Round 12 AFL

[anabac]

Hi fellas

I've been scanning these AFL round threads since the start of the season and have found them pretty useful. Have cashed a few tips and cooked a few as well.

Anyway, I have to say as it's really irking me, the last couple or so weeks since the new forum "design" has been rolled out, the participation on here has been way down. Personally I was checking in once a day during the week and more frequently on the weekends, but now I hardly bother as the forum "design" is rubbish. Sorry to rain on the parade of whomever thought it'd be a great idea to make the change, but this is why we have only had 18 postings since Monday...not because "most punters in here took a big hit last round" and aren't interested.

Bring back the good old days where the superior design led to greater participation - and no doubt better ad revenue for the forum owners too!

Just my 2 cents

Hey, heres a thought... Instead of just scanning the threads, how about participating? Nothing wrong with lurking in general i reckon, but dont come on here and complain about there being no action in the thread when you yourself are contributing nothing!

The new layout is better than the old one anyway.

Just my 2 cents

 

[yamahamoto]

I really like Blues at the line (+26.5) against the Eagles.

Blues/Eagles HT/FT combo .
Laidler and Thornton who are borderline best 22.

.

That HF/FT bet is a good bet i reckon. Laidler definitely in Blues best 22.
Just a fact...West Coast have covered the line at home every game so far. Blues have only covered the line twice since the loss to Essendon

 

[Lukesta63]

I think Gold Coast are a sneaky chance, was the game that jumped out at me the most as an upset this weekend.

*I wouldnt think Carlton winning is an upset as they always play well at Subi.

Carlton will not win mate !! Not playing decent footy in the slightest

 

[Lukesta63]

Port @ $2.85 is value for mine. They've got a good record at Etihad, even this year in the two games they've played there they've played Essendon & the Pies and been competitive in both - I reckon they can knock off the Dogs

Also think GWS @ $16 is a little overs. Unlikely, but should be closer to $9-10 IMO

Lenny check out how many times GWS has covered their line this year !!

 

[Grimmjow]

TAB
GWS/RICH Under 190.5 @ 1.72

Has only gone over 190.5 twice this year with GWS, being hammered by NTH and WCE.
Expected to rain on Saturday in Blacktown, not to RICH style of play / low scoring.
GWS ave 56.3pt For (two highest scores 94 vs GC, 69 vs WCE)

 

[DerpWerls]

Who the hell does the weekly rising star nomination market?

Can't find it anywhere!!

 

[5 Bucks]

Tonight's game should be a low scoring affair. Scotland and Carrots back in will allow Gibbs to do a job. Hendo can take Darling. Having both Jamison and Duigan in will allow Carlton to be very effective defensively. Waters is one of the most under rated players in the league and he'll be missed. I can't see how West Coast will be able to kick a massive score, so the Blues at the line looks good.

 

[jurrah13]

Ps what is the Dees v GWS option under? I can't locate it on the TAB app

yeah i don't think it can be found on the TAB app, but definitely on the machines at the TAB

 

[Pweter]

Can anyone in Perth provide any insight as to the state of Subiaco? Heard plenty about the weather recently over there, but hasn't been too bad the last 24 hours but the chance of thunderstorms this arvo.

What's the drainage like at Subiaco?

Thinking 3rd consecutive 6 day break, combined with cross county travel, combined with a heavy surface would see Carlton treading water in the 4th quarter and probably lead to WCE covering. If the ground is in good condition already with the possible storm not doing much damage then I doubt I'll go there.

 

[yamahamoto]

My bet tonight is West Coast 3rd quarter line -5.5.
Carlton have only cleared 3rd quarter line twice (2/11)this year against Brisbane and Collingwood (with Reid and Ball injured in the 2nd quarter)
West Coast have only failed the clear 3rd quarter line 3 times (3/10) this year against Richmond (Mitch Brown and Kenedy injured), Essendon (both away at etihad) and North Melbourne.
With 3 6 days breaks and a heavy condition i reckon Blues will try to come out strong and fade out in the 2nd half whereas West Coast most likely to have a slow start and pick up after halftime as team coming off a bye normally have sluggish start

 

[liam_13]

Not sure which company I will bet with yet, have to look through for best odds. But will be going:

$10 on each of:
Either West Coast or Carlton to win by under 15.5 points
Carlton/West Coast HT/FT
Drew Petrie most goals
Richmond/Hawthorn/Western Bulldogs
GWS to lose by more than 50 points (line bet)

Think it will be close between the Eagles and Blues. Reckon the Eagles may be a bit sluggish to start with and then overrun the tired Blues.
Petrie should hopefully have a field day if Norths midfield get on top of GC's. Reckon there is a fair chance of that happening. No Bock either for the Suns.
Staying away from Crows/Saints game. Really not sure how that'll turn out. Tonights game may give us an idea of how teams come off the bye and all that.
Think the Giants will be able to match it with the Tigers for a bit, but eventually get beaten well. I reckon 50 points line will give me goodish odds.

