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AFLW 2024 - Round 9 - Indigenous Round - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
I think starting several rookies on the field is risky business with these bye rounds especially with the death rounds (4-6) so early on.
Adcock, Reid, Petterd arnt there to play 20 games. All they need to do is make money in there first 5-7 games and trade them out when they get injured.
DEF: B. Goddard, B. Gibbs, B. Deledio, P. Duffield, J. Grimes, D. Menzel, A. Otten (D. Heppell, K. Hunt, J. Toy)
MID: D. Swan, M. Boyd, J. Bartel, D. Swallow, A. Gaff, R. Conca (S. Atley, I. Smith, M. Wallis)
RUC: A. Sandilands, K. Tippett (M. Bailey, Z. Smith)
FWD: L. Franklin, C. Sylvia, N. Riewoldt, C. Rioli, R. Gray, D. Petrie, A. Krakouer (B. Matera, T. Mzungu, D. Talia)
CASH LEFT: $19,200
Feedback would be appreciated
Ok.
So you have Adcock, Otten, Foley, Petrie, R. Murphy, Knights & Petterd that are either returning from injury or previously haven't been able to string 22 games together over consecutive seasons. So thats 7 players that you expect to trade without even considering any rookies. 24 trades isn't going to cover it.
Also you have Reid who is no where near a lock and Bruce who's role next year is undetermined at this stage aswell.
Personally I am looking for rookies who will get a game from day one and build a durable team around them to cover byes etc.
Would be interested to hear peoples opinions on whether a team of durable mid-priced options and rookies who are likely to play offers more value than top echelon players with a mix of cheap options with durability concerns and rookies.
Eg:
Goddard, Otten, rookie
or
Gilbee, Ellis, rookie
All those players will have to be watched during the preseason with injuries. But im starting to think injuries and durability are overrated for this year. They have increased our cover through more bench options, increased our trades and also increased DP as an option. But every team is going to have 7-10 players who are considered undurable simply because they offer great value due to discounts. It will be hard picking a team without these injured players as is the case every year. How many people picked Chapman, Ladson, Malceski, Kennelly, Waters, J.Hunt ect and came away very happy - quite a few. These players and others played most games all season.
Also
Adcock - played 3 seasons of 21+ games in 7 year career
Otten - played 22 in 2009 before unlucky injury only played 2 years
Foley - played 3 consecutive years off 21+ games at of 6 years
Petrie - played 7 consecutive years in a row of 21+ games
Murphy is the only expensive one - all the rest of much greater reward than risk. Also Swallow can replace Foley which ive already mentioned.
Reid is best 22 - no doubt. He offers something extra to the side. He is a future star CHB and collingwood dont really have anyone else to play that his role. Brown and Tarrant to fight out for fullback, maybe could play both.
I really think the midprice days are over, we are given so much money these days we have to buy super premiums and to win this game you have to now finish with a closer to perfect team.
As has been said finding rookies that will play is what everyone tries to do, but its my opinion that having 4 down back, 4 forward and 5 in the midfield is too much in any one position with the byes. Rookies are never locked away best 22 players and they now need to be best 20 players. There will be a few good ones, no doubt but they will be on my bench more for cover, because they will be covering most weeks anyway due to byes.
Understand where you are coming from.
Below is just an example of what could happen, lets look at your fwd line in round 5 briefly. Melb Syd and WC have the bye.
Chapman, Riewoldt, Okeefe, Murphy, Tippett, Knights, Petterd. (Matera, Mzungu, Krak)
So Petterd and Okeefe miss which is no worries you would expect Matera and Mzungu to cover with Krak on the bench. Say Chapman pulls a hammy the week before and Petrie who is your 2nd ruck misses.
DP Tippett with Petrie and use Krakouer to cover Petrie in fwd line.
So your fwds would look like:
Chapman (0), Riewoldt (90), Murphy (75), Knights (75), Matera (50), Mzungu (50), Krak (50)
So a score about 390 and one doughnut. (Apologies Im pretty average with trying to explain speculative points )
Now if you used a more durable option such as Pavlich instead of Chapman and upgraded Murphy or Knights to a more durable forward (eg J. Riewoldt) it might look like this.
Pavlich (90), Riewoldt (90), J. Riewoldt (80), Knights (75), Matera (50), Mzungu (50), Krak (50) score 485.
Save potential trades on Chapman and Murphy if they don't work out and concentrate on upgrading Knights, Petterd and rookies.
Poor example I know but you should get what I am trying to explain. I think durability will be the key to covering doughnuts and having a successful team throughout the year.
true durability is nice, but you are swapping the clear cut best forward chapman averaging 115 to pav averaging 90. 25 ppg less, that is a hefty price for durability.
DT being the game it is we could get a full 22 from chapman and j riewoldt only plays 5-10 games through injury.
