2007 Inter Dominion Thread

[a_peterson05]

Exactly the draw this race needed,no odds-on fave this year.

With KM scratched,BAF gets to follow out Winforu due to the SA rule where you follow out between the 2 horses in front of you.
Not sure barrier 1 is any help to RH either?

This should be a blinder now,5 or 6 genuine winning hopes

seth

Exactly right Seth a draw the fav's wouldnt be happy with! RH wont be able to hold out WINFORU which should come out strongly and take the lead. Rasmussen on BAF may find herself handy early, but i highly doubt it. Im predicting BAF to be off the pegs for the running of the race but still a fair way back in the field which will minimise its chances.

 

[sethlad]

Before this series I would have said Winforu was a certainty to hand up to a BAF but not so sure now.Id be tempted to.BGJ sat outside Winforu in the last heat & nearly beat him & BAF is tougher.

Really looking forward to this final,last few have been over after 200m with Elsu & BAF finding the lead softly.Should be fireworks here

seth

 

[a_peterson05]

Before this series I would have said Winforu was a certainty to hand up to a BAF but not so sure now.Id be tempted to.BGJ sat outside Winforu in the last heat & nearly beat him & BAF is tougher.

Really looking forward to this final,last few have been over after 200m with Elsu & BAF finding the lead softly.Should be fireworks here

seth

Yeah BAF did impress where he sat the death to BGJ in the 1.54.7 mr. More distance to adds to his chances off getting into a good spot with cover early. Rasmussen will know exactly how big BAF tank is and will know when she can get out and chase them home or pour on the pressure if there getiing it easy out in front.

 

[sethlad]

Pacers Final Market is as follows.Betfair is best price for all runners (updated sat 3.30 pm)
For those without Betfair,Ill also post next best price available

BAF: $3.1 from $3.25..... $2.6@Ctrebet & TAB
BGJ: $5.4,...... $5@TAB,Stingbet & Ctrebet
RH: $5.7, ........ $5.5@Stingbet & IAS
Winforu: $6.2,...... $5.5@Tab & Stingbet
Foreal: $12.5, ....... $12@TAB & IAS
Tribute19 from $25 .....$18@TAB

Trotters Final
You can get $1.76 A Touch Of Flair if you shop around (& wanna take 4/6 about a trotter in a SS final)
Whatsundermykilt is now $6 at Betfair.

seth

 

[linkman]

Would have loved to see this race on a nice 1000m track with the draws that have happened.

I likes BAF from the draw. Will follow the leader through and will try to get there. Winforu will need to hand up and take the sit and use the SL to win the final. The back straight will be interesting with the back markers hopefully swooping and trying to get intothe race.

I would snag back RH and try to get to the outside and coem from last. It is the only way he can win this now.

 

[sethlad]

Do you think RH can come from last at Globe Derby?
I know his options are limited from 1 but this is the time to try & hold leaders back.Even 3 pegs is better than last at the bell at GD.

seth

 

[a_peterson05]

Tonkin would want to have some 'good gear' in RH if he intends to let Lang take it to last and come home over the top of a field like this. The speed will be on along the back straight there is no doubt about that, but i think RH best bet would be along the markers and hope WINFORU holds out any challengers

 

[linkman]

In this filed RH could get crossed 2 or 3 times. His gate speed is just not good enough. All the backmarkers need to hope that BAF, Winforu and BGJ all attempt to lead at some stage. Karloo Mick came from last in last years final on a much tighter track. The race needs pace - but I can't see it happening.

The problem is that grand circuit racing in the last few years has always favoured the on pacers as without Kerryn manning in the race the rest are all nutless. Some of these other drivers need to be a little more creative otherwise we will have the farce of the last few ID's - where it is a sprint home in the last 1000 mtres. No warter in an ID final should be above 30 - but too many are.

The race would have been fantastic with Flashing Red poruing on the power outside of the kleader.

I really don't think that RH can win. In fact I think there are only 2 or 3 chances. Winforu, BAF and BGJ. the rest unless a Smooth Crusa or Foreal take some initiative and put pressure on the leader are just making up numbers.

