100% correct.I'm all for a Tasmanian team but I think it will be very difficult for them to be successful.
They need to produce far more AFL level players than they do as a state.
They will need draft concessions, which always sucks for all the other teams.
They'll probably need some sort of COLA or retention allowance. They will be the least attractive club to play for from a location perspective.
If Fremantle can't win one in nearly 30 years, it's a long road ahead for Tasmania.
But hopefully it will bring greater equalization and a more national focus to the game, which will make the AFL better
Look at us. Big club, great Oval, great support and yet we have had trouble retaining players and have had to revert to drafting/recruiting SA lads. Tasmania don't have enough of their own talent to do that and be successful.