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A grand final runner up has rarely ever missed the finals.

Isn't Sydney Making the 8 easy money?

Why are Melbourne odds so high? Shouldn't they win by 7-10 goals?

Interesting that the higher placed finishing team at home is the underdog in two matches. Must be the first time that has ever happened?

Adelaide have to win by 95 points. Surely Doggies get the job done. If it is close in the last quarter Adelaide will know they are done and that may be enough to get the dogs over the line.

People think GWS struggle to win in Melbourne.

So he is losing $50,000. Should have bet way more than $36 otherwise why would he bother. Not even going to win much compared to the risk.

Must be a reason he isn't training.

What are you guys making of Dusty speculation. No doubt he will play but is he playing injured and going to be less effective....Bit annoying that he isn't 100% as otherwise I would put money on Richmond right now.

Tough game tonight. I have bet on every finals game so far. However may have to sit this one out. I think Collingwood will win.

Crikey.

There has only been two years of a bye between finals though.

Who is putting their life savings on port today?

Richmond should still win. They are a 8-10 Goal better side then Essendon at the MCG. So Richmond would normally still win this by 3-5 goals. However I wouldn't bet on it. As Essendon will go as hard as they can whilst Richmond don't want to get injured. So that could mean a 3 goal victory...

Was trying to decide who is more likely to win. Port or GWS. I went with a bet on GWS.

Thanks for posting. Can't disagree with any of that. But many of them too close to call to bet on.

Seems a bit silly to be betting on every game at only 1 unit each. For example today you had Hawthorn at -13.5. A line that is 0.5 points to your models advantage. Aren't you better off putting 2 to 3 units on only 3-4 games each round. The games the model says that you have the best chance...

Who? Tab moved form 1.70 to 1.78

Can Richmond win interstate?

Yeah seems like a no brainer to take Port. But I feel like Essendon might screw everyone over.

Took Adelaide $1.40 betfair.

GWS $1.36 at TAB now. My bad.

I think Richmond will win the first half and Adelaide the second half.

Yes I would take odds far above a teams realistic chances in a match. But as a general rule I only bet on a result I think has a reasonable chance of actually happening. I am not going to make a bet that I will think will lose just because it is 'value'. In other words a team must have at...

Must be the first time ever a top 4 losing team is above $3 to win a semi final at home against a bottom four interstate team. Geelong is currently $3.45 on betfair. I think Sydney will win. Therefore no price is good if they are going to lose anyway. Just interesting.

What is the point of the thread with just stars for prices? Should just create the thread when prices are available.

$800 on Adelaide to win @ $1.45 TAB

Why? they couldn't even beat Brisbane.

Got on Essendon at $1.83 betfair.

Lock in Sydney Eddie.