My prediction:

Winforu will draw to the lead. BAF will follow through and challenge for virtually immediately. BGJ will work around and attempt to sit outside BAF and out muscle him over the last 1200.

Winforu will get the split along the SL and nose out BAF and BGJ - or just miss BAF. RH will be buried up in the field - never getting a go at them.

 

[AndSmithMustScore]

Do you think RH can come from last at Globe Derby?
I know his options are limited from 1 but this is the time to try & hold leaders back.Even 3 pegs is better than last at the bell at GD.

seth

I agree, id rather be 3 back than last at GD.

The way i see it if Winforu hands up to BAF at GD it would be a mistake.

That's if BAF is able to possy through.

I can't see all the front row horse snagging back, you would think Foreal and Toe Tapper at the least would go out hard to try to get into a good position., so there's a good chance BAF could end up 3 back, 1 out.

I just hope RH can keep Winforu's back, as it would make for a more interesting scenario for the final.

The question is how much would the complexion of the race change if Winforu is crossed?

 

[sethlad]

Cant see them driving Foreal out of the gate,she's already galloped in series.

This is the GF,if Winforu was mine Id be holding the lead.
Unless theres huge pressure & I doubt that.
He went amazing in the MV heat,ran time & skipped away,I reckon thats his winning hope.As good as BAF is,he doesnt have that aura about him in the death seat.She will want one soft quarter if he's in the death.

Having said that,NZ'ers have a horrible record in Inters.

seth

 

[AndSmithMustScore]

Cant see them driving Foreal out of the gate,she's already galloped in series.

This is the GF,if Winforu was mine Id be holding the lead.
Unless theres huge pressure & I doubt that.
He went amazing in the MV heat,ran time & skipped away,I reckon thats his winning hope.As good as BAF is,he doesnt have that aura about him in the death seat.She will want one soft quarter if he's in the death.

Having said that,NZ'ers have a horrible record in Inters.

seth

At this stage i'm tempted to take the WFY/RH - quinella/exacta multiples.

If WFY can hold the lead and not get pressured to much and RH can hold his back the chances of them running 1-2 aren't too bad.

As for Foreal she might have galloped but as you said this is the GF so sometimes you just have to go for it, and at GD i think i'd rather try and push forward than try and get a place and a bit of luck in the back part of the field.

 

[sethlad]

Foreal's never showed gate speed in the past,best with a sit.
She's racing tougher this series but she's got no hope of leading & little hope of finding the pegs unless she goes back.If she had any hope of leading she'd be a $6 chance.She can win with a trail in but it depends who comes 3 wide.

Great to have a Final with so many possibilities.

seth

 

[sethlad]

The 2007 Inter Champ is Blacks A Fake after he again proved to be the best stayer with a death seat win.

Staying out of the early battle,Natalie Rasmussen made a decisive mid race move,taking the death seat from fellow Qlder Be Good Johnny & surging past the Kiwi Winforu, who just failed in his all the way attempt.

Foreal trailed into the race 3 wide on the back of stablemate Tribute & ran into 3rd while Tribute fought off a slightly disappointing BGJ for 4th.

The flop was Robin Hood who held leaders back but was gone before the corner.All is obviously not well.

Betfair offered as much as $3.40 the winner,who officially started $2.7.

The trotters final went to the enigmatic Uncle Petrika at $31 who just held off fave A Touch Of Flair.

seth

 

[thecarpetsnake]

Uncle Bloody Petrika! Every time I see that horse run it's RODS, so I certainly didn't think he'd be winning, let alone leading like that. It was a pretty brave win though- 1.59.something, wasn't it?

BAF was a great win- Winforu was gallant, but a finish like that was always on the cards. Does anyone know if something was actually wrong with Robin Hood?

 

[HeLMie]

Uncle Bloody Petrika! Every time I see that horse run it's RODS, so I certainly didn't think he'd be winning, let alone leading like that. It was a pretty brave win though- 1.59.something, wasn't it?

BAF was a great win- Winforu was gallant, but a finish like that was always on the cards. Does anyone know if something was actually wrong with Robin Hood?

Peoples expectations.....

 

[who wood_collingwood]

There was something amiss with him. Not sure the press know though.