 

[happy punter]

Eagles will smash the Blues tonight.

Eagles -24.5 over Blues @ 1.91 (3 units)

 

[Cuzz09]

Eagles will smash the Blues tonight.

Eagles -24.5 over Blues @ 1.91 (3 units)

Hope so but doubt it.

If we win it'll be by under 3 goals.

 

[PrinceOfPenrith]

I've had a big go Carlton the line +24.5, 4 units.

 

[Dawggin It]

1 unit Gibbs most disposals group B @ $11 (TAB)

Admittedly not a whole lot of logic to this bet, Gibbs has been very ordinary lately. Just thought it was good odds on the off chance that having Carrazzo back releases him to the half back sheep-dog role.

 

[X_box_X]

$100 on last goal scorer (any other player) SPORTSBET.

Sportsbet have a promotion where they will refund any first bet up to $100 on first and last goal scorer markets if Judd gets 25 possessions or more.

I got odds of $4.50, but I was lucky.

As soon as I saw there were two late changes (one being Hampson), I checked the odds for first goal scorer and the option of any unlisted player had already come into $4. I checked last goal scorer, and it hadn't updated yet and was still $4.50. Seconds after I placed the bet, those odds came into $4.

I would have done last goal scorer anyway. Swift and Joseph are the subs, and they are a part of the any unlisted player. They will both be on the field in the final qtr. Every chance that one or both of the listed players get subbed off too.

 

[happy punter]

I think there might be some real value with the OVER 166.5 now. Although there may be the odd shower during the game the worst of the weather has passed.

Eagles/Blues OVER 166.5 @ 1.88 (2 units)

 

[HurlsMeister18]

Total match points over 167.5 @ $1.87 is a good bet. Should be a very open game tonight.

 

[Goodesy Boy]

Vegas AFL selections 4-0 on forum selections and 64% YTD

Carlton in the plus. Only go down to 24.5.

 

[X_box_X]

Total match points over 167.5 @ $1.87 is a good bet. Should be a very open game tonight.

How is that a good bet, when the previous posted mentioned they got on total match points over 166.5, and it's paying $1.88? You'd spew if there were 167 points scored.

 

[twarby]

coming from the guy who has taken unders on a goal scoring market thinking Judd has 25 in the bag

 

[Jobe Watson]

Taken Naitanui > Cox in SuperCoach @ 2.08

Naita has covered this 6/8 times this season when both have played in the same team. Cox's scores take a massive dive whenever he has to play majority up forward, which is basically whenever Naita plays.

 

[FAITH]

what does everyone think bout:
Carlt+34.5/Adel1-39/Rich40+ multi?

Think i got around $5/1

 

[X_box_X]

coming from the guy who has taken unders on a goal scoring market thinking Judd has 25 in the bag

Considering 5/12 goals so far have come from players not listed, I doubt it is really unders.

Remember, this is last goal scorer. Very likely someone like Lynch gets subbed off, has done nothing.

 

[KardiniaPark]

Hi fellas

I've been scanning these AFL round threads since the start of the season and have found them pretty useful. Have cashed a few tips and cooked a few as well.

Anyway, I have to say as it's really irking me, the last couple or so weeks since the new forum "design" has been rolled out, the participation on here has been way down. Personally I was checking in once a day during the week and more frequently on the weekends, but now I hardly bother as the forum "design" is rubbish. Sorry to rain on the parade of whomever thought it'd be a great idea to make the change, but this is why we have only had 18 postings since Monday...not because "most punters in here took a big hit last round" and aren't interested.

Bring back the good old days where the superior design led to greater participation - and no doubt better ad revenue for the forum owners too!

Just my 2 cents

**** your two cents. You come on here and leach, yet the only time you post is when you are moaning that there isn't enough tips for you. Pathetic.