Match Discussion VAFA Premier A 2024 R17 - Fitzroy v Blacks @ Brunswick Street

[killer]

??
So IF
Fitzroy need to win by 6
and blacks lose by 6

???

 

[Mobbs]

so blues would need to beat blacks by how much?

We're 5% behind Blacks. We won by what about 15pts today? We gained about 2%.
So we need the margins of Blues beating Blacks and Roys beating Collegions to total about 40 pts. We could win by 1 pt and Blacks lose by 39pts or we could win by 32 and Blacks lose by 8 etc etc. Or 20 pts in both cases. (assuming I can do maths which I cant)

 

[killer]

OK 40 point turnaround needed

 

[Mobbs]

I mocked up a spreadsheet and ran some scenarios and it came out different, wants about 40 pts margins for each of us, not total ... also note its not just margins - if we win 200 pts to 160 it does us less good than winning 40 pts to nil.

Edit: 35 pts each might also do it. But again, cant guarantee I'm doing the maths right.

 

[Mobbs]

 

[killer]

Old Melburnian's did beat St B in round 9
so some hope there

 

[Mobbs]

Yeah there is that too. But they haven't looked like winning too often recently tho.

 

[killer]

VAFA TV - R17 PREM: Fitzroy v Uni Blacks - VAFA

www.vafa.com.au

 

[Mobbs]

View attachment roysvblacks2024.mp4

 

[killer]

Official VAFA Podcast: Ep.18 with Fitzroy's Julian Turner - VAFA

Jason Bennett, Joey Pignataro & Paddy Grindlay chat all things VAFA on the League’s official weekly podcast FOR THE LOVE OF THE GAME. In this week’s episode: All the latest

www.vafa.com.au