I'm not sure if it is best to have the highest averaging forward and a less durable option compared to lower averaging durable options. Am happy for someone to show me otherwise. Obviously trading players at the right times is a significant factor to the overall result however as Lakey's thread shows you can win the comp without a single trade.
2010 overall points
Chappy 2388
Murphy 1400
Total: 3788
Pavlich 2086
J. Riewoldt 1841
Total: 3927
That doesn't factor in the substitutes unless you are saying that coverage was not available at the exact times they missed. (A very selective statistic I must say)
bs2011 Fanplanner squad in the Dream Team competition coached by incog43. Salary cap left: $58,600.
Brendon Goddard, Bryce Gibbs, Corey Enright, Brett Deledio, Jed Adcock, Andy Otten, Dyson Heppell Ben Jacobs, Shaun McKernan, Dylan Grimes
Dane Swan, Matthew Boyd, Bachar Houli, Luke Shuey, David Swallow, Nathan Foley Xavier Clarke, Michael Hibberd, Tendai Mzungu
Aaron Sandilands, Dean Cox Zac Smith, Joel Tippett
Paul Chapman, Brad Green, Brent Harvey, Nick Riewoldt, Jonathan Brown, Chris Knights, Callum Wilson Nathan Ablett, Brandon Matera, Ian Callinan
The west coast guys are all subject to the NAB performance. I just think Cox could bounce back this year and average around 100.
Any comments?
TEAM NAME: 44
DEF: B. Gibbs, B. Deledio, N. Malceski, J. Russell, S. Wright, T. Hunt, D. Heppell (B. Jacobs, J. Toy, J. Batchelor)
MID: B. Goddard, K. Cornes, K. Jack, S. Sidebottom, D. Zaharakis, P. Dangerfield (D. Swallow, M. Weller, M. Wallis)
RUC: T. Goldstein, J. Roughead (D. Petrie, N. Vardy)
FWD: P. Chapman, J. Brennan, J. Riewoldt, L. Jetta, M. Jaensch, C. Hitchcock, A. Krakouer (B. Matera, L. Johnston, L. Casboult)
CASH LEFT: $97,800
BACKS: Goddard, Gibbs, Broughton, Malceski, Cornes, Otten, Heppell {Toy, Coad, Talia}
MIDS: Swan, Boyd, Murphy, Deledio, Sidebottom, Swallow {Gaff, Krakouer, Callinan}
RUCKS: Sandilands, Jolly {Campbell, Tippett}
FORWARDS: Chapman, NRiewoldt, Waite, Knights, Petrie, ISmith, Ablett {Matera, Richardson, Mzungu}
Not sure about Cornes obviously, im willing to entertain the thought at his price though. he'll most likely just end up being a place-card till i find something better. not sure about Heppell either.
Forward line is quite thin. Gaff and another mid might have to be downgraded to boost NAblett up.
Leave Chadwick alone is my recommendation. Just too old now with a battle scarred body to manage.
Nablett is simply a training buddy for big brother... leave well alone.
Robert Murphy is just too injury prone and doesn't rack it up enough to warrant the risk.
Besides that, a pretty reasonable selection.
yeah, i've been burned with the Chadwick before. at 260k though, who knows. he's basically just a low-price placecard till i find better.Leave Chadwick alone is my recommendation. Just too old now with a battle scarred body to manage.
Nablett is simply a training buddy for big brother... leave well alone.
Robert Murphy is just too injury prone and doesn't rack it up enough to warrant the risk.
Besides that, a pretty reasonable selection.
yeah, i've been burned with the Chadwick before. at 260k though, who knows. he's basically just a low-price placecard till i find better.
my Murphy in the mids is Marc.
i dunno about Nafe yet, any older player at his price is value if he plays. the NAB cup will be pretty telling on whether he's up to it/ part of GCs plans.
Here is the team to beat in 2011, the mighty Black Sun Empire. This is how kind I am, here is an insight on how to make a team that dominates.
The main problem looks like round 19, I have 3 forwards and one midfielder with a bye. It will require some adjustments, but that could be easy, I could just upgrade Jack with my remaining cash and get someone without a bye in round 19.
Salary cap left: $103,100.
Brendon Goddard, Bryce Gibbs, Brett Deledio, Paul Duffield, Andy Otten, Ben Jacobs, Michael Coad
Sam Iles, Josh Toy, Nicholas Duigan
Dane Swan, Leigh Montagna, Marc Murphy, Kieren Jack, Andrew Krakouer, Isaac Smith
Danny Stanley, Maverick Weller, Tendai Mzungu
Dean Cox, Drew Petrie
Zac Smith, Mitchell Curnow
Paul Chapman, Lance Franklin, Adam Goodes, Nick Riewoldt, Ryan O'Keefe, Mitch Morton, Dion Prestia
Brandon Matera, Steven May, Ian Callinan