I reckon Brown has peaked, despite a decent score in the weekend. His score was helped by the fact he scored 3 goals against the Saints defence. If he doesn't get goals, and the ball doesn't get down into the bombers forward line, his scores will drop off dramatically.
Breakeven of 88, and FFgenie expects his price to steadily fall over the next 3 weeks. Of all my rookies, he is the one closest to his peak. Ruggles, Davis, Smith, Hewett, Petracca and Tippa all have breakevens under 40 and have money to be made.
In terms of Collins, the fact is that I needed to trade in either a forward or backline rookie for Brown. He is averaging 16 disposals in the WAFL, but I more like his job security. He is the last key defender available for the Dockers with Dawson, so I'm backing him to play at least until Silvagni returns (listed at 6 weeks). The only other Forward/Back rookies to pick from were
Dougal Howard (low JS),
Jackson Paine
Harry Marsh (just playing whilst Ted Richards is out)
Tom Cole (as above, but with Yeo)
For mine, Collins is the safest of all those options despite the fact he hasn't played a game.
Isnt howard in for jonas? The bloke who just got suspended for 6 weeks? Wouldnt he have the same js as collins but already on the bubble so potentially 6 weeks of money making compared to 4?