain players against Sydney looks like it could be a decent trend to follow. I did consider Cooke/Walkers overs as well and they covered their lines, I think Brandt was the only Wildcats big that didn't cover his line lol

Yeah it kills me in the NBA on player performance markets where there is a blowout and players will sometimes not play at all in the last. Anyway overall worked out really well for me here with Brandt. I have no idea about NBL as I haven't followed it since I was a kid. Basically just following your tips blindly as I trust you, based on your work in the weekly AFL threads