The 2020 Big Footy Tout of the Year competion

[FallingLiefs]

Paris does have a ever so small point https://www.flatstats.co.uk/blog/turf/starting-price-stats.html and I have done my own research on Vic harness. But it would be worth about 5 units over the course of the comp if you were stick to $1.20 faves compared to someone like Paris who sticks to $2 faves. Barely an advantage. And thats surmising that someone is actually tipping $1.20 faves unlike the $5 horse I have tipped. Tipping $1.20 faves isnt some goldmine otherwise we would all be rich.

Will dis-regard anything with november 2000 date from the UK.

 

[iluvparis]

Will concede it will be less severe advantage under Heaths set unit minimum compared to my far superior % of bank limits.

 

[AvantGardener]

Will dis-regard anything with november 2000 date from the UK.

Just go off yesterdays date for current results - 0/2 for harness horses under $1.70! Geeze and its supposed to be free money!

 

[iluvparis]

Just go off yesterdays date for current results - 0/2 for harness horses under $1.70! Geeze and its supposed to be free money!

That's not how maths works

 

[FallingLiefs]

To counter argument,

Here is a current betfair SP graph.

$1.10 shots lose much more than expected

Betfair Starting Price (BSP) | Betfair Betting Education | Betfair Hub

The Betfair Staring Price (BSP) is similar to the tote in that it allows you to take a fair price that's based on the backers and layers in the market.

www.betfair.com.au

 

[iluvparis]

I am talking tote only - we know Betfair SP is much more accurate of true odds

 

[FallingLiefs]

I am talking tote only - we know Betfair SP is much more accurate of true odds

Your basing your argument on anecdotal evidence without any hard facts and even less on how it could possibly affect the validity of tipping shorties on harness.

 

[iluvparis]

You have both already posted hard facts supporting my argument - apology accepted

 

[FallingLiefs]

You have both already posted hard facts supporting my argument - apology accepted

Yes that UK Bookmakers SP from last millennium is real strong evidence. Tote proof please? we all know SP is much closer to true price etc etc etc

 

[king rising]

I’m a late withdrawal this year. Good luck all!

 

[TBellicious]

I’m a late withdrawal this year. Good luck all!

the champ doesn't want to defend his crown...

 

[iluvparis]

Yes that UK Bookmakers SP from last millennium is real strong evidence. Tote proof please? we all know SP is much closer to true price etc etc etc

You just posted 2 charts showing they win less than expected.

 

[iluvparis]

the champ doesn't want to defend his crown...

3yo stud squib?

 

[king rising]

Surely, I mean surely Harness Racing can’t possibly be included. This is a thoroughbred tipping competition

 

[come on oliver]

I’m a late withdrawal this year. Good luck all!

oh get ****ed. How much is banana bus paying you for tips. Don’t forgot your roots

 

[FallingLiefs]

You just posted 2 charts showing they win less than expected.

Well I posted 2 charts that showed the $5 chance one less than expected by more than the 20:1 which meant the 20:1 was actually better to bet on but if that's what you took out of it good on you.

 

[iluvparis]

Surely, I mean surely Harness Racing can’t possibly be included. This is a thoroughbred tipping competition

Tell me about - totally laughable decision.

 

[iluvparis]

Well I posted 2 charts that showed the $5 chance one less than expected by more than the 20:1 which meant the 20:1 was actually better to bet on but if that's what you took out of it good on you.

What about the $1.20 shots

 

[FallingLiefs]

What about the $1.20 shots

They don't do decimal odds. min $2.

 

[TBellicious]

For what it’s worth, I am also against including harness

 

[iluvparis]

For what it’s worth, I am also against including harness

As any sane man would be - this is the biggest travesty since the Spanish Paralympic basketball team

 

[balmainforever]

I'm not really happy about the inclusion of harness racing in this comp.
I'm sorry if I offend anyone, but I'm not competing if these are the rules

 

[iluvparis]

It's a completely fair decision balmain - it seems a ludicrous allowance

 

[pendlebury_10]

It's official, harness racing is trash.

 

[AvantGardener]

For all the whining pussies

2020 Tout Tracker - AG's Harness Tips

Will follow the Rules of the official Bigfooty Punting Board Tout Comp but on Harness. Will keep it seperate for all the whining pussies Week 1 Shepparton Rc8 No8 Tam Major 20units Rc9 No7 Mar Pacifico 40units Temora Rc1 No4 The Cheddarnator 30units Rc8 No 8 Toya Lombo 100 units

www.bigfooty.com